TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13100875
Played Sep 10Finished
Viacheslav Kovalenko
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1191131210––––
Eduard Rubtsov
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:56 and never touched — 62.1% is still 62.1%
Graded at full timeViacheslav Kovalenko to win
62.1%
62.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingViacheslav Kovalenko above · Eduard Rubtsov below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 56 set 3, 12-10 — our read held Viacheslav Kovalenko at 62.1%
56 points played in total.
H2H Viacheslav Kovalenko 36–25 Eduard Rubtsov Eduard Rubtsov has won 25 of their 61 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:56What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Kovalenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
36-25 in 61
Kovalenko
Correct
gap of 11 in 61, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kovalenko 1565 vs Rubtsov 1434
Kovalenko
Correct
both rated, 131 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kovalenko 40% vs Rubtsov 20%
Kovalenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kovalenko 70% vs Rubtsov 30%
Kovalenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kovalenko -2 · Rubtsov +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Kovalenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rubtsov form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKovalenko 1.57 / Rubtsov 2.25
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Kovalenko)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13100875
Kovalenko1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite55% won 68 of 123
Up 2–0, closes it90% 36 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it76% 47 of 62
Rubtsov2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog34% won 97 of 282
Down 0–1, comes back14% 23 of 160
Down 0–2, comes back9% 11 of 117
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKovalenko5wins
AwayRubtsov5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKovalenko50%4 of 8
AwayRubtsovn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kovalenko8Rubtsov2n = 10Kovalenko took 8 of 10
S2Kovalenko8Rubtsov2n = 10Kovalenko took 8 of 10
S3Kovalenko2Rubtsov8n = 10Rubtsov took 8 of 10
S4Kovalenko2Rubtsov5n = 7Rubtsov took 5 of 7
S5Kovalenko2Rubtsov3n = 5Rubtsov took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKovalenkoRubtsovK − RBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match40.637.9+2.7per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKovalenkoRubtsovBasisWin rate · lifetime176 / 404 vs 293 / 76543.6%38.3%176 / 404 vs 293 / 765Avg sets wonper match1.91.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.035.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KovalenkoKovalenko 1.57/Rubtsov 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.1%
Kovalenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kovalenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 03:25V. Kovalenko—1111113E. Rubtsov—9480
LAug 26 · 19:55V. Kovalenko—139551E. Rubtsov—111111113
LAug 24 · 21:25V. Kovalenko—111198102E. Rubtsov—811111123
WAug 20 · 19:25V. Kovalenko—1111814113E. Rubtsov—86111682
LAug 20 · 24:55V. Kovalenko—26100E. Rubtsov—1111123
WAug 13 · 13:25V. Kovalenko—1111113E. Rubtsov—8460
LAug 12 · 22:55V. Kovalenko—11119672E. Rubtsov—571111113
WAug 12 · 04:25V. Kovalenko—1611511113E. Rubtsov—18511872
LAug 6 · 13:25V. Kovalenko—11118852E. Rubtsov—861111113
WAug 5 · 21:55V. Kovalenko—111112113E. Rubtsov—581421
V. Kovalenko10
LSep 10 · 01:25V. Kovalenko2.001211811122P. Plakushchyi1.73144116143LSep 9 · 23:55V. Kovalenko1.83711461O. Kovalchuk1.8311611113WSep 9 · 21:55V. Kovalenko1.9111611113O. Mishchenko1.80311761WSep 3 · 03:25E. Rubtsov2.209480V. Kovalenko1.611111113LSep 3 · 02:25V. Kovalenko1.9171171182O. Mishchenko1.80117113113WSep 3 · 01:25V. Kovalenko1.9111611133O. Kovalchuk1.809118111WSep 2 · 23:55V. Kovalenko2.109111211113P. Plakushchyi1.6711514482WSep 2 · 21:55V. Kovalenko6.0011128123S. Ponomarenko1.1181011101WAug 28 · 03:25V. Kovalenko1.401111113V. Khamurda2.758780WAug 28 · 01:55V. Kovalenko1.83111169123R. Gnoevoy1.83491111102
E. Rubtsov10
WSep 10 · 24:25V. Panasenko1.4451190E. Rubtsov2.631113113LSep 9 · 23:25E. Rubtsov2.751181251P. Plakushchyi1.4061114113LSep 9 · 22:25O. Kovalchuk1.83111177113E. Rubtsov1.8345111182LSep 9 · 03:55P. Plakushchyi1.40711311113E. Rubtsov2.7511711792LSep 9 · 02:55O. Kovalchuk1.731111113E. Rubtsov2.007460LSep 9 · 01:25V. Panasenko1.731112113E. Rubtsov2.0051050WSep 8 · 23:25O. Mishchenko1.30111111762E. Rubtsov3.40491311113LSep 8 · 21:25O. Dukhovenko1.061111113E. Rubtsov8.007550LSep 3 · 19:25S. Ponomarenko1.01111112123E. Rubtsov12.008714101LSep 3 · 03:25E. Rubtsov2.209480V. Kovalenko1.611111113
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