TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13103415
Played Sep 9Finished
Volodymyr Panasenko
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
71112107111214––
Oleksandr Mishchenko
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:07 and never touched — 56.5% is still 56.5%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Panasenko to win
56.5%
56.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVolodymyr Panasenko above · Oleksandr Mishchenko below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 12-14
Point 84 set 4, 12-14 — our read held Volodymyr Panasenko at 56.5%
84 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Panasenko 1–0 Oleksandr Mishchenko Oleksandr Mishchenko has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:07What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Panasenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Panasenko 1645 vs Mishchenko 1571
Panasenko
Wrong
both rated, 74 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Panasenko 40% vs Mishchenko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Panasenko 60% vs Mishchenko 40%
Panasenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Panasenko -2 · Mishchenko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Panasenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Panasenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPanasenko 1.73 / Mishchenko 2.00
Signal prob.57% / 44%
Edge (Panasenko)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13103415
Panasenko1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite64% won 29 of 45
Up 2–0, closes it94% 15 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it82% 22 of 27
Mishchenko2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 93 of 248
Down 0–1, comes back12% 17 of 138
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 76
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomePanasenko1wins
AwayMishchenko0wins
Panasenko leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricPanasenkoMishchenkoP − MBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match42.033.0+9.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPanasenkoMishchenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime30 / 51 vs 494 / 105358.8%46.9%30 / 51 vs 494 / 1053Avg sets wonper match2.31.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.936.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PanasenkoPanasenko 1.73/Mishchenko 2.00
Miss
What we said
56.5%
Panasenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Mishchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 9 · 02:25V. Panasenko—11911113O. Mishchenko—711961
V. Panasenko10
LSep 9 · 21:25V. Panasenko1.839580P. Plakushchyi1.831111113LSep 9 · 03:25O. Dukhovenko1.5311111113113V. Panasenko2.3813651572WSep 9 · 02:25V. Panasenko1.8311911113O. Mishchenko1.83711961WSep 9 · 01:25V. Panasenko1.731112113E. Rubtsov2.0051050LSep 8 · 23:55V. Panasenko1.91918611102P. Plakushchyi1.801116119123WSep 8 · 21:55V. Panasenko1.73951111113O. Kovalchuk2.0011118532LSep 2 · 03:25V. Khamurda3.4011114113V. Panasenko1.30771161WSep 2 · 02:25V. Panasenko1.801111113S. Abalmaz1.917180WSep 2 · 01:25V. Panasenko1.611111113S. Skachenko2.205470WSep 1 · 23:55V. Panasenko1.4061217113R. Gnoevoy2.7511101591
O. Mishchenko10
LSep 9 · 21:55V. Kovalenko1.9111611113O. Mishchenko1.80311761WSep 9 · 04:25O. Mishchenko1.5061O. Kovalchuk2.5030LSep 9 · 02:25V. Panasenko1.8311911113O. Mishchenko1.83711961WSep 9 · 24:25O. Dukhovenko1.57111110111O. Mishchenko2.2513912133LSep 8 · 23:25O. Mishchenko1.30111111762E. Rubtsov3.40491311113WSep 8 · 22:25P. Plakushchyi1.7312117101O. Mishchenko2.0014511123WSep 7 · 03:25O. Gavryshko1.404125101O. Mishchenko2.75111011123LSep 7 · 02:25O. Mishchenko2.20111060A. Chepurnyi1.611312113LSep 7 · 01:25O. Mishchenko2.38611881O. Dukhovenko1.5311811113LSep 6 · 23:55O. Mishchenko2.2597111162I. Demchenko1.57111155113
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