TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13111082
Played Sep 11Finished
Oleg Gavryshko
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
711118111115116
Pavel Plakushchyi
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:05 and never touched — 60.5% is still 60.5%
Graded at full timeOleg Gavryshko to win
60.5%
60.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleg Gavryshko above · Pavel Plakushchyi below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 1-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 82 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Oleg Gavryshko at 60.5%
82 points played in total.
H2H Oleg Gavryshko 53–47 Pavel Plakushchyi Pavel Plakushchyi has won 47 of their 100 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 19:05What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Gavryshko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
53-47 in 100
Gavryshko
Correct
gap of 6 in 100, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gavryshko 1751 vs Plakushchyi 1620
Gavryshko
Correct
both rated, 131 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gavryshko 40% vs Plakushchyi 60%
Plakushchyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gavryshko 30% vs Plakushchyi 60%
Plakushchyi
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Gavryshko +1 · Plakushchyi -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Gavryshko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Plakushchyi form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGavryshko 1.61 / Plakushchyi 2.20
Signal prob.61% / 40%
Edge (Gavryshko)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13111082
Gavryshko1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite57% won 79 of 138
Up 2–0, closes it96% 45 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it83% 68 of 82
Plakushchyi2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog34% won 86 of 251
Down 0–1, comes back15% 23 of 153
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 87
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGavryshko6wins
AwayPlakushchyi4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderGavryshko leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGavryshko66.7%4 of 6
AwayPlakushchyi50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gavryshko6Plakushchyi4n = 10Gavryshko took 6 of 10
S2Gavryshko7Plakushchyi3n = 10Gavryshko took 7 of 10
S3Gavryshko5Plakushchyi5n = 10split evenly
S4Gavryshko2Plakushchyi3n = 5Plakushchyi took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricGavryshkoPlakushchyiG − PBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match35.234.1+1.1per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGavryshkoPlakushchyiBasisWin rate · lifetime327 / 621 vs 306 / 69052.7%44.4%327 / 621 vs 306 / 690Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.135.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GavryshkoGavryshko 1.61/Plakushchyi 2.20
Hit
What we said
60.5%
Gavryshko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Gavryshko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 15:55O. Gavryshko—1212113P. Plakushchyi—101050
LAug 7 · 18:55O. Gavryshko—11117672P. Plakushchyi—731111113
WJul 24 · 21:55O. Gavryshko—21111113P. Plakushchyi—113771
WJul 13 · 03:25O. Gavryshko—1111123P. Plakushchyi—86100
WJul 12 · 04:25O. Gavryshko—51116113P. Plakushchyi—1191471
LJul 6 · 03:25O. Gavryshko—7890P. Plakushchyi—1111113
LJul 5 · 04:25O. Gavryshko—137851P. Plakushchyi—111111113
LJun 22 · 03:25O. Gavryshko—5680P. Plakushchyi—1111113
WJun 20 · 22:25O. Gavryshko—1112113P. Plakushchyi—71060
WJun 19 · 19:55O. Gavryshko—1113117113P. Plakushchyi—311131192
O. Gavryshko10
WSep 11 · 15:55I. Demchenko3.001390O. Gavryshko1.361111113LSep 11 · 14:25O. Gavryshko1.836740A. Chepurnyi1.831111113LSep 7 · 03:25O. Gavryshko1.404125101O. Mishchenko2.75111011123WSep 7 · 01:55O. Gavryshko1.3661111123I. Demchenko3.001198101LSep 7 · 24:25O. Gavryshko1.83147111292A. Chepurnyi1.831211814113LSep 6 · 22:55O. Gavryshko1.7325670M. Makienko2.002711113LSep 6 · 21:25O. Gavryshko2.50981191O. Dukhovenko1.5011118113LSep 6 · 04:25O. Gavryshko1.30127110I. Demchenko3.401411133LSep 6 · 02:25O. Dukhovenko1.50111169113O. Gavryshko2.5059111182WSep 6 · 24:25Y. Kryvorotko1.6111561272O. Gavryshko2.205111110113
P. Plakushchyi10
LSep 11 · 14:55O. Dukhovenko1.111111113P. Plakushchyi6.008850WSep 11 · 13:55I. Demchenko1.44111191192P. Plakushchyi2.63361113113WSep 10 · 03:55O. Kovalchuk2.508680P. Plakushchyi1.501111113LSep 10 · 02:55O. Mishchenko2.10117115113P. Plakushchyi1.6761141172WSep 10 · 01:25V. Kovalenko2.001211811122P. Plakushchyi1.73144116143WSep 9 · 23:25E. Rubtsov2.751181251P. Plakushchyi1.4061114113WSep 9 · 21:25V. Panasenko1.839580P. Plakushchyi1.831111113WSep 9 · 03:55P. Plakushchyi1.40711311113E. Rubtsov2.7511711792LSep 9 · 01:55O. Dukhovenko1.131111113P. Plakushchyi5.502860LSep 9 · 24:55P. Plakushchyi1.574760O. Kovalchuk2.251111113
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