TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13110129
Played Sep 12Finished
Martin Ulrych
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
114311118114––
Julius Didi
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:23 and never touched — 67.9% is still 67.9%
Graded at full timeMartin Ulrych to win
67.9%
67.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Ulrych above · Julius Didi below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 63 set 4, 11-4 — our read held Martin Ulrych at 67.9%
63 points played in total.
H2H Martin Ulrych 5–2 Julius Didi Julius Didi has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:23What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Ulrych
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-2 in 7
Ulrych
Correct
gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ulrych 1468 vs Didi 1400
Ulrych
Correct
both rated, 67 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ulrych 80% vs Didi 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ulrych 80% vs Didi 60%
Ulrych
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ulrych +1 · Didi +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Ulrych)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Didi form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsUlrych 1.40 / Didi 2.75
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Ulrych)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13110129
Ulrych1.40
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite67% won 46 of 69
Up 2–0, closes it100% 25 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it87% 33 of 38
Didi2.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 99 of 226
Down 0–1, comes back19% 20 of 106
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 61
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeUlrych5wins
AwayDidi2wins
1 of 7 to a deciderUlrych leads 5–2, and 1 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeUlrych80%4 of 5
AwayDidin = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ulrych5Didi2n = 7Ulrych took 5 of 7
S2Ulrych4Didi3n = 7Ulrych took 4 of 7
S3Ulrych4Didi3n = 7Ulrych took 4 of 7
S4Ulrych3Didi2n = 5Ulrych took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home229%
3–1Four sets, home229%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away229%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricUlrychDidiU − DBasisWins52+3in 7 meetingsFirst set52+3of 7Avg pointsper match37.333.6+3.7per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricUlrychDidiBasisWin rate · lifetime94 / 155 vs 395 / 76860.7%51.4%94 / 155 vs 395 / 768Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.337.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
UlrychUlrych 1.40/Didi 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.9%
Ulrych · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Ulrych won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WJul 25 · 01:30M. Ulrych—11126113J. Didi—8101131
WJul 23 · 11:00M. Ulrych—11711113J. Didi—911641
LJul 11 · 06:30M. Ulrych—4111111J. Didi—11136113
WMay 30 · 15:30M. Ulrych—1111143J. Didi—59120
WMay 30 · 12:00M. Ulrych—3111011113J. Didi—11712592
WMay 28 · 02:00M. Ulrych—1111113J. Didi—4950
LMar 31 · 02:00M. Ulrych—1191271J. Didi—81114113
M. Ulrych10
WSep 11 · 23:00M. Ulrych2.381311113R. Urban1.5311590LSep 11 · 22:00V. Dolezal1.801215911113M. Ulrych1.91101711842WSep 6 · 03:30M. Ulrych1.36111111113M. Novotny3.00613161WSep 6 · 01:30M. Ulrych1.6171111113V. Kosar2.20114651WSep 6 · 24:30J. Strnad1.83811451M. Ulrych1.8311911113WSep 5 · 23:30P. Berdych1.9181160M. Ulrych1.801113113WSep 5 · 22:30M. Ulrych1.831111113M. Novotny1.839580WAug 31 · 13:30M. Ulrych2.63911911113Z. Zikmunda1.4411811772WAug 31 · 12:00M. Ulrych2.201111113A. Svoboda1.617380LAug 31 · 11:30Z. Zikmunda1.5711611113M. Ulrych2.25611691
J. Didi10
WSep 11 · 23:30V. Dolezal1.805790J. Didi1.911111113WSep 11 · 22:30J. Didi1.73881112113M. Stefek2.00111181052LSep 9 · 17:28J. Didi1.6161141192M. Stefek2.20118117113WSep 9 · 16:00J. Didi2.02119118113J. Steffan1.7081181162WSep 9 · 15:30M. Stefek1.83511561J. Didi1.8311611113WSep 9 · 14:00J. Didi1.571111113T. Regner2.257930LSep 9 · 09:04M. Stefek1.73613311123J. Didi2.001111116102LSep 9 · 08:00J. Didi1.619911101M. Stefek2.2011118123LSep 9 · 07:30J. Pleskot1.5711118113J. Didi2.25961141WSep 9 · 06:00J. Didi2.381111113V. Dolezal1.539690
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