TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13110011
Played Sep 11Finished
Vaclav Dolezal
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
12101517911118114
Martin Ulrych
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:53 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeMartin Ulrych to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVaclav Dolezal above · Martin Ulrych below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 15-17
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-4
Point 108 set 5, 11-4 — our read held Martin Ulrych at 58.9%
108 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:53What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Dolezal
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Dolezal 1446 vs Ulrych 1466
Ulrych
Wrong
both rated, 20 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dolezal 60% vs Ulrych 100%
Ulrych
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dolezal 60% vs Ulrych 90%
Ulrych
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dolezal +1 · Ulrych +5
Ulrych
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Dolezal) · live re-read · sealed at 41% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ulrych form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDolezal 1.80 / Ulrych 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Dolezal)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13110011
Dolezal1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 141 of 216
Up 2–0, closes it95% 70 of 74
Up 1–0, closes it81% 104 of 128
Ulrych1.91
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog45% won 18 of 40
Down 0–1, comes back17% 4 of 23
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricDolezalUlrychBasisWin rate · lifetime380 / 768 vs 93 / 15349.5%60.8%380 / 768 vs 93 / 153Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.238.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DolezalDolezal 1.80/Ulrych 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Dolezal · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Dolezal won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
V. Dolezal10
WSep 10 · 13:30V. Dolezal1.481111113M. Stefek2.456750LSep 10 · 12:30R. Hasmanda1.61111107113V. Dolezal2.2089111152WSep 10 · 11:30V. Dolezal2.50811115133A. Svoboda1.50119511112WSep 10 · 10:30M. Stefek2.255930V. Dolezal1.571111113LSep 10 · 09:30V. Dolezal1.91981661A. Svoboda1.80111114113LSep 10 · 08:30L. Sulava2.631111113V. Dolezal1.441940WSep 10 · 07:30V. Dolezal1.6111118113M. Stefek2.20791171WSep 10 · 06:30A. Svoboda1.5010550V. Dolezal2.501211113LSep 9 · 09:28J. Pleskot2.75111265113V. Dolezal1.40910111192WSep 9 · 08:30V. Dolezal1.331117155113J. Pleskot3.25519131192
M. Ulrych10
WSep 6 · 03:30M. Ulrych1.36111111113M. Novotny3.00613161WSep 6 · 01:30M. Ulrych1.6171111113V. Kosar2.20114651WSep 6 · 24:30J. Strnad1.83811451M. Ulrych1.8311911113WSep 5 · 23:30P. Berdych1.9181160M. Ulrych1.801113113WSep 5 · 22:30M. Ulrych1.831111113M. Novotny1.839580WAug 31 · 13:30M. Ulrych2.63911911113Z. Zikmunda1.4411811772WAug 31 · 12:00M. Ulrych2.201111113A. Svoboda1.617380LAug 31 · 11:30Z. Zikmunda1.5711611113M. Ulrych2.25611691WAug 31 · 10:00M. Ulrych1.671111143P. Kulhanek2.1068120WAug 31 · 09:00Z. Zikmunda1.5010111071M. Ulrych2.5012712113
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