TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13111345
Played Sep 11Finished
Vaclav Dolezal
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511711911––––
Julius Didi
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:04 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVaclav Dolezal to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVaclav Dolezal above · Julius Didi below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 54 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Vaclav Dolezal at 54.0%
54 points played in total.
H2H Vaclav Dolezal 8–5 Julius Didi Julius Didi has won 5 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:04What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Dolezal
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-5 in 13
Dolezal
Wrong
gap of 3 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dolezal 1457 vs Didi 1384
Dolezal
Wrong
both rated, 74 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dolezal 80% vs Didi 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dolezal 60% vs Didi 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Dolezal +2 · Didi +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Dolezal)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Didi form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDolezal 1.80 / Didi 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Dolezal)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13111345
Dolezal1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 141 of 216
Up 2–0, closes it95% 70 of 74
Up 1–0, closes it81% 104 of 128
Didi1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 99 of 226
Down 0–1, comes back19% 20 of 106
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 61
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDolezal6wins
AwayDidi4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderDolezal leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDolezal100%5 of 5
AwayDidi80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dolezal5Didi5n = 10split evenly
S2Dolezal8Didi2n = 10Dolezal took 8 of 10
S3Dolezal5Didi5n = 10split evenly
S4Dolezal4Didi2n = 6Dolezal took 4 of 6
S5Dolezal1Didi2n = 3Didi took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDolezalDidiDolezal − DidiBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.634.8+2.8per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDolezalDidiBasisWin rate · lifetime381 / 769 vs 394 / 76749.5%51.4%381 / 769 vs 394 / 767Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DolezalDolezal 1.80/Didi 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Dolezal · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Didi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 9 · 06:00V. Dolezal249690J. Didi331111113
WSep 4 · 20:59V. Dolezal331111113J. Didi229850
LSep 4 · 19:30V. Dolezal4871114882J. Didi491141211113
WSep 3 · 03:04V. Dolezal4411139113J. Didi325111151
LSep 2 · 23:30V. Dolezal43411711102J. Didi51118119123
WAug 22 · 11:30V. Dolezal4211119113J. Didi31881141
LAug 20 · 02:30V. Dolezal25461141J. Didi4111118113
WJul 9 · 18:30V. Dolezal341211113J. Didi2210930
WJun 25 · 12:58V. Dolezal50811911113J. Didi4511911592
WJun 25 · 11:30V. Dolezal331111113J. Didi227960
V. Dolezal10
LSep 12 · 02:58R. Urban1.5371111113V. Dolezal2.38118981LSep 12 · 02:30R. Urban1.731111143V. Dolezal2.0084120WSep 12 · 01:00M. Stefek2.63134371V. Dolezal1.44111111113WSep 11 · 22:00V. Dolezal1.801215911113M. Ulrych1.91101711842WSep 10 · 13:30V. Dolezal1.481111113M. Stefek2.456750LSep 10 · 12:30R. Hasmanda1.61111107113V. Dolezal2.2089111152WSep 10 · 11:30V. Dolezal2.50811115133A. Svoboda1.50119511112WSep 10 · 10:30M. Stefek2.255930V. Dolezal1.571111113LSep 10 · 09:30V. Dolezal1.91981661A. Svoboda1.80111114113LSep 10 · 08:30L. Sulava2.631111113V. Dolezal1.441940
J. Didi10
LSep 12 · 03:28M. Ulrych1.36891111113J. Didi3.0011116892WSep 12 · 01:30J. Didi1.731111113R. Urban2.003880LSep 12 · 24:30M. Ulrych1.4011311113J. Didi2.75411841WSep 11 · 22:30J. Didi1.73881112113M. Stefek2.00111181052LSep 9 · 17:28J. Didi1.6161141192M. Stefek2.20118117113WSep 9 · 16:00J. Didi2.02119118113J. Steffan1.7081181162WSep 9 · 15:30M. Stefek1.83511561J. Didi1.8311611113WSep 9 · 14:00J. Didi1.571111113T. Regner2.257930LSep 9 · 09:04M. Stefek1.73613311123J. Didi2.001111116102LSep 9 · 08:00J. Didi1.619911101M. Stefek2.2011118123
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