Roman Urban vs Vaclav Dolezal 3-1

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga ProMatch #13118494

Played Sep 12Finished

Roman Urban

Home

1.53

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Lost last 1

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

711118119118––

Vaclav Dolezal

Away

2.38

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Won last 1

How it is goingRoman Urban above · Vaclav Dolezal below

Set 1 · 7-11

Set 2 · 11-8

Set 3 · 11-9

Set 4 · 11-8

Point 76 set 4, 11-8

76 points played in total.

H2H Roman Urban 5–4 Vaclav Dolezal Vaclav Dolezal has won 4 of their 9 meetings.

Last 9 · 5–4Same sideHead to head

Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Urban)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Dolezal form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsUrban 1.53 / Dolezal 2.38

Signal prob.58% / 42%

Edge (Urban)-2.4pp (anti-value)

Czech Liga Pro · #13118494

Urban1.53

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As favourite77% won 39 of 51

Up 2–0, closes it96% 22 of 23

Up 1–0, closes it91% 32 of 35

Dolezal2.38

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As underdog33% won 43 of 130

Down 0–1, comes back23% 17 of 75

Down 0–2, comes back11% 5 of 46

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 9 meetings

HomeUrban5wins

AwayDolezal4wins

2 of 9 to a deciderUrban leads 5–4, and 2 of those 9 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeUrban80%4 of 5

AwayDolezal75%3 of 4

Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Urban5Dolezal4n = 9Urban took 5 of 9

S2Urban6Dolezal3n = 9Urban took 6 of 9

S3Urban7Dolezal2n = 9Urban took 7 of 9

S4Urban1Dolezal5n = 6Dolezal took 5 of 6

Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home333%

3–1Four sets, home111%

3–2Decider, home111%

2–3Decider, away111%

1–3Four sets, away333%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 9 meetings

MetricUrbanDolezalU − DBasisWins54+1in 9 meetingsFirst set54+1of 9Avg pointsper match37.336.0+1.3per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricUrbanDolezalBasisWin rate · lifetime73 / 140 vs 382 / 77252.1%49.5%73 / 140 vs 382 / 772Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.438.1per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Urban

Urban 1.53/Dolezal 2.38

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

58.4%

Urban · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Urban won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record9

WSep 12 · 02:30R. Urban—1111143V. Dolezal—84120

WSep 4 · 23:00R. Urban—912118113V. Dolezal—111061172

LAug 16 · 03:29R. Urban—871131V. Dolezal—11115113

LAug 16 · 02:30R. Urban—761191V. Dolezal—11116113

WJun 14 · 01:30R. Urban—1212123V. Dolezal—1010100

LMay 16 · 24:30R. Urban—961161V. Dolezal—11117113

LMay 9 · 02:59R. Urban—11115882V. Dolezal—881111113

WMay 8 · 22:30R. Urban—1113133V. Dolezal—711110

WFeb 1 · 24:30R. Urban—11116113V. Dolezal—591151

R. Urban10

WSep 12 · 02:30R. Urban1.731111143V. Dolezal2.0084120 LSep 12 · 01:30J. Didi1.731111113R. Urban2.003880 WSep 12 · 24:00R. Urban1.571111113M. Stefek2.258780 LSep 11 · 23:00M. Ulrych2.381311113R. Urban1.5311590 LSep 5 · 03:28O. Kucirek1.361111113R. Urban3.009240 LSep 5 · 02:00A. Svoboda1.3611711113R. Urban3.00511711 WSep 5 · 24:30R. Urban1.80111112113M. Stefek1.91951471 WSep 4 · 23:00R. Urban1.83912118113V. Dolezal1.83111061172 LSep 4 · 22:00O. Kucirek1.331211511113R. Urban3.2514711352 WAug 29 · 02:59P. Bruzek2.5011118822R. Urban1.50751111113

V. Dolezal10

LSep 12 · 02:30R. Urban1.731111143V. Dolezal2.0084120 WSep 12 · 01:00M. Stefek2.63134371V. Dolezal1.44111111113 LSep 11 · 23:30V. Dolezal1.805790J. Didi1.911111113 WSep 11 · 22:00V. Dolezal1.801215911113M. Ulrych1.91101711842 WSep 10 · 13:30V. Dolezal1.481111113M. Stefek2.456750 LSep 10 · 12:30R. Hasmanda1.61111107113V. Dolezal2.2089111152 WSep 10 · 11:30V. Dolezal2.50811115133A. Svoboda1.50119511112 WSep 10 · 10:30M. Stefek2.255930V. Dolezal1.571111113 LSep 10 · 09:30V. Dolezal1.91981661A. Svoboda1.80111114113 LSep 4 · 23:00R. Urban1.83912118113V. Dolezal1.83111061172

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