TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13110103
Played Sep 11Finished
Martin Ulrych
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1311115119––––
Roman Urban
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:23 and never touched — 60.8% is still 60.8%
Graded at full timeRoman Urban to win
60.8%
60.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMartin Ulrych above · Roman Urban below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 60 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Roman Urban at 60.8%
60 points played in total.
H2H Martin Ulrych 0–1 Roman Urban Martin Ulrych has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:23What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Urban
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Ulrych 1455 vs Urban 1438
Ulrych
Correct
both rated, 16 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ulrych 80% vs Urban 40%
Ulrych
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ulrych 80% vs Urban 50%
Ulrych
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ulrych -1 · Urban -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Urban)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Urban form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsUlrych 2.38 / Urban 1.53
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Urban)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13110103
Ulrych2.38
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog45% won 18 of 40
Down 0–1, comes back17% 4 of 23
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 17
Urban1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite77% won 39 of 51
Up 2–0, closes it96% 22 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it91% 32 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeUlrych0wins
AwayUrban1wins
Urban leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricUlrychUrbanUlrych − UrbanBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match15.033.0−18.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricUlrychUrbanBasisWin rate · lifetime93 / 154 vs 71 / 13660.4%52.2%93 / 154 vs 71 / 136Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.336.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
UrbanUlrych 2.38/Urban 1.53
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.8%
Urban · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Ulrych won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LApr 28 · 23:00M. Ulrych153570R. Urban331111113
M. Ulrych10
WSep 12 · 03:28M. Ulrych1.36891111113J. Didi3.0011116892WSep 12 · 02:00M. Stefek1.91741251M. Ulrych1.80111110113WSep 12 · 24:30M. Ulrych1.4011311113J. Didi2.75411841LSep 11 · 22:00V. Dolezal1.801215911113M. Ulrych1.91101711842WSep 6 · 03:30M. Ulrych1.36111111113M. Novotny3.00613161WSep 6 · 01:30M. Ulrych1.6171111113V. Kosar2.20114651WSep 6 · 24:30J. Strnad1.83811451M. Ulrych1.8311911113WSep 5 · 23:30P. Berdych1.9181160M. Ulrych1.801113113WSep 5 · 22:30M. Ulrych1.831111113M. Novotny1.839580WAug 31 · 13:30M. Ulrych2.63911911113Z. Zikmunda1.4411811772
R. Urban10
WSep 12 · 02:58R. Urban1.5371111113V. Dolezal2.38118981WSep 12 · 02:30R. Urban1.731111143V. Dolezal2.0084120LSep 12 · 01:30J. Didi1.731111113R. Urban2.003880WSep 12 · 24:00R. Urban1.571111113M. Stefek2.258780LSep 5 · 03:28O. Kucirek1.361111113R. Urban3.009240LSep 5 · 02:00A. Svoboda1.3611711113R. Urban3.00511711WSep 5 · 24:30R. Urban1.80111112113M. Stefek1.91951471WSep 4 · 23:00R. Urban1.83912118113V. Dolezal1.83111061172LSep 4 · 22:00O. Kucirek1.331211511113R. Urban3.2514711352WAug 29 · 02:59P. Bruzek2.5011118822R. Urban1.50751111113
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