TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13108615
Played Sep 11Finished
Julius Didi
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
8118111181210115
Martin Stefek
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:04 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeMartin Stefek to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJulius Didi above · Martin Stefek below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 95 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Martin Stefek at 54.1%
95 points played in total.
H2H Julius Didi 24–25 Martin Stefek Julius Didi has won 24 of their 49 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:04What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Didi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
24-25 in 49
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Didi 1373 vs Stefek 1394
Stefek
Wrong
both rated, 21 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Didi 60% vs Stefek 40%
Didi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Didi 40% vs Stefek 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Didi -1 · Stefek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Didi) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDidi 1.73 / Stefek 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Didi)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13108615
Didi1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite61% won 99 of 163
Up 2–0, closes it88% 50 of 57
Up 1–0, closes it73% 73 of 100
Stefek2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog44% won 193 of 441
Down 0–1, comes back23% 57 of 245
Down 0–2, comes back8% 11 of 147
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDidi3wins
AwayStefek7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderStefek leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDidi50%3 of 6
AwayStefek100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Didi6Stefek4n = 10Didi took 6 of 10
S2Didi4Stefek6n = 10Stefek took 6 of 10
S3Didi4Stefek6n = 10Stefek took 6 of 10
S4Didi3Stefek4n = 7Stefek took 4 of 7
S5Didi0Stefek3n = 3Stefek took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricDidiStefekD − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.235.6+2.6per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDidiStefekBasisWin rate · lifetime393 / 766 vs 581 / 121651.3%47.8%393 / 766 vs 581 / 1216Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.736.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DidiDidi 1.73/Stefek 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.1%
Didi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Didi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 9 · 17:28J. Didi—61141192M. Stefek—118117113
WSep 9 · 15:30J. Didi—11611113M. Stefek—511561
LSep 9 · 09:04J. Didi—1111116102M. Stefek—613311123
LSep 9 · 08:00J. Didi—9911101M. Stefek—11118123
WSep 7 · 07:30J. Didi—1111113M. Stefek—4450
LSep 4 · 18:00J. Didi—1198101M. Stefek—11111123
WAug 30 · 20:59J. Didi—11119113M. Stefek—751161
LAug 30 · 18:00J. Didi—1111101182M. Stefek—481213113
LAug 28 · 23:00J. Didi—81190M. Stefek—1113113
LAug 22 · 01:30J. Didi—10570M. Stefek—1211113
J. Didi10
LSep 9 · 17:28J. Didi1.6161141192M. Stefek2.20118117113WSep 9 · 16:00J. Didi2.02119118113J. Steffan1.7081181162WSep 9 · 15:30M. Stefek1.83511561J. Didi1.8311611113WSep 9 · 14:00J. Didi1.571111113T. Regner2.257930LSep 9 · 09:04M. Stefek1.73613311123J. Didi2.001111116102LSep 9 · 08:00J. Didi1.619911101M. Stefek2.2011118123LSep 9 · 07:30J. Pleskot1.5711118113J. Didi2.25961141WSep 9 · 06:00J. Didi2.381111113V. Dolezal1.539690LSep 7 · 09:28J. Didi1.80831181T. Andrle1.9111117113LSep 7 · 08:30K. Darin1.44121111113J. Didi2.63147991
M. Stefek10
LSep 11 · 09:30M. Stefek1.65124130Z. Zikmunda2.101411153WSep 11 · 08:00M. Stefek1.8311411113J. Pleskot1.83411881WSep 11 · 07:30Z. Zikmunda2.2511712652M. Stefek1.577111011113LSep 11 · 06:00M. Stefek1.80811115112L. Sulava1.91118911133LSep 10 · 13:30V. Dolezal1.481111113M. Stefek2.456750WSep 10 · 12:00A. Svoboda1.5310101111102M. Stefek2.38121267123WSep 9 · 17:28J. Didi1.6161141192M. Stefek2.20118117113LSep 9 · 15:30M. Stefek1.83511561J. Didi1.8311611113WSep 9 · 09:04M. Stefek1.73613311123J. Didi2.001111116102WSep 9 · 08:00J. Didi1.619911101M. Stefek2.2011118123
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.