Stepan Rejent vs Jan Krames Sr 3-1

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka CupMatch #13106350

Played Sep 10Finished

Stepan Rejent

Home

2.25

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Won last 2

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

101215131210118––

Jan Krames Sr

Away

1.57

At publish

Won last 8

Form at publish

9–1Last 10Won last 8

The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:13 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%

Graded at full time

Jan Krames Sr to win

62.5%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingStepan Rejent above · Jan Krames Sr below

Set 1 · 10-12

Set 2 · 15-13

Set 3 · 12-10

Set 4 · 11-8

Point 91 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Jan Krames Sr at 62.5%

91 points played in total.

H2H Stepan Rejent 47–87 Jan Krames Sr Stepan Rejent has won 47 of their 134 meetings.

Last 10 · 4–6Same sideHead to head

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 21:13

What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.57 (59%)

Wrong

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

47-87 in 134

Wrong

gap of 40 in 134, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Rejent 1614 vs Sr 1801

Wrong

both rated, 187 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Rejent 60% vs Sr 100%

Wrong

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Rejent 40% vs Sr 90%

Wrong

50pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Rejent +2 · Sr +5

Wrong

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Sr)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Sr form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsRejent 2.25 / Sr 1.57

Signal prob.38% / 63%

Edge (Sr)+3.6pp

Setka Cup · #13106350

Rejent2.25

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Won last 2

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As underdog40% won 88 of 222

Down 0–1, comes back24% 31 of 129

Down 0–2, comes back9% 6 of 68

Sr1.57

90%won 9 of 10 · last 10

Won last 8

oldest → newest

80%takes the first set · 8 of 10

As favourite58% won 123 of 211

Up 2–0, closes it91% 69 of 76

Up 1–0, closes it79% 102 of 130

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeRejent4wins

AwaySr6wins

1 of 10 to a deciderSr leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeRejent100%3 of 3

AwaySr85.7%6 of 7

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Rejent3Sr7n = 10Sr took 7 of 10

S2Rejent4Sr6n = 10Sr took 6 of 10

S3Rejent4Sr6n = 10Sr took 6 of 10

S4Rejent3Sr3n = 6split evenly

Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home110%

3–1Four sets, home220%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away00%

1–3Four sets, away330%

0–3Straight, away330%

These 10 meetings

MetricRejentSrR − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match32.237.0−4.8per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricRejentSrBasisWin rate · lifetime365 / 780 vs 392 / 70246.8%55.8%365 / 780 vs 392 / 702Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.940.7per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Rejent 2.25/Sr 1.57

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

62.5%

Sr · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Rejent won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

LSep 3 · 13:45S. Rejent—5960J. Sr—1111113

WAug 25 · 14:15S. Rejent—9121111123J. Sr—111487102

WAug 7 · 14:15S. Rejent—1111123J. Sr—89100

WAug 5 · 19:45S. Rejent—11119113J. Sr—991181

LAug 2 · 19:15S. Rejent—381161J. Sr—11117113

LJul 29 · 14:45S. Rejent—211261J. Sr—11911113

WJul 22 · 20:44S. Rejent—11128113J. Sr—4101191

LJul 22 · 18:15S. Rejent—551191J. Sr—11114113

LJul 21 · 18:45S. Rejent—129100J. Sr—1411123

LJul 18 · 17:15S. Rejent—4870J. Sr—1111113

S. Rejent10

WSep 10 · 14:15S. Rejent1.91111285133L. Svoboda1.809101111112 WSep 10 · 13:15S. Rejent2.50111146133M. Zelinka1.50741111112 LSep 9 · 16:23S. Rejent1.5311991162O. Mezera2.38311119113 WSep 9 · 15:15O. Mezera2.259770S. Rejent1.571111113 LSep 9 · 14:45S. Rejent1.67711991J. Senk2.1011611113 LSep 9 · 13:45S. Rejent1.7378111192M. Myler2.00111156113 LSep 8 · 16:19V. Grubr1.91611115113S. Rejent1.8011491182 LSep 8 · 15:15O. Mezera2.38911911113S. Rejent1.5311911962 LSep 8 · 14:45S. Rejent1.6791112852J. Senk2.101181011113 WSep 8 · 13:45S. Rejent1.8351111113V. Grubr1.83118681

J. Sr10

WSep 10 · 14:45J. Sr1.8311126113M. Zelinka1.837101151 WSep 10 · 13:45J. Sr1.6714119113L. Svoboda2.101291151 WSep 6 · 12:54J. Sr1.611311113L. Adam2.2011760 WSep 6 · 11:45J. Sr1.40111112113M. Kocvara2.75761481 WSep 6 · 10:15O. Mezera2.751112461J. Sr1.4091411113 WSep 6 · 09:45L. Adam2.104760J. Sr1.671111113 WSep 5 · 20:44J. Sr1.331111113O. Mezera3.251440 WSep 5 · 19:45J. Senk2.755820J. Sr1.401111113 LSep 5 · 18:45O. Mezera3.00121476123J. Sr1.3610121111102 WSep 5 · 17:15L. Veigl2.25911691J. Sr1.5711511113

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