TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13105631
Played Sep 10Finished
Jan Krames Sr
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 7
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1171210611115––
Matus Zelinka
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:33 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMatus Zelinka to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJan Krames Sr above · Matus Zelinka below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 73 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Matus Zelinka at 54.0%
73 points played in total.
H2H Jan Krames Sr 16–17 Matus Zelinka Jan Krames Sr has won 16 of their 33 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:33What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Zelinka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-17 in 33
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sr 1791 vs Zelinka 1743
Sr
Correct
both rated, 48 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sr 100% vs Zelinka 60%
Sr
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sr 90% vs Zelinka 70%
Sr
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sr +5 · Zelinka -1
Sr
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sr) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sr form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSr 1.83 / Zelinka 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Sr)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13105631
Sr1.83
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Zelinka1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSr4wins
AwayZelinka6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderZelinka leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSr75%3 of 4
AwayZelinka83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sr4Zelinka6n = 10Zelinka took 6 of 10
S2Sr4Zelinka6n = 10Zelinka took 6 of 10
S3Sr8Zelinka2n = 10Sr took 8 of 10
S4Sr4Zelinka3n = 7Sr took 4 of 7
S5Sr0Zelinka3n = 3Zelinka took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSrZelinkaS − ZBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.638.3−0.7per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSrZelinkaBasisWin rate · lifetime391 / 701 vs 207 / 39355.8%52.7%391 / 701 vs 207 / 393Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.739.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SrSr 1.83/Zelinka 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Sr · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 7 · 16:45J. Sr—411891M. Zelinka—11311113
LAug 7 · 15:45J. Sr—77100M. Zelinka—1111123
WMay 3 · 17:15J. Sr—12411113M. Zelinka—1011181
WApr 26 · 14:30J. Sr—71111123M. Zelinka—1158101
LApr 18 · 17:15J. Sr—811161182M. Zelinka—1113148113
LMar 9 · 18:30J. Sr—11712682M. Zelinka—5111011113
WMar 8 · 18:15J. Sr—1211113M. Zelinka—10990
WMar 2 · 18:15J. Sr—1111113M. Zelinka—9670
LFeb 22 · 18:15J. Sr—713111142M. Zelinka—111597113
LJan 16 · 20:15J. Sr—6311101M. Zelinka—11117123
J. Sr10
LSep 10 · 15:15S. Rejent2.25101512113J. Sr1.5712131081WSep 10 · 13:45J. Sr1.6714119113L. Svoboda2.101291151WSep 6 · 12:54J. Sr1.611311113L. Adam2.2011760WSep 6 · 11:45J. Sr1.40111112113M. Kocvara2.75761481WSep 6 · 10:15O. Mezera2.751112461J. Sr1.4091411113WSep 6 · 09:45L. Adam2.104760J. Sr1.671111113WSep 5 · 20:44J. Sr1.331111113O. Mezera3.251440WSep 5 · 19:45J. Senk2.755820J. Sr1.401111113LSep 5 · 18:45O. Mezera3.00121476123J. Sr1.3610121111102WSep 5 · 17:15L. Veigl2.25911691J. Sr1.5711511113
M. Zelinka10
WSep 10 · 15:45L. Svoboda2.503990M. Zelinka1.501111113LSep 10 · 13:15S. Rejent2.50111146133M. Zelinka1.50741111112WSep 10 · 08:53M. Zelinka2.0012116113L. Dobias1.731091191LSep 10 · 07:45L. Dobias1.7311117113M. Zelinka2.00871191WSep 10 · 06:45L. Heinzl1.831261051M. Zelinka1.83101112113WSep 10 · 05:15P. Wasik1.5311115562M. Zelinka2.38971111113WSep 9 · 12:48M. Zelinka1.6781111113M. Stibor2.10116671WSep 9 · 11:45M. Zelinka2.101111113L. Dobias1.678970WSep 9 · 10:15L. Svoboda2.25107111182M. Zelinka1.57121196113LSep 9 · 09:45M. Stibor2.2011811133M. Zelinka1.617111111
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.