TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13104957
Played Sep 10Finished
Tomas Dousek
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
711114911116114
Radovan Polasek
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:42 and never touched — 60.3% is still 60.3%
Graded at full timeRadovan Polasek to win
60.3%
60.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingTomas Dousek above · Radovan Polasek below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 11-4
Point 85 set 5, 11-4 — our read held Radovan Polasek at 60.3%
85 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Dousek 15–20 Radovan Polasek Tomas Dousek has won 15 of their 35 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:42What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Polasek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-20 in 35
Polasek
Wrong
gap of 5 in 35, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dousek 1808 vs Polasek 1881
Polasek
Wrong
both rated, 73 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dousek 60% vs Polasek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dousek 50% vs Polasek 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Dousek +2 · Polasek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Polasek) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDousek 1.83 / Polasek 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Polasek)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13104957
Dousek1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Polasek1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDousek5wins
AwayPolasek5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDousek57.1%4 of 7
AwayPolasek66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dousek7Polasek3n = 10Dousek took 7 of 10
S2Dousek3Polasek7n = 10Polasek took 7 of 10
S3Dousek4Polasek6n = 10Polasek took 6 of 10
S4Dousek3Polasek5n = 8Polasek took 5 of 8
S5Dousek3Polasek1n = 4Dousek took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDousekPolasekD − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.839.0+0.8per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDousekPolasekBasisWin rate · lifetime239 / 453 vs 450 / 88252.8%51%239 / 453 vs 450 / 882Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.338.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PolasekDousek 1.83/Polasek 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Polasek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Dousek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 6 · 20:00T. Dousek—11117163R. Polasek—7811141
LSep 5 · 14:00T. Dousek—9911101R. Polasek—11117123
LSep 4 · 12:59T. Dousek—8880R. Polasek—1111113
LSep 4 · 12:00T. Dousek—1181081R. Polasek—91112113
WAug 31 · 07:30T. Dousek—118117123R. Polasek—711911102
WAug 25 · 09:28T. Dousek—711117123R. Polasek—112511102
LAug 25 · 08:00T. Dousek—118571R. Polasek—91111113
WAug 24 · 08:00T. Dousek—118911113R. Polasek—61111372
WAug 21 · 20:30T. Dousek—1111113R. Polasek—7490
LAug 16 · 11:30T. Dousek—115511102R. Polasek—611116123
T. Dousek10
WSep 10 · 17:30T. Dousek1.851114113M. Cabis1.8581270WSep 10 · 15:00T. Dousek1.835121112143M. Cabis1.831110614122WSep 10 · 14:00M. Biolek1.50691361T. Dousek2.50111111113LSep 7 · 21:00T. Dousek1.7310990O. Paril2.001211113LSep 7 · 20:30M. Vavrecka2.00101111113T. Dousek1.73129491WSep 7 · 19:30T. Dousek1.80111179113O. Paril1.9159111162LSep 7 · 18:30D. Opanasiuk1.8010111011113T. Dousek1.9112612892LSep 7 · 13:30M. Navedla2.1071111113T. Dousek1.67116841WSep 7 · 12:00T. Dousek1.6171111113P. Wawrosz2.20117881LSep 7 · 11:30M. Navedla2.501111123T. Dousek1.5098100
R. Polasek10
LSep 10 · 16:59R. Polasek2.20611431M. Biolek1.6111911113LSep 10 · 15:30R. Polasek2.20311111152M. Biolek1.61118137113WSep 10 · 14:30M. Cabis1.831111106102R. Polasek1.83561211123WSep 10 · 13:30O. Paril1.738470R. Polasek2.001111113LSep 10 · 12:00R. Polasek1.61101340M. Navedla2.201215113WSep 10 · 11:30J. Pilch2.251151381R. Polasek1.5741115113WSep 10 · 10:00R. Polasek1.8311118113O. Paril1.83981191LSep 9 · 17:30M. Grundel2.10117115113R. Polasek1.6571151162WSep 9 · 16:30L. Prikasky2.0391350R. Polasek1.621115113LSep 9 · 15:30R. Polasek1.75711781M. Skotnica1.9511811113
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R. Polasek
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