TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13104951
Played Sep 10Finished
Tomas Dousek
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
511121011612141412
Michal Cabis
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:48 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMichal Cabis to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingTomas Dousek above · Michal Cabis below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 12-14
Set 5 · 14-12
Point 107 set 5, 14-12 — our read held Michal Cabis at 54.0%
107 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Dousek 10–12 Michal Cabis Tomas Dousek has won 10 of their 22 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:48What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Cabis
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-12 in 22
Cabis
Wrong
gap of 2 in 22, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dousek 1795 vs Cabis 1882
Cabis
Wrong
both rated, 86 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dousek 40% vs Cabis 60%
Cabis
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dousek 40% vs Cabis 60%
Cabis
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dousek +1 · Cabis +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Cabis)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dousek form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDousek 1.83 / Cabis 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Cabis)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13104951
Dousek1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Cabis1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDousek5wins
AwayCabis5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDousek75%3 of 4
AwayCabis66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dousek4Cabis6n = 10Cabis took 6 of 10
S2Dousek4Cabis6n = 10Cabis took 6 of 10
S3Dousek7Cabis3n = 10Dousek took 7 of 10
S4Dousek5Cabis4n = 9Dousek took 5 of 9
S5Dousek2Cabis3n = 5Cabis took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDousekCabisD − CBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match42.140.7+1.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDousekCabisBasisWin rate · lifetime238 / 452 vs 366 / 69652.7%52.6%238 / 452 vs 366 / 696Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.239.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CabisDousek 1.83/Cabis 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Cabis · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Dousek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 31 · 08:00T. Dousek—101180M. Cabis—1213113
LAug 24 · 11:30T. Dousek—118111192M. Cabis—311913113
WAug 19 · 13:00T. Dousek—11911113M. Cabis—911371
LAug 19 · 11:00T. Dousek—106111192M. Cabis—121198113
LAug 13 · 12:00T. Dousek—7111041M. Cabis—11612113
LAug 12 · 11:00T. Dousek—66111182M. Cabis—111198113
WAug 9 · 13:29T. Dousek—11119113M. Cabis—881181
WAug 9 · 11:30T. Dousek—613116113M. Cabis—111191172
WJul 8 · 10:00T. Dousek—11911113M. Cabis—611381
WJul 7 · 16:58T. Dousek—911116113M. Cabis—11571172
T. Dousek10
WSep 10 · 14:00M. Biolek1.50691361T. Dousek2.50111111113LSep 7 · 21:00T. Dousek1.7310990O. Paril2.001211113LSep 7 · 20:30M. Vavrecka2.00101111113T. Dousek1.73129491WSep 7 · 19:30T. Dousek1.80111179113O. Paril1.9159111162LSep 7 · 18:30D. Opanasiuk1.8010111011113T. Dousek1.9112612892LSep 7 · 13:30M. Navedla2.1071111113T. Dousek1.67116841WSep 7 · 12:00T. Dousek1.6171111113P. Wawrosz2.20117881LSep 7 · 11:30M. Navedla2.501111123T. Dousek1.5098100WSep 7 · 10:00T. Dousek1.611111113J. Pilch2.209980LSep 6 · 21:30T. Dousek1.46127921P. Wawrosz2.36101111113
M. Cabis10
LSep 10 · 14:30M. Cabis1.831111106102R. Polasek1.83561211123WSep 5 · 13:03M. Cabis1.5571211113T. Zika2.301110831LSep 5 · 12:30M. Cabis1.6151113872O. Paril2.201151111113WSep 5 · 11:00M. Cabis1.6111811113T. Zika2.20611931LSep 5 · 10:00M. Biolek1.61116119113M. Cabis2.2081161162WAug 31 · 17:00J. Szotkowski1.73101040M. Cabis2.001212113LAug 31 · 16:30T. Zika2.2011411113M. Cabis1.61711491LAug 31 · 15:30M. Cabis1.837570R. Revay1.831111113WAug 31 · 14:30J. Szotkowski1.73118871M. Cabis2.0071111113WAug 31 · 09:28R. Polasek1.836970M. Cabis1.831111113
Upcoming Matches
T. Dousek
M. Cabis
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