TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13103358
Played Sep 10Finished
Martin Biolek
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
6119111311611––
Tomas Dousek
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:47 and never touched — 66.7% is still 66.7%
Graded at full timeMartin Biolek to win
66.7%
66.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMartin Biolek above · Tomas Dousek below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 78 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Martin Biolek at 66.7%
78 points played in total.
H2H Martin Biolek 11–3 Tomas Dousek Tomas Dousek has won 3 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:47What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Biolek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-3 in 14
Biolek
Wrong
gap of 8 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Biolek 1947 vs Dousek 1779
Biolek
Wrong
both rated, 168 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Biolek 40% vs Dousek 20%
Biolek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Biolek 60% vs Dousek 40%
Biolek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Biolek +2 · Dousek -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Biolek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dousek form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBiolek 1.50 / Dousek 2.50
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Biolek)+4.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13103358
Biolek1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 109 of 203
Up 2–0, closes it90% 52 of 58
Up 1–0, closes it71% 79 of 111
Dousek2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog43% won 39 of 90
Down 0–1, comes back33% 16 of 49
Down 0–2, comes back18% 4 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBiolek8wins
AwayDousek2wins
6 of 10 to a deciderBiolek leads 8–2, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBiolek71.4%5 of 7
AwayDousek0%0 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Biolek7Dousek3n = 10Biolek took 7 of 10
S2Biolek8Dousek2n = 10Biolek took 8 of 10
S3Biolek4Dousek6n = 10Dousek took 6 of 10
S4Biolek3Dousek4n = 7Dousek took 4 of 7
S5Biolek5Dousek1n = 6Biolek took 5 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBiolekDousekB − DBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match42.537.0+5.5per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBiolekDousekBasisWin rate · lifetime220 / 396 vs 237 / 45155.6%52.6%220 / 396 vs 237 / 451Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.039.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BiolekBiolek 1.50/Dousek 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.9%
Biolek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Dousek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 5 · 16:00M. Biolek—711811113T. Dousek—11911842
WAug 17 · 14:00M. Biolek—1211411113T. Dousek—14611922
WJul 14 · 14:00M. Biolek—1111113T. Dousek—5450
WJul 12 · 13:00M. Biolek—1111123T. Dousek—98100
WJul 12 · 11:00M. Biolek—6111111113T. Dousek—11991372
WJul 7 · 15:00M. Biolek—1111113T. Dousek—6750
LJul 5 · 17:30M. Biolek—1110571T. Dousek—51211113
WJul 5 · 16:00M. Biolek—121489113T. Dousek—1012111142
WJun 29 · 17:30M. Biolek—118711113T. Dousek—61111692
LJun 29 · 16:00M. Biolek—11118852T. Dousek—591111113
M. Biolek10
WSep 6 · 20:58M. Biolek1.801211113O. Paril1.9110950WSep 6 · 20:00M. Biolek1.7311128113O. Paril2.007101181LSep 6 · 19:30J. Dzida1.8011118113M. Biolek1.91991151LSep 6 · 18:00M. Biolek1.8371271122D. Opanasiuk1.831110115113LSep 5 · 17:29M. Biolek1.4411671122R. Polasek2.63711115113WSep 5 · 16:00T. Dousek2.5011911842M. Biolek1.50711811113WSep 5 · 15:00R. Polasek2.2011441182M. Biolek1.61411119113WSep 5 · 14:30M. Biolek1.501112123T. Zika2.50810100LSep 5 · 13:29M. Biolek1.801110661O. Paril1.9171211113WSep 5 · 12:00M. Biolek1.571111113T. Zika2.258880
T. Dousek10
LSep 7 · 21:00T. Dousek1.7310990O. Paril2.001211113LSep 7 · 20:30M. Vavrecka2.00101111113T. Dousek1.73129491WSep 7 · 19:30T. Dousek1.80111179113O. Paril1.9159111162LSep 7 · 18:30D. Opanasiuk1.8010111011113T. Dousek1.9112612892LSep 7 · 13:30M. Navedla2.1071111113T. Dousek1.67116841WSep 7 · 12:00T. Dousek1.6171111113P. Wawrosz2.20117881LSep 7 · 11:30M. Navedla2.501111123T. Dousek1.5098100WSep 7 · 10:00T. Dousek1.611111113J. Pilch2.209980LSep 6 · 21:30T. Dousek1.46127921P. Wawrosz2.36101111113LSep 5 · 16:00T. Dousek2.5011911842M. Biolek1.50711811113
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