TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13104956
Played Sep 10Finished
Michal Cabis
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11511610126111012
Radovan Polasek
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:42 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRadovan Polasek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMichal Cabis above · Radovan Polasek below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 94 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Radovan Polasek at 54.0%
94 points played in total.
H2H Michal Cabis 30–36 Radovan Polasek Michal Cabis has won 30 of their 66 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:42What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Polasek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
30-36 in 66
Polasek
Correct
gap of 6 in 66, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Cabis 1882 vs Polasek 1879
Cabis
Wrong
both rated, 2 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cabis 60% vs Polasek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cabis 60% vs Polasek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Cabis +1 · Polasek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Cabis) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCabis 1.83 / Polasek 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Cabis)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13104956
Cabis1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Polasek1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeCabis4wins
AwayPolasek6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderPolasek leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCabis66.7%4 of 6
AwayPolasek100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cabis6Polasek4n = 10Cabis took 6 of 10
S2Cabis5Polasek5n = 10split evenly
S3Cabis5Polasek5n = 10split evenly
S4Cabis1Polasek5n = 6Polasek took 5 of 6
S5Cabis1Polasek2n = 3Polasek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricCabisPolasekC − PBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.139.9−2.8per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCabisPolasekBasisWin rate · lifetime366 / 696 vs 449 / 88052.6%51%366 / 696 vs 449 / 880Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.138.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CabisCabis 1.83/Polasek 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Cabis · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Polasek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 31 · 09:28M. Cabis—1111113R. Polasek—6970
LAug 31 · 06:30M. Cabis—711671R. Polasek—11711113
LAug 30 · 07:30M. Cabis—5101271R. Polasek—111210113
LAug 29 · 09:30M. Cabis—159120R. Polasek—1711143
WAug 29 · 07:30M. Cabis—1211143R. Polasek—109120
LAug 28 · 13:00M. Cabis—6640R. Polasek—1111113
WAug 28 · 11:00M. Cabis—121110113R. Polasek—1091281
WAug 9 · 10:00M. Cabis—116115153R. Polasek—711511132
LAug 1 · 12:00M. Cabis—11911962R. Polasek—511811113
LJul 30 · 10:30M. Cabis—141111732R. Polasek—1281311113
M. Cabis10
WSep 5 · 13:03M. Cabis1.5571211113T. Zika2.301110831LSep 5 · 12:30M. Cabis1.6151113872O. Paril2.201151111113WSep 5 · 11:00M. Cabis1.6111811113T. Zika2.20611931LSep 5 · 10:00M. Biolek1.61116119113M. Cabis2.2081161162WAug 31 · 17:00J. Szotkowski1.73101040M. Cabis2.001212113LAug 31 · 16:30T. Zika2.2011411113M. Cabis1.61711491LAug 31 · 15:30M. Cabis1.837570R. Revay1.831111113WAug 31 · 14:30J. Szotkowski1.73118871M. Cabis2.0071111113WAug 31 · 09:28R. Polasek1.836970M. Cabis1.831111113WAug 31 · 08:00T. Dousek1.80101180M. Cabis1.911213113
R. Polasek10
WSep 10 · 13:30O. Paril1.738470R. Polasek2.001111113LSep 10 · 12:00R. Polasek1.61101340M. Navedla2.201215113WSep 10 · 11:30J. Pilch2.251151381R. Polasek1.5741115113WSep 10 · 10:00R. Polasek1.8311118113O. Paril1.83981191LSep 9 · 17:30M. Grundel2.10117115113R. Polasek1.6571151162WSep 9 · 16:30L. Prikasky2.0391350R. Polasek1.621115113LSep 9 · 15:30R. Polasek1.75711781M. Skotnica1.9511811113WSep 9 · 14:30M. Grundel2.0854111122R. Polasek1.59111173113LSep 9 · 09:30O. Paril1.80111110113R. Polasek1.90891281LAug 31 · 09:28R. Polasek1.836970M. Cabis1.831111113
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