TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13103463
Played Sep 9Finished
Dawid Stapor
Home
2.18
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1187118111210911
Dmytro Skvarskyi
Away
1.56
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:29 and never touched — 58.8% is still 58.8%
Graded at full timeDmytro Skvarskyi to win
58.8%
58.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
98 points played in total.
Set by set
1187118111210911
H2H Dawid Stapor 4–7 Dmytro Skvarskyi Dawid Stapor has won 4 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:29What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.56 (58%)
Skvarskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-7 in 11
Skvarskyi
Correct
gap of 3 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stapor 1541 vs Skvarskyi 1683
Skvarskyi
Correct
both rated, 142 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stapor 60% vs Skvarskyi 80%
Skvarskyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stapor 60% vs Skvarskyi 80%
Skvarskyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stapor -1 · Skvarskyi +3
Skvarskyi
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Skvarskyi) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skvarskyi form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStapor 2.18 / Skvarskyi 1.56
Signal prob.39% / 62%
Edge (Skvarskyi)+3.2pp
TT Cup · #13103463
Stapor2.18
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog49% won 42 of 86
Down 0–1, comes back26% 12 of 46
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 26
Skvarskyi1.56
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite64% won 61 of 95
Up 2–0, closes it92% 24 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it77% 34 of 44
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStapor3wins
AwaySkvarskyi7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSkvarskyi leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStapor50%2 of 4
AwaySkvarskyi83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stapor4Skvarskyi6n = 10Skvarskyi took 6 of 10
S2Stapor4Skvarskyi6n = 10Skvarskyi took 6 of 10
S3Stapor5Skvarskyi5n = 10split evenly
S4Stapor3Skvarskyi4n = 7Skvarskyi took 4 of 7
S5Stapor1Skvarskyi3n = 4Skvarskyi took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricStaporSkvarskyiStapor − SkvarskyiBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.940.6−3.7per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStaporSkvarskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime488 / 917 vs 135 / 20053.2%67.5%488 / 917 vs 135 / 200Avg sets wonper match2.02.4per matchAvg pointsper match37.539.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkvarskyiStapor 2.18/Skvarskyi 1.56
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.5%
Skvarskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Skvarskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 06:05D. Stapor—10780D. Skvarskyi—1211113
LSep 1 · 13:00D. Stapor—131091152D. Skvarskyi—1112118113
WSep 1 · 09:30D. Stapor—61111113D. Skvarskyi—118471
LJul 17 · 05:30D. Stapor—116891D. Skvarskyi—91111113
WJul 15 · 07:30D. Stapor—1111123D. Skvarskyi—46100
WApr 14 · 11:00D. Stapor—111198113D. Skvarskyi—58111192
LFeb 25 · 13:00D. Stapor—511141282D. Skvarskyi—1191214113
LFeb 24 · 12:00D. Stapor—410111192D. Skvarskyi—111289113
LFeb 19 · 09:00D. Stapor—751141D. Skvarskyi—11119113
LFeb 17 · 10:30D. Stapor—4670D. Skvarskyi—1111113
D. Stapor10
LSep 9 · 10:00M. Lysakowski1.58111111113D. Stapor2.20981361WSep 9 · 08:00P. Gola2.001161181D. Stapor1.7291113113WSep 9 · 07:00D. Stapor1.7211811113S. Wloszek2.00611951LSep 9 · 06:00M. Burkacki2.1811118113D. Stapor1.56961191WSep 8 · 13:10D. Stapor1.60111157113M. Burkacki2.2066111182LSep 8 · 11:00D. Stapor2.75116891M. Ovcharenko1.4191111113WSep 8 · 09:30D. Stapor1.601111113M. Burkacki2.108660LSep 8 · 08:00D. Stapor1.83531191B. Molka1.8611112113WSep 8 · 06:30D. Stapor1.8512111113113S. Radlo1.8514651552WSep 8 · 05:00D. Stapor1.701113113S. Wloszek1.9651160
D. Skvarskyi10
WSep 9 · 10:30D. Skvarskyi1.43511117113S. Wloszek2.4811961192WSep 9 · 08:30M. Burkacki2.5011711752D. Skvarskyi1.47911911113WSep 9 · 06:30P. Gola2.801311910102D. Skvarskyi1.351171112123LSep 9 · 05:30M. Lysakowski1.761411113D. Skvarskyi1.9012460WSep 7 · 13:40D. Skvarskyi1.8711111410113M. Lysakowski1.83613121232WSep 7 · 12:00M. Stepien2.4111511142D. Skvarskyi1.46811911113WSep 7 · 10:30D. Skvarskyi1.4131111143M. Burkacki2.601184121WSep 7 · 08:30M. Lysakowski1.8613491132D. Skvarskyi1.831111116113WSep 7 · 06:30S. Radlo2.051061181D. Skvarskyi1.7012118113LSep 7 · 05:30B. Molka2.10111011113D. Skvarskyi1.65312461
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