TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13102535
Played Sep 9Finished
Pawel Gola
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1196111113811––
Dawid Stapor
Away
1.72
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:22 and never touched — 54.8% is still 54.8%
Graded at full timeDawid Stapor to win
54.8%
54.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
80 points played in total.
Set by set
1196111113811––
H2H Pawel Gola 44–74 Dawid Stapor Pawel Gola has won 44 of their 118 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:22What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.72 (54%)
Stapor
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
44-74 in 118
Stapor
Correct
gap of 30 in 118, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gola 1575 vs Stapor 1536
Gola
Wrong
both rated, 39 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gola 40% vs Stapor 60%
Stapor
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gola 60% vs Stapor 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Gola -1 · Stapor +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Stapor) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGola 2.00 / Stapor 1.72
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Gola)-0.2pp
TT Cup · #13102535
Gola2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As underdog37% won 77 of 210
Down 0–1, comes back15% 17 of 117
Down 0–2, comes back9% 7 of 80
Stapor1.72
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 178 of 294
Up 2–0, closes it99% 91 of 92
Up 1–0, closes it87% 134 of 155
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGola7wins
AwayStapor3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderGola leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGola100%6 of 6
AwayStapor75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gola6Stapor4n = 10Gola took 6 of 10
S2Gola8Stapor2n = 10Gola took 8 of 10
S3Gola5Stapor5n = 10split evenly
S4Gola5Stapor0n = 5Gola took 5 of 5
S5Gola1Stapor2n = 3Stapor took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricGolaStaporG − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.633.9+4.7per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGolaStaporBasisWin rate · lifetime579 / 1182 vs 487 / 91749%53.1%579 / 1182 vs 487 / 917Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StaporGola 2.00/Stapor 1.72
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Stapor · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Stapor won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 2 · 10:00P. Gola—1114113D. Stapor—51260
LSep 1 · 11:00P. Gola—101141282D. Stapor—1291110113
WAug 28 · 13:40P. Gola—1111113D. Stapor—9560
WAug 28 · 07:00P. Gola—1111113D. Stapor—4840
LAug 23 · 17:05P. Gola—4880D. Stapor—1111113
WAug 21 · 11:00P. Gola—1213811113D. Stapor—141111782
WAug 19 · 13:00P. Gola—11911113D. Stapor—811991
LAug 19 · 06:30P. Gola—101171262D. Stapor—1261110113
WJul 31 · 06:00P. Gola—1111113D. Stapor—8570
WJul 30 · 11:30P. Gola—111110113D. Stapor—791281
P. Gola10
WSep 9 · 12:40P. Gola1.381111113S. Wloszek2.806660WSep 9 · 11:00P. Gola1.8311913123M. Lysakowski1.8781111101WSep 9 · 09:30P. Gola1.561012118113M. Burkacki2.18121091152LSep 9 · 06:30P. Gola2.801311910102D. Skvarskyi1.351171112123WSep 4 · 13:00M. Burkacki1.984930P. Gola1.731111113WSep 4 · 12:00M. Lysakowski2.009470P. Gola1.721111113LSep 4 · 10:30P. Gola2.257640M. Stepien1.541111113LSep 4 · 08:30M. Burkacki2.051511118163P. Gola1.68178611142WSep 4 · 06:30S. Radlo1.888670P. Gola1.761111113LSep 4 · 05:30M. Ovcharenko1.31711118113P. Gola3.0011681132
D. Stapor10
LSep 9 · 13:10M. Lysakowski1.5813116133D. Stapor2.1411611111LSep 9 · 12:00D. Stapor2.1811781292D. Skvarskyi1.568111110113LSep 9 · 10:00M. Lysakowski1.58111111113D. Stapor2.20981361WSep 9 · 07:00D. Stapor1.7211811113S. Wloszek2.00611951LSep 9 · 06:00M. Burkacki2.1811118113D. Stapor1.56961191WSep 8 · 13:10D. Stapor1.60111157113M. Burkacki2.2066111182LSep 8 · 11:00D. Stapor2.75116891M. Ovcharenko1.4191111113WSep 8 · 09:30D. Stapor1.601111113M. Burkacki2.108660LSep 8 · 08:00D. Stapor1.83531191B. Molka1.8611112113WSep 8 · 06:30D. Stapor1.8512111113113S. Radlo1.8514651552
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