TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13074001
Played Sep 4Finished
Maksim Ovcharenko
Home
1.31
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
711116118811113
Pawel Gola
Away
3.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:00 and never touched — 61.2% is still 61.2%
Graded at full timeMaksim Ovcharenko to win
61.2%
61.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
87 points played in total.
Set by set
711116118811113
H2H Maksim Ovcharenko 10–2 Pawel Gola Pawel Gola has won 2 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:00What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.31 (70%)
Ovcharenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-2 in 12
Ovcharenko
Correct
gap of 8 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ovcharenko 1703 vs Gola 1583
Ovcharenko
Correct
both rated, 120 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ovcharenko 60% vs Gola 80%
Gola
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ovcharenko 50% vs Gola 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Ovcharenko -1 · Gola +3
Gola
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Ovcharenko) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gola form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOvcharenko 1.31 / Gola 3.00
Signal prob.71% / 29%
Edge (Ovcharenko)+1.6pp
TT Cup · #13074001
Ovcharenko1.31
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite71% won 20 of 28
Up 2–0, closes it100% 14 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it89% 16 of 18
Gola3.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog38% won 86 of 224
Down 0–1, comes back15% 19 of 123
Down 0–2, comes back8% 7 of 83
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeOvcharenko9wins
AwayGola1wins
1 of 10 to a deciderOvcharenko leads 9–1, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOvcharenko100%7 of 7
AwayGola33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ovcharenko7Gola3n = 10Ovcharenko took 7 of 10
S2Ovcharenko10Gola0n = 10Ovcharenko took 10 of 10
S3Ovcharenko4Gola6n = 10Gola took 6 of 10
S4Ovcharenko6Gola2n = 8Ovcharenko took 6 of 8
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home660%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricOvcharenkoGolaO − GBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.130.5+9.6per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOvcharenkoGolaBasisWin rate · lifetime95 / 155 vs 580 / 118361.3%49%95 / 155 vs 580 / 1183Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OvcharenkoOvcharenko 1.31/Gola 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
71.2%
Ovcharenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Ovcharenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WFeb 27 · 08:30M. Ovcharenko—71111123P. Gola—1156101
LFeb 23 · 13:40M. Ovcharenko—5119101P. Gola—11511123
WFeb 23 · 07:00M. Ovcharenko—1111113P. Gola—8460
WFeb 21 · 15:45M. Ovcharenko—111158113P. Gola—57111172
WFeb 21 · 07:05M. Ovcharenko—11118113P. Gola—681171
WFeb 19 · 11:30M. Ovcharenko—41111113P. Gola—117341
WFeb 16 · 11:00M. Ovcharenko—1111113P. Gola—1530
WFeb 13 · 14:10M. Ovcharenko—111110143P. Gola—8512121
WFeb 13 · 07:30M. Ovcharenko—111112113P. Gola—951491
WFeb 9 · 09:30M. Ovcharenko—11139113P. Gola—6111171
M. Ovcharenko10
LSep 6 · 23:35M. Ovcharenko1.38712281B. Molka2.65111011113WSep 6 · 21:35D. Stapor3.253960M. Ovcharenko1.271111113WSep 6 · 20:35B. Molka2.529540M. Ovcharenko1.401111113WSep 6 · 19:05M. Stepien2.278850M. Ovcharenko1.521111113LSep 6 · 16:05S. Wloszek3.151111101113M. Ovcharenko1.2863121182WSep 6 · 15:05J. Masternak2.805840M. Ovcharenko1.351111113WSep 4 · 13:30M. Ovcharenko1.5511116113M. Stepien2.20341181WSep 4 · 11:00S. Radlo2.75671151M. Ovcharenko1.3911116113WSep 4 · 10:00M. Ovcharenko1.57101115113M. Lysakowski2.251281341LSep 4 · 09:00M. Ovcharenko1.46114761M. Stepien2.5081111113
P. Gola10
WSep 4 · 13:00M. Burkacki1.984930P. Gola1.731111113WSep 4 · 12:00M. Lysakowski2.009470P. Gola1.721111113LSep 4 · 10:30P. Gola2.257640M. Stepien1.541111113LSep 4 · 08:30M. Burkacki2.051511118163P. Gola1.68178611142WSep 4 · 06:30S. Radlo1.888670P. Gola1.761111113WSep 2 · 13:40P. Gola1.421111113S. Wloszek2.704460WSep 2 · 12:00P. Gola1.48118117113S. Wloszek2.3661171132WSep 2 · 10:00D. Stapor1.5451260P. Gola2.221114113LSep 2 · 08:00B. Molka2.1319118113P. Gola1.591791171WSep 2 · 07:00P. Gola1.591112113J. Masternak2.1251070
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