TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13088872
Played Sep 6Finished
Bartlomiej Molka
Home
2.52
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911511411––––
Maksim Ovcharenko
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:51 and never touched — 56.1% is still 56.1%
Graded at full timeMaksim Ovcharenko to win
56.1%
56.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
51 points played in total.
Set by set
911511411––––
H2H Bartlomiej Molka 4–7 Maksim Ovcharenko Bartlomiej Molka has won 4 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:51What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (64%)
Ovcharenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-7 in 11
Ovcharenko
Correct
gap of 3 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Molka 1609 vs Ovcharenko 1733
Ovcharenko
Correct
both rated, 124 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Molka 80% vs Ovcharenko 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Molka 70% vs Ovcharenko 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Molka +3 · Ovcharenko +1
Molka
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Ovcharenko) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Molka form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMolka 2.52 / Ovcharenko 1.40
Signal prob.33% / 68%
Edge (Ovcharenko)+3.2pp
TT Cup · #13088872
Molka2.52
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 180 of 410
Down 0–1, comes back21% 48 of 231
Down 0–2, comes back5% 6 of 133
Ovcharenko1.40
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite74% won 25 of 34
Up 2–0, closes it100% 16 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it86% 19 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMolka3wins
AwayOvcharenko7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderOvcharenko leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMolka50%2 of 4
AwayOvcharenko83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Molka4Ovcharenko6n = 10Ovcharenko took 6 of 10
S2Molka5Ovcharenko5n = 10split evenly
S3Molka3Ovcharenko7n = 10Ovcharenko took 7 of 10
S4Molka1Ovcharenko3n = 4Ovcharenko took 3 of 4
S5Molka1Ovcharenko2n = 3Ovcharenko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricMolkaOvcharenkoM − OBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match31.436.0−4.6per matchSweeps24−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMolkaOvcharenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime529 / 1161 vs 102 / 16445.6%62.2%529 / 1161 vs 102 / 164Avg sets wonper match1.82.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OvcharenkoMolka 2.52/Ovcharenko 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.5%
Ovcharenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Ovcharenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LFeb 28 · 14:45B. Molka—8440M. Ovcharenko—1111113
LFeb 28 · 10:35B. Molka—4660M. Ovcharenko—1111113
LFeb 27 · 11:00B. Molka—71141272M. Ovcharenko—1171110113
LFeb 21 · 10:05B. Molka—111181032M. Ovcharenko—381112113
LFeb 20 · 13:40B. Molka—8780M. Ovcharenko—1111113
LFeb 20 · 08:00B. Molka—7650M. Ovcharenko—1111113
WFeb 19 · 12:30B. Molka—1111113M. Ovcharenko—7260
WFeb 16 · 06:30B. Molka—1111133M. Ovcharenko—78110
LFeb 15 · 18:35B. Molka—1110981M. Ovcharenko—81211113
WFeb 10 · 09:00B. Molka—1011143133M. Ovcharenko—1241211112
B. Molka10
WSep 7 · 05:30B. Molka2.10111011113D. Skvarskyi1.65312461WSep 6 · 23:35M. Ovcharenko1.38712281B. Molka2.65111011113WSep 6 · 22:05S. Wloszek2.074101251B. Molka1.62111210113WSep 6 · 18:35D. Stapor1.6951050B. Molka1.971112113WSep 6 · 16:35J. Masternak1.95116451B. Molka1.7491111113WSep 6 · 15:35M. Stepien1.415121261B. Molka2.55111014113LSep 5 · 14:45B. Molka1.82911991S. Radlo1.8211911113WSep 5 · 12:35B. Molka2.0011147113D. Stapor1.729121171WSep 5 · 10:35D. Skvarskyi1.42711871B. Molka2.5011611113LSep 5 · 09:35B. Molka1.651211911112S. Wloszek2.10149118133
M. Ovcharenko10
LSep 6 · 23:35M. Ovcharenko1.38712281B. Molka2.65111011113WSep 6 · 21:35D. Stapor3.253960M. Ovcharenko1.271111113WSep 6 · 19:05M. Stepien2.278850M. Ovcharenko1.521111113LSep 6 · 16:05S. Wloszek3.151111101113M. Ovcharenko1.2863121182WSep 6 · 15:05J. Masternak2.805840M. Ovcharenko1.351111113WSep 4 · 13:30M. Ovcharenko1.5511116113M. Stepien2.20341181WSep 4 · 11:00S. Radlo2.75671151M. Ovcharenko1.3911116113WSep 4 · 10:00M. Ovcharenko1.57101115113M. Lysakowski2.251281341LSep 4 · 09:00M. Ovcharenko1.46114761M. Stepien2.5081111113WSep 4 · 07:30M. Ovcharenko1.381113811113M. Burkacki2.6541511492
Upcoming Matches
B. Molka1 of 1 neutral
M. Ovcharenko
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