TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13089332
Played Sep 6Finished
Sylwester Wloszek
Home
2.07
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
41110121210511––
Bartlomiej Molka
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:10 and never touched — 56.5% is still 56.5%
Graded at full timeBartlomiej Molka to win
56.5%
56.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
75 points played in total.
Set by set
41110121210511––
H2H Sylwester Wloszek 69–72 Bartlomiej Molka Sylwester Wloszek has won 69 of their 141 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:10What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.62 (56%)
Molka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
69-72 in 141
Molka
Correct
gap of 3 in 141, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wloszek 1593 vs Molka 1599
Molka
Correct
both rated, 6 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wloszek 60% vs Molka 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wloszek 50% vs Molka 70%
Molka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Wloszek -1 · Molka -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Molka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wloszek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWloszek 2.07 / Molka 1.62
Signal prob.44% / 57%
Edge (Molka)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13089332
Wloszek2.07
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog39% won 130 of 334
Down 0–1, comes back18% 36 of 199
Down 0–2, comes back3% 4 of 124
Molka1.62
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite49% won 58 of 119
Up 2–0, closes it96% 25 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it73% 37 of 51
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWloszek4wins
AwayMolka6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderMolka leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWloszek50%3 of 6
AwayMolka75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wloszek6Molka4n = 10Wloszek took 6 of 10
S2Wloszek4Molka6n = 10Molka took 6 of 10
S3Wloszek4Molka6n = 10Molka took 6 of 10
S4Wloszek2Molka6n = 8Molka took 6 of 8
S5Wloszek2Molka1n = 3Wloszek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricWloszekMolkaW − MBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.741.7−1.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWloszekMolkaBasisWin rate · lifetime450 / 1021 vs 529 / 116244.1%45.5%450 / 1021 vs 529 / 1162Avg sets wonper match1.81.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MolkaWloszek 2.07/Molka 1.62
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.5%
Molka · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Molka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 5 · 09:35S. Wloszek—149118133B. Molka—1211911112
WSep 2 · 06:30S. Wloszek—911119113B. Molka—11771162
WAug 28 · 13:10S. Wloszek—11911153B. Molka—6117131
WAug 28 · 05:30S. Wloszek—1412113B. Molka—121070
LAug 26 · 06:30S. Wloszek—98100B. Molka—1111123
LAug 20 · 07:00S. Wloszek—1176141B. Molka—91111163
LAug 19 · 06:00S. Wloszek—111161192B. Molka—139117113
LAug 17 · 10:30S. Wloszek—1187101B. Molka—61111123
LAug 13 · 08:30S. Wloszek—513891B. Molka—111111113
LAug 12 · 13:30S. Wloszek—119771B. Molka—61111113
S. Wloszek10
LSep 6 · 23:05M. Stepien1.351111113S. Wloszek3.008330LSep 6 · 20:05M. Stepien1.30911911123S. Wloszek2.93118116102WSep 6 · 18:05J. Masternak1.831071551S. Wloszek1.83121113113WSep 6 · 17:05D. Stapor1.601081171S. Wloszek2.1012115113WSep 6 · 16:05S. Wloszek3.151111101113M. Ovcharenko1.2863121182LSep 5 · 13:45S. Wloszek1.98111161052D. Stapor1.73881112113LSep 5 · 13:05J. Masternak1.90115911163S. Wloszek1.76811118142WSep 5 · 11:35S. Wloszek1.9511713113D. Stapor1.779111191WSep 5 · 09:35B. Molka1.651211911112S. Wloszek2.10149118133LSep 5 · 07:35D. Skvarskyi1.521111143S. Wloszek2.3756120
B. Molka10
WSep 7 · 05:30B. Molka2.10111011113D. Skvarskyi1.65312461WSep 6 · 23:35M. Ovcharenko1.38712281B. Molka2.65111011113LSep 6 · 20:35B. Molka2.529540M. Ovcharenko1.401111113WSep 6 · 18:35D. Stapor1.6951050B. Molka1.971112113WSep 6 · 16:35J. Masternak1.95116451B. Molka1.7491111113WSep 6 · 15:35M. Stepien1.415121261B. Molka2.55111014113LSep 5 · 14:45B. Molka1.82911991S. Radlo1.8211911113WSep 5 · 12:35B. Molka2.0011147113D. Stapor1.729121171WSep 5 · 10:35D. Skvarskyi1.42711871B. Molka2.5011611113LSep 5 · 09:35B. Molka1.651211911112S. Wloszek2.10149118133
Upcoming Matches
S. Wloszek
Nothing scheduled
B. Molka
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