TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13086474
Played Sep 6Finished
Dawid Stapor
Home
1.60
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1012811115711––
Sylwester Wloszek
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:57 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeSylwester Wloszek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
75 points played in total.
Set by set
1012811115711––
H2H Dawid Stapor 47–27 Sylwester Wloszek Sylwester Wloszek has won 27 of their 74 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 07:57What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (57%)
Stapor
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
47-27 in 74
Stapor
Wrong
gap of 20 in 74, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stapor 1524 vs Wloszek 1584
Wloszek
Correct
both rated, 60 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stapor 20% vs Wloszek 60%
Wloszek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stapor 40% vs Wloszek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Stapor +1 · Wloszek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Stapor) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wloszek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStapor 1.60 / Wloszek 2.10
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Stapor)-1.8pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13086474
Stapor1.60
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite61% won 177 of 292
Up 2–0, closes it99% 89 of 90
Up 1–0, closes it86% 132 of 154
Wloszek2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 130 of 334
Down 0–1, comes back18% 36 of 199
Down 0–2, comes back3% 4 of 124
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStapor7wins
AwayWloszek3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderStapor leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStapor83.3%5 of 6
AwayWloszek50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stapor6Wloszek4n = 10Stapor took 6 of 10
S2Stapor6Wloszek4n = 10Stapor took 6 of 10
S3Stapor6Wloszek4n = 10Stapor took 6 of 10
S4Stapor2Wloszek5n = 7Wloszek took 5 of 7
S5Stapor3Wloszek0n = 3Stapor took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricStaporWloszekS − WBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.636.6+3.0per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStaporWloszekBasisWin rate · lifetime481 / 905 vs 448 / 101853.2%44%481 / 905 vs 448 / 1018Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StaporStapor 1.60/Wloszek 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55%
Stapor · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Wloszek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 11:35D. Stapor—9111191S. Wloszek—11713113
LSep 2 · 05:30D. Stapor—91090S. Wloszek—1112113
WAug 28 · 09:00D. Stapor—312117133S. Wloszek—1110711112
WAug 27 · 13:10D. Stapor—13139123S. Wloszek—111111101
LAug 27 · 10:00D. Stapor—1171191S. Wloszek—91113113
WAug 19 · 12:00D. Stapor—1111113S. Wloszek—4570
WAug 18 · 06:30D. Stapor—1181110113S. Wloszek—81171282
WJul 29 · 08:30D. Stapor—51111113S. Wloszek—117651
WJul 28 · 05:00D. Stapor—116113113S. Wloszek—71131192
WJul 23 · 10:00D. Stapor—1111113S. Wloszek—5970
D. Stapor10
WSep 6 · 22:35J. Masternak—1111138102D. Stapor—741511123LSep 6 · 21:35D. Stapor3.253960M. Ovcharenko1.271111113LSep 6 · 19:35J. Masternak2.301111113D. Stapor1.504970LSep 6 · 18:35D. Stapor1.6951050B. Molka1.971112113LSep 6 · 17:35M. Stepien1.501111113D. Stapor2.406570WSep 5 · 13:45S. Wloszek1.98111161052D. Stapor1.73881112113LSep 5 · 12:35B. Molka2.0011147113D. Stapor1.729121171LSep 5 · 11:35S. Wloszek1.9511713113D. Stapor1.779111191LSep 5 · 10:05S. Radlo2.00131211113D. Stapor1.711510871LSep 5 · 08:05J. Masternak1.751114113D. Stapor1.9531260
S. Wloszek10
LSep 6 · 23:05M. Stepien1.351111113S. Wloszek3.008330LSep 6 · 22:05S. Wloszek2.074101251B. Molka1.62111210113LSep 6 · 20:05M. Stepien1.30911911123S. Wloszek2.93118116102WSep 6 · 18:05J. Masternak1.831071551S. Wloszek1.83121113113WSep 6 · 16:05S. Wloszek3.151111101113M. Ovcharenko1.2863121182LSep 5 · 13:45S. Wloszek1.98111161052D. Stapor1.73881112113LSep 5 · 13:05J. Masternak1.90115911163S. Wloszek1.76811118142WSep 5 · 11:35S. Wloszek1.9511713113D. Stapor1.779111191WSep 5 · 09:35B. Molka1.651211911112S. Wloszek2.10149118133LSep 5 · 07:35D. Skvarskyi1.521111143S. Wloszek2.3756120
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