TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13081936
Played Sep 5Finished
Szymon Radlo
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
13151210118117––
Dawid Stapor
Away
1.71
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:50 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDawid Stapor to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
87 points played in total.
Set by set
13151210118117––
H2H Szymon Radlo 28–29 Dawid Stapor Szymon Radlo has won 28 of their 57 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:50What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.71 (54%)
Stapor
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
28-29 in 57
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Radlo 1599 vs Stapor 1568
Radlo
Correct
both rated, 32 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Radlo 20% vs Stapor 40%
Stapor
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Radlo 40% vs Stapor 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Radlo -1 · Stapor -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Stapor)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stapor form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRadlo 2.00 / Stapor 1.71
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Stapor)+0.1pp
TT Cup · #13081936
Radlo2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog52% won 185 of 359
Down 0–1, comes back25% 41 of 163
Down 0–2, comes back7% 7 of 101
Stapor1.71
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 179 of 291
Up 2–0, closes it99% 89 of 90
Up 1–0, closes it86% 132 of 153
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRadlo6wins
AwayStapor4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderRadlo leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRadlo83.3%5 of 6
AwayStapor75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Radlo6Stapor4n = 10Radlo took 6 of 10
S2Radlo6Stapor4n = 10Radlo took 6 of 10
S3Radlo6Stapor4n = 10Radlo took 6 of 10
S4Radlo6Stapor2n = 8Radlo took 6 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricRadloStaporR − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.940.7+1.2per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRadloStaporBasisWin rate · lifetime357 / 706 vs 480 / 90150.6%53.3%357 / 706 vs 480 / 901Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.137.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StaporRadlo 2.00/Stapor 1.71
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Stapor · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Radlo won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 27 · 09:00S. Radlo—81111143D. Stapor—1196121
WAug 23 · 20:05S. Radlo—14117113D. Stapor—1281181
WAug 21 · 13:00S. Radlo—11413113D. Stapor—9111181
LAug 21 · 08:00S. Radlo—9131191D. Stapor—11157113
LAug 18 · 11:00S. Radlo—1112771D. Stapor—91411113
WJul 31 · 07:30S. Radlo—1112113D. Stapor—91090
WJul 30 · 09:00S. Radlo—11711113D. Stapor—911671
LJul 28 · 08:00S. Radlo—711121152D. Stapor—117148113
LJul 26 · 09:35S. Radlo—151491282D. Stapor—17121110113
WJul 24 · 09:00S. Radlo—1114113D. Stapor—91280
S. Radlo10
WSep 7 · 05:00S. Radlo1.441111113M. Burkacki2.507970WSep 5 · 14:45B. Molka1.82911991S. Radlo1.8211911113WSep 5 · 12:05D. Skvarskyi1.5091210111S. Radlo2.40111012133WSep 5 · 11:05S. Radlo1.601214113J. Masternak2.10101290LSep 5 · 08:35S. Radlo1.90129681B. Molka1.76101111113WSep 5 · 06:35S. Radlo1.671411113S. Wloszek2.0012990LSep 4 · 12:30S. Radlo1.536660M. Lysakowski2.351111113LSep 4 · 11:00S. Radlo2.75671151M. Ovcharenko1.3911116113LSep 4 · 09:30S. Radlo1.489990M. Burkacki2.361111113WSep 4 · 08:00S. Radlo2.54911118113M. Lysakowski1.4611771192
D. Stapor10
WSep 6 · 22:35J. Masternak—1111138102D. Stapor—741511123LSep 6 · 21:35D. Stapor3.253960M. Ovcharenko1.271111113LSep 6 · 19:35J. Masternak2.301111113D. Stapor1.504970LSep 6 · 18:35D. Stapor1.6951050B. Molka1.971112113LSep 6 · 17:35M. Stepien1.501111113D. Stapor2.406570LSep 6 · 17:05D. Stapor1.601081171S. Wloszek2.1012115113WSep 5 · 13:45S. Wloszek1.98111161052D. Stapor1.73881112113LSep 5 · 12:35B. Molka2.0011147113D. Stapor1.729121171LSep 5 · 11:35S. Wloszek1.9511713113D. Stapor1.779111191LSep 5 · 08:05J. Masternak1.751114113D. Stapor1.9531260
Upcoming Matches
S. Radlo1 of 2 neutral
D. Stapor
Nothing scheduled
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