TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13081933
Played Sep 5Finished
Sylwester Wloszek
Home
1.95
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1197111311119––
Dawid Stapor
Away
1.77
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:55 and never touched — 60.4% is still 60.4%
Graded at full timeDawid Stapor to win
60.4%
60.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
82 points played in total.
Set by set
1197111311119––
H2H Sylwester Wloszek 27–47 Dawid Stapor Sylwester Wloszek has won 27 of their 74 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:55What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.77 (52%)
Stapor
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
27-47 in 74
Stapor
Wrong
gap of 20 in 74, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wloszek 1570 vs Stapor 1545
Wloszek
Correct
both rated, 25 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wloszek 40% vs Stapor 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wloszek 40% vs Stapor 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Wloszek +1 · Stapor -3
Stapor
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Stapor) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stapor form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWloszek 1.95 / Stapor 1.77
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Stapor)+1.6pp
TT Cup · #13081933
Wloszek1.95
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 129 of 331
Down 0–1, comes back18% 36 of 198
Down 0–2, comes back3% 4 of 122
Stapor1.77
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 179 of 291
Up 2–0, closes it99% 89 of 90
Up 1–0, closes it86% 132 of 153
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWloszek3wins
AwayStapor7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderStapor leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWloszek50%2 of 4
AwayStapor83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wloszek4Stapor6n = 10Stapor took 6 of 10
S2Wloszek4Stapor6n = 10Stapor took 6 of 10
S3Wloszek4Stapor6n = 10Stapor took 6 of 10
S4Wloszek5Stapor2n = 7Wloszek took 5 of 7
S5Wloszek0Stapor3n = 3Stapor took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricWloszekStaporW − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.639.6−3.0per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWloszekStaporBasisWin rate · lifetime447 / 1015 vs 480 / 90344%53.2%447 / 1015 vs 480 / 903Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StaporWloszek 1.95/Stapor 1.77
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Stapor · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Wloszek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 5 · 11:35S. Wloszek—11713113D. Stapor—9111191
WSep 2 · 05:30S. Wloszek—1112113D. Stapor—91090
LAug 28 · 09:00S. Wloszek—1110711112D. Stapor—312117133
LAug 27 · 13:10S. Wloszek—111111101D. Stapor—13139123
WAug 27 · 10:00S. Wloszek—91113113D. Stapor—1171191
LAug 19 · 12:00S. Wloszek—4570D. Stapor—1111113
LAug 18 · 06:30S. Wloszek—81171282D. Stapor—1181110113
LJul 29 · 08:30S. Wloszek—117651D. Stapor—51111113
LJul 28 · 05:00S. Wloszek—71131192D. Stapor—116113113
LJul 23 · 10:00S. Wloszek—5970D. Stapor—1111113
S. Wloszek10
LSep 6 · 23:05M. Stepien1.351111113S. Wloszek3.008330LSep 6 · 22:05S. Wloszek2.074101251B. Molka1.62111210113LSep 6 · 20:05M. Stepien1.30911911123S. Wloszek2.93118116102WSep 6 · 18:05J. Masternak1.831071551S. Wloszek1.83121113113WSep 6 · 17:05D. Stapor1.601081171S. Wloszek2.1012115113WSep 6 · 16:05S. Wloszek3.151111101113M. Ovcharenko1.2863121182LSep 5 · 13:45S. Wloszek1.98111161052D. Stapor1.73881112113LSep 5 · 13:05J. Masternak1.90115911163S. Wloszek1.76811118142WSep 5 · 09:35B. Molka1.651211911112S. Wloszek2.10149118133LSep 5 · 07:35D. Skvarskyi1.521111143S. Wloszek2.3756120
D. Stapor10
WSep 6 · 22:35J. Masternak—1111138102D. Stapor—741511123LSep 6 · 21:35D. Stapor3.253960M. Ovcharenko1.271111113LSep 6 · 19:35J. Masternak2.301111113D. Stapor1.504970LSep 6 · 18:35D. Stapor1.6951050B. Molka1.971112113LSep 6 · 17:35M. Stepien1.501111113D. Stapor2.406570LSep 6 · 17:05D. Stapor1.601081171S. Wloszek2.1012115113WSep 5 · 13:45S. Wloszek1.98111161052D. Stapor1.73881112113LSep 5 · 12:35B. Molka2.0011147113D. Stapor1.729121171LSep 5 · 10:05S. Radlo2.00131211113D. Stapor1.711510871LSep 5 · 08:05J. Masternak1.751114113D. Stapor1.9531260
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