TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13082574
Played Sep 5Finished
Bartlomiej Molka
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1191412711117––
Dawid Stapor
Away
1.72
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
82 points played in total.
Set by set
1191412711117––
H2H Bartlomiej Molka 25–45 Dawid Stapor Bartlomiej Molka has won 25 of their 70 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Stapor)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stapor form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMolka 2.00 / Stapor 1.72
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Molka)-0.2pp
TT Cup · #13082574
Molka2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog44% won 178 of 408
Down 0–1, comes back21% 48 of 231
Down 0–2, comes back5% 6 of 133
Stapor1.72
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite62% won 179 of 291
Up 2–0, closes it99% 89 of 90
Up 1–0, closes it86% 132 of 153
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMolka4wins
AwayStapor6wins
Stapor leads 6–4.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMolka66.7%4 of 6
AwayStapor100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Molka6Stapor4n = 10Molka took 6 of 10
S2Molka3Stapor7n = 10Stapor took 7 of 10
S3Molka4Stapor6n = 10Stapor took 6 of 10
S4Molka3Stapor4n = 7Stapor took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMolkaStaporM − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match35.436.1−0.7per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMolkaStaporBasisWin rate · lifetime528 / 1163 vs 480 / 90345.4%53.2%528 / 1163 vs 480 / 903Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StaporMolka 2.00/Stapor 1.72
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Stapor · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Molka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 2 · 13:10B. Molka—81190D. Stapor—1113113
LSep 2 · 11:00B. Molka—11131081D. Stapor—81512113
WAug 28 · 10:30B. Molka—15611133D. Stapor—13113111
LAug 23 · 23:35B. Molka—117971D. Stapor—71111113
WAug 23 · 22:05B. Molka—11119113D. Stapor—671151
LAug 21 · 06:30B. Molka—591491D. Stapor—111112113
WAug 19 · 08:30B. Molka—1111113D. Stapor—6960
LJul 31 · 11:30B. Molka—711481D. Stapor—11711113
WJul 29 · 07:30B. Molka—11911113D. Stapor—811871
LJul 26 · 08:05B. Molka—6960D. Stapor—1111113
B. Molka10
WSep 7 · 05:30B. Molka2.10111011113D. Skvarskyi1.65312461WSep 6 · 23:35M. Ovcharenko1.38712281B. Molka2.65111011113WSep 6 · 22:05S. Wloszek2.074101251B. Molka1.62111210113LSep 6 · 20:35B. Molka2.529540M. Ovcharenko1.401111113WSep 6 · 18:35D. Stapor1.6951050B. Molka1.971112113WSep 6 · 16:35J. Masternak1.95116451B. Molka1.7491111113WSep 6 · 15:35M. Stepien1.415121261B. Molka2.55111014113LSep 5 · 14:45B. Molka1.82911991S. Radlo1.8211911113WSep 5 · 10:35D. Skvarskyi1.42711871B. Molka2.5011611113LSep 5 · 09:35B. Molka1.651211911112S. Wloszek2.10149118133
D. Stapor10
WSep 6 · 22:35J. Masternak—1111138102D. Stapor—741511123LSep 6 · 21:35D. Stapor3.253960M. Ovcharenko1.271111113LSep 6 · 19:35J. Masternak2.301111113D. Stapor1.504970LSep 6 · 18:35D. Stapor1.6951050B. Molka1.971112113LSep 6 · 17:35M. Stepien1.501111113D. Stapor2.406570LSep 6 · 17:05D. Stapor1.601081171S. Wloszek2.1012115113WSep 5 · 13:45S. Wloszek1.98111161052D. Stapor1.73881112113LSep 5 · 11:35S. Wloszek1.9511713113D. Stapor1.779111191LSep 5 · 10:05S. Radlo2.00131211113D. Stapor1.711510871LSep 5 · 08:05J. Masternak1.751114113D. Stapor1.9531260
Upcoming Matches
B. Molka
D. Stapor
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