TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13089400
Played Sep 7Finished
Bartlomiej Molka
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1131012114116––
Dmytro Skvarskyi
Away
1.65
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:22 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDmytro Skvarskyi to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
68 points played in total.
Set by set
1131012114116––
H2H Bartlomiej Molka 7–10 Dmytro Skvarskyi Bartlomiej Molka has won 7 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:22What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.65 (56%)
Skvarskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-10 in 17
Skvarskyi
Wrong
gap of 3 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Molka 1628 vs Skvarskyi 1636
Skvarskyi
Wrong
both rated, 8 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Molka 80% vs Skvarskyi 60%
Molka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Molka 70% vs Skvarskyi 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Molka +2 · Skvarskyi +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Skvarskyi) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Molka form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMolka 2.10 / Skvarskyi 1.65
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Skvarskyi)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13089400
Molka2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 181 of 408
Down 0–1, comes back21% 48 of 229
Down 0–2, comes back5% 6 of 131
Skvarskyi1.65
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 57 of 90
Up 2–0, closes it92% 23 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it77% 33 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMolka6wins
AwaySkvarskyi4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderMolka leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMolka71.4%5 of 7
AwaySkvarskyi66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Molka7Skvarskyi3n = 10Molka took 7 of 10
S2Molka3Skvarskyi7n = 10Skvarskyi took 7 of 10
S3Molka5Skvarskyi5n = 10split evenly
S4Molka4Skvarskyi3n = 7Molka took 4 of 7
S5Molka2Skvarskyi1n = 3Molka took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMolkaSkvarskyiM − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match36.934.4+2.5per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMolkaSkvarskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime531 / 1164 vs 127 / 19045.6%66.8%531 / 1164 vs 127 / 190Avg sets wonper match1.82.4per matchAvg pointsper match37.339.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkvarskyiMolka 2.10/Skvarskyi 1.65
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.4%
Skvarskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Molka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 5 · 10:35B. Molka—11611113D. Skvarskyi—711871
WJul 17 · 07:30B. Molka—91111113D. Skvarskyi—117681
LApr 12 · 15:35B. Molka—3970D. Skvarskyi—1111113
WApr 10 · 13:10B. Molka—118119113D. Skvarskyi—71131162
LApr 10 · 10:30B. Molka—11541162D. Skvarskyi—611117113
LApr 9 · 10:30B. Molka—8380D. Skvarskyi—1111113
LApr 6 · 17:00B. Molka—1181271D. Skvarskyi—51114113
WFeb 28 · 07:35B. Molka—111011113D. Skvarskyi—212871
WFeb 27 · 08:00B. Molka—1111113D. Skvarskyi—5540
WFeb 21 · 15:15B. Molka—111188113D. Skvarskyi—68111192
B. Molka10
WSep 6 · 23:35M. Ovcharenko1.38712281B. Molka2.65111011113WSep 6 · 22:05S. Wloszek2.074101251B. Molka1.62111210113LSep 6 · 20:35B. Molka2.529540M. Ovcharenko1.401111113WSep 6 · 18:35D. Stapor1.6951050B. Molka1.971112113WSep 6 · 16:35J. Masternak1.95116451B. Molka1.7491111113WSep 6 · 15:35M. Stepien1.415121261B. Molka2.55111014113LSep 5 · 14:45B. Molka1.82911991S. Radlo1.8211911113WSep 5 · 12:35B. Molka2.0011147113D. Stapor1.729121171WSep 5 · 10:35D. Skvarskyi1.42711871B. Molka2.5011611113LSep 5 · 09:35B. Molka1.651211911112S. Wloszek2.10149118133
D. Skvarskyi10
WSep 5 · 14:15D. Skvarskyi1.5711915113J. Masternak2.288111361LSep 5 · 12:05D. Skvarskyi1.5091210111S. Radlo2.40111012133LSep 5 · 10:35D. Skvarskyi1.42711871B. Molka2.5011611113WSep 5 · 09:05D. Skvarskyi1.41971111133J. Masternak2.70111168112WSep 5 · 07:35D. Skvarskyi1.521111143S. Wloszek2.3756120WSep 5 · 06:05D. Skvarskyi1.651211113D. Stapor2.1010780WSep 3 · 13:40S. Radlo2.001111971D. Skvarskyi1.7113911113LSep 3 · 12:00D. Skvarskyi1.5451111752S. Radlo2.25118711113WSep 3 · 10:00S. Wloszek2.05129941D. Skvarskyi1.66101111113WSep 3 · 08:00M. Burkacki2.301081141D. Skvarskyi1.5512119113
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