TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13082948
Played Sep 5Finished
Bartlomiej Molka
Home
1.82
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911119911911––
Szymon Radlo
Away
1.82
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:20 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeBartlomiej Molka to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
80 points played in total.
Set by set
911119911911––
H2H Bartlomiej Molka 45–45 Szymon Radlo Dead even across their 90 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:20What took a side0 for · 3 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.82 (50%)
Radlo
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
45-45 in 90
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Molka 1585 vs Radlo 1633
Radlo
Correct
both rated, 48 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Molka 80% vs Radlo 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Molka 60% vs Radlo 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Molka +2 · Radlo +3
Radlo
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Radlo) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Radlo form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMolka 1.82 / Radlo 1.82
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Radlo)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13082948
Molka1.82
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Radlo1.82
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMolka5wins
AwayRadlo5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMolka100%3 of 3
AwayRadlo83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Molka3Radlo6n = 9Radlo took 6 of 9
S2Molka4Radlo5n = 9Radlo took 5 of 9
S3Molka5Radlo4n = 9Molka took 5 of 9
S4Molka4Radlo2n = 6Molka took 4 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMolkaRadloM − RBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set36−3of 9Avg pointsper match37.738.9−1.2per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMolkaRadloBasisWin rate · lifetime529 / 1163 vs 360 / 70945.5%50.8%529 / 1163 vs 360 / 709Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.339.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RadloMolka 1.82/Radlo 1.82
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Radlo · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Radlo won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WAug 31 · 06:00B. Molka—71115113S. Radlo—1191371
LAug 30 · 22:05B. Molka—1491191S. Radlo—16119113
LAug 28 · 06:30B. Molka—411811102S. Radlo—118117123
WAug 24 · 06:30B. Molka—18911123S. Radlo—16116101
LAug 21 · 12:00B. Molka—5780S. Radlo—1111113
WAug 20 · 09:00B. Molka—111011113S. Radlo—812981
LAug 17 · 08:30B. Molka—7940S. Radlo—1111113
WAug 16 · 22:45B. Molka—1412113S. Radlo—121080
LAug 16 · 21:05B. Molka—8119101S. Radlo—11411123
B. Molka10
WSep 7 · 05:30B. Molka2.10111011113D. Skvarskyi1.65312461WSep 6 · 23:35M. Ovcharenko1.38712281B. Molka2.65111011113WSep 6 · 22:05S. Wloszek2.074101251B. Molka1.62111210113LSep 6 · 20:35B. Molka2.529540M. Ovcharenko1.401111113WSep 6 · 18:35D. Stapor1.6951050B. Molka1.971112113WSep 6 · 16:35J. Masternak1.95116451B. Molka1.7491111113WSep 6 · 15:35M. Stepien1.415121261B. Molka2.55111014113WSep 5 · 12:35B. Molka2.0011147113D. Stapor1.729121171WSep 5 · 10:35D. Skvarskyi1.42711871B. Molka2.5011611113LSep 5 · 09:35B. Molka1.651211911112S. Wloszek2.10149118133
S. Radlo10
WSep 7 · 05:00S. Radlo1.441111113M. Burkacki2.507970WSep 5 · 12:05D. Skvarskyi1.5091210111S. Radlo2.40111012133WSep 5 · 11:05S. Radlo1.601214113J. Masternak2.10101290WSep 5 · 10:05S. Radlo2.00131211113D. Stapor1.711510871LSep 5 · 08:35S. Radlo1.90129681B. Molka1.76101111113WSep 5 · 06:35S. Radlo1.671411113S. Wloszek2.0012990LSep 4 · 12:30S. Radlo1.536660M. Lysakowski2.351111113LSep 4 · 11:00S. Radlo2.75671151M. Ovcharenko1.3911116113LSep 4 · 09:30S. Radlo1.489990M. Burkacki2.361111113WSep 4 · 08:00S. Radlo2.54911118113M. Lysakowski1.4611771192
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