TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13081535
Played Sep 5Finished
Bartlomiej Molka
Home
1.65
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
12141199111181113
Sylwester Wloszek
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:59 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeBartlomiej Molka to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
109 points played in total.
Set by set
12141199111181113
H2H Bartlomiej Molka 72–68 Sylwester Wloszek Sylwester Wloszek has won 68 of their 140 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 07:59What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.65 (56%)
Molka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
72-68 in 140
Molka
Wrong
gap of 4 in 140, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Molka 1571 vs Wloszek 1546
Molka
Wrong
both rated, 25 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Molka 60% vs Wloszek 20%
Molka
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Molka 60% vs Wloszek 30%
Molka
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Molka +2 · Wloszek -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Molka) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wloszek form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMolka 1.65 / Wloszek 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Molka)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13081535
Molka1.65
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite49% won 56 of 115
Up 2–0, closes it96% 24 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it72% 36 of 50
Wloszek2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog39% won 129 of 331
Down 0–1, comes back18% 36 of 198
Down 0–2, comes back3% 4 of 122
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMolka7wins
AwayWloszek3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderMolka leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMolka75%3 of 4
AwayWloszek33.3%2 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Molka4Wloszek6n = 10Wloszek took 6 of 10
S2Molka6Wloszek4n = 10Molka took 6 of 10
S3Molka7Wloszek3n = 10Molka took 7 of 10
S4Molka6Wloszek2n = 8Molka took 6 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMolkaWloszekM − WBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.638.7+1.9per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMolkaWloszekBasisWin rate · lifetime529 / 1163 vs 445 / 101345.5%43.9%529 / 1163 vs 445 / 1013Avg sets wonper match1.81.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MolkaMolka 1.65/Wloszek 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.4%
Molka · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Wloszek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 2 · 06:30B. Molka—11771162S. Wloszek—911119113
LAug 28 · 13:10B. Molka—6117131S. Wloszek—11911153
LAug 28 · 05:30B. Molka—121070S. Wloszek—1412113
WAug 26 · 06:30B. Molka—1111123S. Wloszek—98100
WAug 20 · 07:00B. Molka—91111163S. Wloszek—1176141
WAug 19 · 06:00B. Molka—139117113S. Wloszek—111161192
WAug 17 · 10:30B. Molka—61111123S. Wloszek—1187101
WAug 13 · 08:30B. Molka—111111113S. Wloszek—513891
WAug 12 · 13:30B. Molka—61111113S. Wloszek—119771
WAug 12 · 11:30B. Molka—91211113S. Wloszek—1110861
B. Molka10
WSep 7 · 05:30B. Molka2.10111011113D. Skvarskyi1.65312461WSep 6 · 23:35M. Ovcharenko1.38712281B. Molka2.65111011113WSep 6 · 22:05S. Wloszek2.074101251B. Molka1.62111210113LSep 6 · 20:35B. Molka2.529540M. Ovcharenko1.401111113WSep 6 · 18:35D. Stapor1.6951050B. Molka1.971112113WSep 6 · 16:35J. Masternak1.95116451B. Molka1.7491111113WSep 6 · 15:35M. Stepien1.415121261B. Molka2.55111014113LSep 5 · 14:45B. Molka1.82911991S. Radlo1.8211911113WSep 5 · 12:35B. Molka2.0011147113D. Stapor1.729121171WSep 5 · 10:35D. Skvarskyi1.42711871B. Molka2.5011611113
S. Wloszek10
LSep 6 · 23:05M. Stepien1.351111113S. Wloszek3.008330LSep 6 · 22:05S. Wloszek2.074101251B. Molka1.62111210113LSep 6 · 20:05M. Stepien1.30911911123S. Wloszek2.93118116102WSep 6 · 18:05J. Masternak1.831071551S. Wloszek1.83121113113WSep 6 · 17:05D. Stapor1.601081171S. Wloszek2.1012115113WSep 6 · 16:05S. Wloszek3.151111101113M. Ovcharenko1.2863121182LSep 5 · 13:45S. Wloszek1.98111161052D. Stapor1.73881112113LSep 5 · 13:05J. Masternak1.90115911163S. Wloszek1.76811118142WSep 5 · 11:35S. Wloszek1.9511713113D. Stapor1.779111191LSep 5 · 07:35D. Skvarskyi1.521111143S. Wloszek2.3756120
Upcoming Matches
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