TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13088873
Played Sep 6Finished
Marcin Stepien
Home
1.30
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
9111189111161210
Sylwester Wloszek
Away
2.93
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:51 and never touched — 74.4% is still 74.4%
Graded at full timeMarcin Stepien to win
74.4%
74.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
98 points played in total.
Set by set
9111189111161210
H2H Marcin Stepien 77–34 Sylwester Wloszek Sylwester Wloszek has won 34 of their 111 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:51What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (69%)
Stepien
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
77-34 in 111
Stepien
Correct
gap of 43 in 111, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stepien 1646 vs Wloszek 1603
Stepien
Correct
both rated, 43 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stepien 40% vs Wloszek 60%
Wloszek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stepien 40% vs Wloszek 60%
Wloszek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stepien -1 · Wloszek +3
Wloszek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Stepien) · live re-read · sealed at 74% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wloszek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (34%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStepien 1.30 / Wloszek 2.93
Signal prob.71% / 29%
Edge (Stepien)+2.0pp
TT Cup · #13088873
Stepien1.30
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite58% won 198 of 343
Up 2–0, closes it94% 137 of 146
Up 1–0, closes it81% 161 of 200
Wloszek2.93
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 130 of 334
Down 0–1, comes back18% 36 of 199
Down 0–2, comes back3% 4 of 124
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStepien6wins
AwayWloszek4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderStepien leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStepien71.4%5 of 7
AwayWloszek66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stepien7Wloszek3n = 10Stepien took 7 of 10
S2Stepien8Wloszek2n = 10Stepien took 8 of 10
S3Stepien3Wloszek7n = 10Wloszek took 7 of 10
S4Stepien6Wloszek3n = 9Stepien took 6 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricStepienWloszekS − WBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match42.839.0+3.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStepienWloszekBasisWin rate · lifetime646 / 1175 vs 450 / 102055%44.1%646 / 1175 vs 450 / 1020Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StepienStepien 1.30/Wloszek 2.93
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
71.3%
Stepien · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Stepien won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 27 · 08:00M. Stepien—1111113S. Wloszek—8930
LAug 25 · 10:00M. Stepien—111110972S. Wloszek—961211113
LAug 20 · 06:00M. Stepien—11119101S. Wloszek—81311123
WAug 18 · 10:30M. Stepien—14119113S. Wloszek—1281151
WAug 17 · 12:40M. Stepien—91111113S. Wloszek—119961
WAug 17 · 09:00M. Stepien—11128113S. Wloszek—5101191
WAug 13 · 07:30M. Stepien—111111113S. Wloszek—581381
LAug 12 · 05:00M. Stepien—713111182S. Wloszek—111598113
WAug 10 · 12:00M. Stepien—11128113S. Wloszek—8101191
LAug 9 · 10:35M. Stepien—91111101S. Wloszek—11913123
M. Stepien10
LSep 7 · 06:00M. Lysakowski2.01124911143M. Stepien1.661011118122WSep 6 · 23:05M. Stepien1.351111113S. Wloszek3.008330WSep 6 · 21:05J. Masternak3.309460M. Stepien1.301111113LSep 6 · 19:05M. Stepien2.278850M. Ovcharenko1.521111113WSep 6 · 17:35M. Stepien1.501111113D. Stapor2.406570LSep 6 · 15:35M. Stepien1.415121261B. Molka2.55111014113LSep 4 · 13:30M. Ovcharenko1.5511116113M. Stepien2.20341181WSep 4 · 11:30M. Burkacki2.307440M. Stepien1.551111113WSep 4 · 10:30P. Gola2.257640M. Stepien1.541111113WSep 4 · 09:00M. Ovcharenko1.46114761M. Stepien2.5081111113
S. Wloszek10
LSep 6 · 23:05M. Stepien1.351111113S. Wloszek3.008330LSep 6 · 22:05S. Wloszek2.074101251B. Molka1.62111210113WSep 6 · 18:05J. Masternak1.831071551S. Wloszek1.83121113113WSep 6 · 17:05D. Stapor1.601081171S. Wloszek2.1012115113WSep 6 · 16:05S. Wloszek3.151111101113M. Ovcharenko1.2863121182LSep 5 · 13:45S. Wloszek1.98111161052D. Stapor1.73881112113LSep 5 · 13:05J. Masternak1.90115911163S. Wloszek1.76811118142WSep 5 · 11:35S. Wloszek1.9511713113D. Stapor1.779111191WSep 5 · 09:35B. Molka1.651211911112S. Wloszek2.10149118133LSep 5 · 07:35D. Skvarskyi1.521111143S. Wloszek2.3756120
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