TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13077104
Played Sep 4Finished
Mateusz Burkacki
Home
2.30
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711411411––––
Marcin Stepien
Away
1.55
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
48 points played in total.
Set by set
711411411––––
H2H Mateusz Burkacki 0–1 Marcin Stepien Mateusz Burkacki has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Stepien)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stepien form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBurkacki 2.30 / Stepien 1.55
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Stepien)-0.0pp
TT Cup · #13077104
Burkacki2.30
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog40% won 45 of 113
Down 0–1, comes back23% 16 of 70
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 40
Stepien1.55
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 198 of 345
Up 2–0, closes it94% 137 of 146
Up 1–0, closes it80% 161 of 201
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeBurkacki0wins
AwayStepien1wins
Stepien leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricBurkackiStepienB − SBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match15.033.0−18.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBurkackiStepienBasisWin rate · lifetime81 / 199 vs 654 / 118340.7%55.3%81 / 199 vs 654 / 1183Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StepienBurkacki 2.30/Stepien 1.55
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.7%
Stepien · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Stepien won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 4 · 11:30M. Burkacki—7440M. Stepien—1111113
M. Burkacki10
LSep 7 · 05:00S. Radlo1.441111113M. Burkacki2.507970LSep 4 · 13:00M. Burkacki1.984930P. Gola1.731111113WSep 4 · 09:30S. Radlo1.489990M. Burkacki2.361111113WSep 4 · 08:30M. Burkacki2.051511118163P. Gola1.68178611142LSep 4 · 07:30M. Ovcharenko1.381113811113M. Burkacki2.6541511492LSep 4 · 06:00M. Burkacki2.2941111872M. Lysakowski1.51115911113LSep 3 · 12:40M. Lysakowski1.7511412133M. Burkacki1.9851110111WSep 3 · 11:00M. Burkacki2.101111711113S. Wloszek1.6076111382LSep 3 · 09:30M. Burkacki2.85761181M. Ovcharenko1.3311111113LSep 3 · 08:00M. Burkacki2.301081141D. Skvarskyi1.5512119113
M. Stepien10
LSep 7 · 06:00M. Lysakowski2.01124911143M. Stepien1.661011118122WSep 6 · 23:05M. Stepien1.351111113S. Wloszek3.008330WSep 6 · 21:05J. Masternak3.309460M. Stepien1.301111113WSep 6 · 20:05M. Stepien1.30911911123S. Wloszek2.93118116102LSep 6 · 19:05M. Stepien2.278850M. Ovcharenko1.521111113WSep 6 · 17:35M. Stepien1.501111113D. Stapor2.406570LSep 6 · 15:35M. Stepien1.415121261B. Molka2.55111014113LSep 4 · 13:30M. Ovcharenko1.5511116113M. Stepien2.20341181WSep 4 · 10:30P. Gola2.257640M. Stepien1.541111113WSep 4 · 09:00M. Ovcharenko1.46114761M. Stepien2.5081111113
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