TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13070592
Played Sep 3Finished
Mateusz Burkacki
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 8Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 8
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1171167111113118
Sylwester Wloszek
Away
1.60
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:42 and never touched — 69.5% is still 69.5%
Graded at full timeSylwester Wloszek to win
69.5%
69.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
96 points played in total.
Set by set
1171167111113118
H2H Mateusz Burkacki 8–15 Sylwester Wloszek Mateusz Burkacki has won 8 of their 23 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:42What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (57%)
Wloszek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-15 in 23
Wloszek
Wrong
gap of 7 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Burkacki 1457 vs Wloszek 1567
Wloszek
Wrong
both rated, 110 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Burkacki 0% vs Wloszek 40%
Wloszek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Burkacki 10% vs Wloszek 60%
Wloszek
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Burkacki -5 · Wloszek -1
Burkacki
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Wloszek) · live re-read · sealed at 70% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wloszek form (40%) is below what odds imply (63%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBurkacki 2.10 / Wloszek 1.60
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Wloszek)+1.6pp
TT Cup · #13070592
Burkacki2.10
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 8
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog41% won 44 of 107
Down 0–1, comes back25% 16 of 65
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 37
Wloszek1.60
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite48% won 63 of 131
Up 2–0, closes it85% 33 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it72% 52 of 72
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBurkacki5wins
AwayWloszek5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBurkacki83.3%5 of 6
AwayWloszek100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Burkacki6Wloszek4n = 10Burkacki took 6 of 10
S2Burkacki5Wloszek5n = 10split evenly
S3Burkacki5Wloszek5n = 10split evenly
S4Burkacki1Wloszek4n = 5Wloszek took 4 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricBurkackiWloszekB − WBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match32.533.9−1.4per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBurkackiWloszekBasisWin rate · lifetime78 / 193 vs 444 / 100940.4%44%78 / 193 vs 444 / 1009Avg sets wonper match1.81.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WloszekBurkacki 2.10/Wloszek 1.60
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.4%
Wloszek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Burkacki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 2 · 08:30M. Burkacki—6370S. Wloszek—1111113
WJul 7 · 06:30M. Burkacki—11811123S. Wloszek—9116101
LJul 6 · 07:30M. Burkacki—913761S. Wloszek—111111113
LJul 5 · 19:05M. Burkacki—114571S. Wloszek—71111113
WJul 2 · 12:40M. Burkacki—1111113S. Wloszek—1760
LJul 2 · 10:30M. Burkacki—571281S. Wloszek—111110113
WJul 1 · 06:30M. Burkacki—1111113S. Wloszek—7980
WJun 24 · 12:40M. Burkacki—131189133S. Wloszek—1171111112
LJun 24 · 10:00M. Burkacki—7490S. Wloszek—1111113
WJun 23 · 05:30M. Burkacki—1111113S. Wloszek—6690
M. Burkacki10
LSep 7 · 07:00M. Stepien1.361113113M. Burkacki2.8071160LSep 7 · 05:00S. Radlo1.441111113M. Burkacki2.507970LSep 4 · 13:00M. Burkacki1.984930P. Gola1.731111113LSep 4 · 11:30M. Burkacki2.307440M. Stepien1.551111113WSep 4 · 09:30S. Radlo1.489990M. Burkacki2.361111113WSep 4 · 08:30M. Burkacki2.051511118163P. Gola1.68178611142LSep 4 · 07:30M. Ovcharenko1.381113811113M. Burkacki2.6541511492LSep 4 · 06:00M. Burkacki2.2941111872M. Lysakowski1.51115911113LSep 3 · 12:40M. Lysakowski1.7511412133M. Burkacki1.9851110111LSep 3 · 09:30M. Burkacki2.85761181M. Ovcharenko1.3311111113
S. Wloszek10
LSep 6 · 23:05M. Stepien1.351111113S. Wloszek3.008330LSep 6 · 22:05S. Wloszek2.074101251B. Molka1.62111210113LSep 6 · 20:05M. Stepien1.30911911123S. Wloszek2.93118116102WSep 6 · 18:05J. Masternak1.831071551S. Wloszek1.83121113113WSep 6 · 17:05D. Stapor1.601081171S. Wloszek2.1012115113WSep 6 · 16:05S. Wloszek3.151111101113M. Ovcharenko1.2863121182LSep 5 · 13:45S. Wloszek1.98111161052D. Stapor1.73881112113LSep 5 · 13:05J. Masternak1.90115911163S. Wloszek1.76811118142WSep 5 · 11:35S. Wloszek1.9511713113D. Stapor1.779111191WSep 5 · 09:35B. Molka1.651211911112S. Wloszek2.10149118133
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