TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13071474
Played Sep 3Finished
Michal Lysakowski
Home
1.75
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11541112101311––
Mateusz Burkacki
Away
1.98
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
77 points played in total.
Set by set
11541112101311––
H2H Michal Lysakowski 13–8 Mateusz Burkacki Mateusz Burkacki has won 8 of their 21 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Lysakowski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Burkacki form (20%) is below what odds imply (51%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLysakowski 1.75 / Burkacki 1.98
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Lysakowski)+0.9pp
TT Cup · #13071474
Lysakowski1.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite54% won 189 of 353
Up 2–0, closes it90% 122 of 135
Up 1–0, closes it74% 162 of 220
Burkacki1.98
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog41% won 44 of 107
Down 0–1, comes back25% 16 of 65
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 37
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLysakowski6wins
AwayBurkacki4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLysakowski leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLysakowski71.4%5 of 7
AwayBurkacki66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lysakowski7Burkacki3n = 10Lysakowski took 7 of 10
S2Lysakowski5Burkacki5n = 10split evenly
S3Lysakowski5Burkacki5n = 10split evenly
S4Lysakowski4Burkacki4n = 8split evenly
S5Lysakowski2Burkacki1n = 3Lysakowski took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricLysakowskiBurkackiL − BBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.837.4+2.4per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLysakowskiBurkackiBasisWin rate · lifetime639 / 1316 vs 79 / 19448.6%40.7%639 / 1316 vs 79 / 194Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LysakowskiLysakowski 1.75/Burkacki 1.98
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Lysakowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Lysakowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 05:00M. Lysakowski—11117113M. Burkacki—681151
WJul 8 · 10:00M. Lysakowski—1061211113M. Burkacki—121110582
WJul 7 · 11:00M. Lysakowski—11811113M. Burkacki—611891
WJul 6 · 11:00M. Lysakowski—115711123M. Burkacki—911119102
LJul 3 · 07:30M. Lysakowski—1116571M. Burkacki—61811113
LJun 29 · 11:00M. Lysakowski—11119992M. Burkacki—391111113
LJun 28 · 21:35M. Lysakowski—571191M. Burkacki—11119113
LJun 26 · 06:30M. Lysakowski—811871M. Burkacki—11611113
WJun 24 · 07:00M. Lysakowski—1111113M. Burkacki—8560
WJun 20 · 10:35M. Lysakowski—1211113M. Burkacki—10760
M. Lysakowski10
LSep 7 · 08:30M. Lysakowski1.8613491132D. Skvarskyi1.831111116113WSep 7 · 07:30B. Molka2.14971171M. Lysakowski1.5811118113WSep 7 · 06:00M. Lysakowski2.01124911143M. Stepien1.661011118122WSep 4 · 12:30S. Radlo1.536660M. Lysakowski2.351111113LSep 4 · 12:00M. Lysakowski2.009470P. Gola1.721111113LSep 4 · 10:00M. Ovcharenko1.57101115113M. Lysakowski2.251281341LSep 4 · 08:00S. Radlo2.54911118113M. Lysakowski1.4611771192WSep 4 · 07:00M. Lysakowski2.101113113M. Stepien1.6581180WSep 4 · 06:00M. Burkacki2.2941111872M. Lysakowski1.51115911113LSep 3 · 11:30M. Ovcharenko1.6011711113M. Lysakowski2.10711411
M. Burkacki10
LSep 7 · 07:00M. Stepien1.361113113M. Burkacki2.8071160LSep 7 · 05:00S. Radlo1.441111113M. Burkacki2.507970LSep 4 · 13:00M. Burkacki1.984930P. Gola1.731111113LSep 4 · 11:30M. Burkacki2.307440M. Stepien1.551111113WSep 4 · 09:30S. Radlo1.489990M. Burkacki2.361111113WSep 4 · 08:30M. Burkacki2.051511118163P. Gola1.68178611142LSep 4 · 07:30M. Ovcharenko1.381113811113M. Burkacki2.6541511492LSep 4 · 06:00M. Burkacki2.2941111872M. Lysakowski1.51115911113WSep 3 · 11:00M. Burkacki2.101111711113S. Wloszek1.6076111382LSep 3 · 09:30M. Burkacki2.85761181M. Ovcharenko1.3311111113
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