TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13076246
Played Sep 4Finished
Mateusz Burkacki
Home
2.05
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
15171181168111614
Pawel Gola
Away
1.68
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:58 and never touched — 63.0% is still 63.0%
Graded at full timePawel Gola to win
63.0%
63.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
117 points played in total.
Set by set
15171181168111614
H2H Mateusz Burkacki 8–9 Pawel Gola Mateusz Burkacki has won 8 of their 17 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 07:58What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.68 (55%)
Gola
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-9 in 17
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Burkacki 1454 vs Gola 1593
Gola
Wrong
both rated, 139 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Burkacki 20% vs Gola 80%
Gola
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Burkacki 10% vs Gola 60%
Gola
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Burkacki -3 · Gola +1
Burkacki
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Gola) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gola form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBurkacki 2.05 / Gola 1.68
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Gola)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13076246
Burkacki2.05
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog40% won 45 of 113
Down 0–1, comes back23% 16 of 70
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 40
Gola1.68
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite62% won 161 of 262
Up 2–0, closes it99% 87 of 88
Up 1–0, closes it86% 118 of 137
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBurkacki5wins
AwayGola5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBurkacki83.3%5 of 6
AwayGola100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Burkacki6Gola4n = 10Burkacki took 6 of 10
S2Burkacki4Gola6n = 10Gola took 6 of 10
S3Burkacki7Gola3n = 10Burkacki took 7 of 10
S4Burkacki3Gola3n = 6split evenly
S5Burkacki1Gola2n = 3Gola took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBurkackiGolaB − GBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.733.4+3.3per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBurkackiGolaBasisWin rate · lifetime79 / 197 vs 581 / 118540.1%49%79 / 197 vs 581 / 1185Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GolaBurkacki 2.05/Gola 1.68
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55%
Gola · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Burkacki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 2 · 06:00M. Burkacki—461351P. Gola—111111113
LJul 8 · 11:00M. Burkacki—781181P. Gola—11117113
WJul 5 · 21:35M. Burkacki—1111113P. Gola—8670
WJul 3 · 09:00M. Burkacki—1111113P. Gola—4570
WJul 1 · 13:10M. Burkacki—1210119113P. Gola—101251172
LJul 1 · 08:00M. Burkacki—6790P. Gola—1111113
WJun 23 · 12:00M. Burkacki—1111133P. Gola—46110
LJun 19 · 06:00M. Burkacki—92111142P. Gola—111176113
LJun 18 · 06:30M. Burkacki—111281182P. Gola—314116113
WJun 15 · 13:00M. Burkacki—11119113P. Gola—261141
M. Burkacki10
LSep 7 · 07:00M. Stepien1.361113113M. Burkacki2.8071160LSep 7 · 05:00S. Radlo1.441111113M. Burkacki2.507970LSep 4 · 13:00M. Burkacki1.984930P. Gola1.731111113LSep 4 · 11:30M. Burkacki2.307440M. Stepien1.551111113WSep 4 · 09:30S. Radlo1.489990M. Burkacki2.361111113LSep 4 · 07:30M. Ovcharenko1.381113811113M. Burkacki2.6541511492LSep 4 · 06:00M. Burkacki2.2941111872M. Lysakowski1.51115911113LSep 3 · 12:40M. Lysakowski1.7511412133M. Burkacki1.9851110111WSep 3 · 11:00M. Burkacki2.101111711113S. Wloszek1.6076111382LSep 3 · 09:30M. Burkacki2.85761181M. Ovcharenko1.3311111113
P. Gola10
WSep 4 · 13:00M. Burkacki1.984930P. Gola1.731111113WSep 4 · 12:00M. Lysakowski2.009470P. Gola1.721111113LSep 4 · 10:30P. Gola2.257640M. Stepien1.541111113WSep 4 · 06:30S. Radlo1.888670P. Gola1.761111113LSep 4 · 05:30M. Ovcharenko1.31711118113P. Gola3.0011681132WSep 2 · 13:40P. Gola1.421111113S. Wloszek2.704460WSep 2 · 12:00P. Gola1.48118117113S. Wloszek2.3661171132WSep 2 · 10:00D. Stapor1.5451260P. Gola2.221114113LSep 2 · 08:00B. Molka2.1319118113P. Gola1.591791171WSep 2 · 07:00P. Gola1.591112113J. Masternak2.1251070
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