TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13070252
Played Sep 3Finished
Mateusz Burkacki
Home
2.85
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 7
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711611111811––
Maksim Ovcharenko
Away
1.33
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:20 and never touched — 70.0% is still 70.0%
Graded at full timeMaksim Ovcharenko to win
70.0%
70.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
66 points played in total.
Set by set
711611111811––
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:20What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (68%)
Ovcharenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Burkacki 1462 vs Ovcharenko 1706
Ovcharenko
Correct
both rated, 244 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Burkacki 0% vs Ovcharenko 60%
Ovcharenko
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Burkacki 10% vs Ovcharenko 40%
Ovcharenko
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Burkacki -5 · Ovcharenko -1
Burkacki
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Ovcharenko) · live re-read · sealed at 70% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ovcharenko form (60%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBurkacki 2.85 / Ovcharenko 1.33
Signal prob.32% / 68%
Edge (Ovcharenko)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13070252
Burkacki2.85
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog41% won 44 of 107
Down 0–1, comes back25% 16 of 65
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 37
Ovcharenko1.33
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite77% won 17 of 22
Up 2–0, closes it100% 12 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it93% 13 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricBurkackiOvcharenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime78 / 192 vs 114 / 19340.6%59.1%78 / 192 vs 114 / 193Avg sets wonper match1.82.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.237.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
Forecastthe model predicts this market
Match Winner
OvcharenkoBurkacki 2.85/Ovcharenko 1.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.2%
Ovcharenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Ovcharenko won
Handicap · Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Burkacki10
LSep 7 · 07:00M. Stepien1.361113113M. Burkacki2.8071160LSep 7 · 05:00S. Radlo1.441111113M. Burkacki2.507970LSep 4 · 13:00M. Burkacki1.984930P. Gola1.731111113LSep 4 · 11:30M. Burkacki2.307440M. Stepien1.551111113WSep 4 · 09:30S. Radlo1.489990M. Burkacki2.361111113WSep 4 · 08:30M. Burkacki2.051511118163P. Gola1.68178611142LSep 4 · 07:30M. Ovcharenko1.381113811113M. Burkacki2.6541511492LSep 4 · 06:00M. Burkacki2.2941111872M. Lysakowski1.51115911113LSep 3 · 12:40M. Lysakowski1.7511412133M. Burkacki1.9851110111WSep 3 · 11:00M. Burkacki2.101111711113S. Wloszek1.6076111382
M. Ovcharenko10
LSep 6 · 23:35M. Ovcharenko1.38712281B. Molka2.65111011113WSep 6 · 21:35D. Stapor3.253960M. Ovcharenko1.271111113WSep 6 · 20:35B. Molka2.529540M. Ovcharenko1.401111113WSep 6 · 19:05M. Stepien2.278850M. Ovcharenko1.521111113LSep 6 · 16:05S. Wloszek3.151111101113M. Ovcharenko1.2863121182WSep 6 · 15:05J. Masternak2.805840M. Ovcharenko1.351111113WSep 4 · 13:30M. Ovcharenko1.5511116113M. Stepien2.20341181WSep 4 · 11:00S. Radlo2.75671151M. Ovcharenko1.3911116113WSep 4 · 10:00M. Ovcharenko1.57101115113M. Lysakowski2.251281341WSep 4 · 07:30M. Ovcharenko1.381113811113M. Burkacki2.6541511492
Upcoming Matches
M. Burkacki
M. Ovcharenko
Nothing scheduled
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