TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13086475
Played Sep 6Finished
Sylwester Wloszek
Home
3.15
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1161131012111118
Maksim Ovcharenko
Away
1.28
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:58 and never touched — 54.6% is still 54.6%
Graded at full timeMaksim Ovcharenko to win
54.6%
54.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
84 points played in total.
Set by set
1161131012111118
H2H Sylwester Wloszek 6–5 Maksim Ovcharenko Maksim Ovcharenko has won 5 of their 11 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 07:58What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (71%)
Ovcharenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-5 in 11
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wloszek 1568 vs Ovcharenko 1737
Ovcharenko
Wrong
both rated, 169 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wloszek 40% vs Ovcharenko 80%
Ovcharenko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wloszek 40% vs Ovcharenko 80%
Ovcharenko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Wloszek -2 · Ovcharenko +4
Ovcharenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Ovcharenko) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWloszek 3.15 / Ovcharenko 1.28
Signal prob.29% / 72%
Edge (Ovcharenko)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13086475
Wloszek3.15
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 130 of 334
Down 0–1, comes back18% 36 of 199
Down 0–2, comes back3% 4 of 124
Ovcharenko1.28
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite74% won 25 of 34
Up 2–0, closes it100% 16 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it86% 19 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWloszek5wins
AwayOvcharenko5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWloszek80%4 of 5
AwayOvcharenko80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wloszek5Ovcharenko5n = 10split evenly
S2Wloszek6Ovcharenko4n = 10Wloszek took 6 of 10
S3Wloszek6Ovcharenko4n = 10Wloszek took 6 of 10
S4Wloszek3Ovcharenko5n = 8Ovcharenko took 5 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricWloszekOvcharenkoW − OBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.036.4+0.6per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWloszekOvcharenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime447 / 1017 vs 101 / 16244%62.4%447 / 1017 vs 101 / 162Avg sets wonper match1.82.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OvcharenkoWloszek 3.15/Ovcharenko 1.28
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
71.5%
Ovcharenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Wloszek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 13:10S. Wloszek—61112123M. Ovcharenko—11710101
LSep 3 · 07:30S. Wloszek—441531M. Ovcharenko—111113113
WFeb 23 · 10:30S. Wloszek—1111113M. Ovcharenko—5870
LFeb 21 · 11:35S. Wloszek—771111M. Ovcharenko—11116113
WFeb 20 · 09:00S. Wloszek—11117113M. Ovcharenko—391171
LFeb 17 · 14:30S. Wloszek—101161182M. Ovcharenko—125117113
LFeb 17 · 06:30S. Wloszek—1110991M. Ovcharenko—91211113
LFeb 15 · 21:05S. Wloszek—1171181M. Ovcharenko—13117113
WFeb 10 · 14:10S. Wloszek—111296113M. Ovcharenko—710111182
WFeb 10 · 06:00S. Wloszek—1111113M. Ovcharenko—5350
S. Wloszek10
LSep 6 · 23:05M. Stepien1.351111113S. Wloszek3.008330LSep 6 · 22:05S. Wloszek2.074101251B. Molka1.62111210113LSep 6 · 20:05M. Stepien1.30911911123S. Wloszek2.93118116102WSep 6 · 18:05J. Masternak1.831071551S. Wloszek1.83121113113WSep 6 · 17:05D. Stapor1.601081171S. Wloszek2.1012115113LSep 5 · 13:45S. Wloszek1.98111161052D. Stapor1.73881112113LSep 5 · 13:05J. Masternak1.90115911163S. Wloszek1.76811118142WSep 5 · 11:35S. Wloszek1.9511713113D. Stapor1.779111191WSep 5 · 09:35B. Molka1.651211911112S. Wloszek2.10149118133LSep 5 · 07:35D. Skvarskyi1.521111143S. Wloszek2.3756120
M. Ovcharenko10
LSep 6 · 23:35M. Ovcharenko1.38712281B. Molka2.65111011113WSep 6 · 21:35D. Stapor3.253960M. Ovcharenko1.271111113WSep 6 · 20:35B. Molka2.529540M. Ovcharenko1.401111113WSep 6 · 19:05M. Stepien2.278850M. Ovcharenko1.521111113WSep 6 · 15:05J. Masternak2.805840M. Ovcharenko1.351111113WSep 4 · 13:30M. Ovcharenko1.5511116113M. Stepien2.20341181WSep 4 · 11:00S. Radlo2.75671151M. Ovcharenko1.3911116113WSep 4 · 10:00M. Ovcharenko1.57101115113M. Lysakowski2.251281341LSep 4 · 09:00M. Ovcharenko1.46114761M. Stepien2.5081111113WSep 4 · 07:30M. Ovcharenko1.381113811113M. Burkacki2.6541511492
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