TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13089415
Played Sep 7Finished
Szymon Radlo
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117119117––––
Mateusz Burkacki
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:22 and never touched — 58.5% is still 58.5%
Graded at full timeSzymon Radlo to win
58.5%
58.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
56 points played in total.
Set by set
117119117––––
H2H Szymon Radlo 19–16 Mateusz Burkacki Mateusz Burkacki has won 16 of their 35 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:22What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (63%)
Radlo
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-16 in 35
Radlo
Correct
gap of 3 in 35, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Radlo 1643 vs Burkacki 1475
Radlo
Correct
both rated, 168 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Radlo 80% vs Burkacki 40%
Radlo
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Radlo 60% vs Burkacki 30%
Radlo
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Radlo +4 · Burkacki -2
Radlo
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Radlo) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Radlo form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRadlo 1.44 / Burkacki 2.50
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Radlo)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13089415
Radlo1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite52% won 108 of 208
Up 2–0, closes it93% 55 of 59
Up 1–0, closes it74% 89 of 120
Burkacki2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog40% won 47 of 119
Down 0–1, comes back23% 17 of 75
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRadlo5wins
AwayBurkacki5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRadlo62.5%5 of 8
AwayBurkackin = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Radlo8Burkacki2n = 10Radlo took 8 of 10
S2Radlo2Burkacki8n = 10Burkacki took 8 of 10
S3Radlo5Burkacki5n = 10split evenly
S4Radlo2Burkacki6n = 8Burkacki took 6 of 8
S5Radlo3Burkacki1n = 4Radlo took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricRadloBurkackiR − BBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match42.743.5−0.8per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRadloBurkackiBasisWin rate · lifetime361 / 710 vs 81 / 20150.9%40.3%361 / 710 vs 81 / 201Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match39.137.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RadloRadlo 1.44/Burkacki 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.3%
Radlo · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Radlo won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 09:30S. Radlo—9990M. Burkacki—1111113
WSep 3 · 06:30S. Radlo—1113117123M. Burkacki—915911102
WJul 8 · 05:30S. Radlo—11128113M. Burkacki—8101181
LJul 7 · 08:00S. Radlo—128119152M. Burkacki—1011711173
WJul 6 · 09:00S. Radlo—1111133M. Burkacki—85110
LJul 5 · 20:35S. Radlo—1361151M. Burkacki—111113113
WJul 3 · 10:00S. Radlo—118119113M. Burkacki—91181192
LJul 2 · 11:30S. Radlo—1185171M. Burkacki—91111193
WJun 29 · 07:30S. Radlo—119912113M. Burkacki—811111072
LJun 28 · 16:05S. Radlo—1181161M. Burkacki—13115113
S. Radlo10
WSep 5 · 14:45B. Molka1.82911991S. Radlo1.8211911113WSep 5 · 12:05D. Skvarskyi1.5091210111S. Radlo2.40111012133WSep 5 · 11:05S. Radlo1.601214113J. Masternak2.10101290WSep 5 · 10:05S. Radlo2.00131211113D. Stapor1.711510871LSep 5 · 08:35S. Radlo1.90129681B. Molka1.76101111113WSep 5 · 06:35S. Radlo1.671411113S. Wloszek2.0012990LSep 4 · 12:30S. Radlo1.536660M. Lysakowski2.351111113LSep 4 · 11:00S. Radlo2.75671151M. Ovcharenko1.3911116113LSep 4 · 09:30S. Radlo1.489990M. Burkacki2.361111113WSep 4 · 08:00S. Radlo2.54911118113M. Lysakowski1.4611771192
M. Burkacki10
LSep 4 · 13:00M. Burkacki1.984930P. Gola1.731111113LSep 4 · 11:30M. Burkacki2.307440M. Stepien1.551111113WSep 4 · 09:30S. Radlo1.489990M. Burkacki2.361111113WSep 4 · 08:30M. Burkacki2.051511118163P. Gola1.68178611142LSep 4 · 07:30M. Ovcharenko1.381113811113M. Burkacki2.6541511492LSep 4 · 06:00M. Burkacki2.2941111872M. Lysakowski1.51115911113LSep 3 · 12:40M. Lysakowski1.7511412133M. Burkacki1.9851110111WSep 3 · 11:00M. Burkacki2.101111711113S. Wloszek1.6076111382LSep 3 · 09:30M. Burkacki2.85761181M. Ovcharenko1.3311111113LSep 3 · 08:00M. Burkacki2.301081141D. Skvarskyi1.5512119113
Upcoming Matches
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