TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13081465
Played Sep 5Finished
Szymon Radlo
Home
1.90
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1210911611811––
Bartlomiej Molka
Away
1.76
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:48 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeBartlomiej Molka to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
78 points played in total.
Set by set
1210911611811––
H2H Szymon Radlo 45–45 Bartlomiej Molka Dead even across their 90 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 07:48What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.76 (52%)
Molka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
45-45 in 90
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Radlo 1613 vs Molka 1557
Radlo
Wrong
both rated, 56 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Radlo 40% vs Molka 60%
Molka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Radlo 50% vs Molka 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Radlo +1 · Molka +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Molka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Radlo form (40%) is below what odds imply (53%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRadlo 1.90 / Molka 1.76
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Molka)+2.1pp
TT Cup · #13081465
Radlo1.90
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog52% won 185 of 359
Down 0–1, comes back25% 41 of 163
Down 0–2, comes back7% 7 of 101
Molka1.76
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite49% won 56 of 115
Up 2–0, closes it96% 24 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it72% 36 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRadlo5wins
AwayMolka5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRadlo83.3%5 of 6
AwayMolka100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Radlo6Molka3n = 9Radlo took 6 of 9
S2Radlo5Molka4n = 9Radlo took 5 of 9
S3Radlo4Molka5n = 9Molka took 5 of 9
S4Radlo2Molka4n = 6Molka took 4 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricRadloMolkaR − MBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set63+3of 9Avg pointsper match38.937.7+1.2per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRadloMolkaBasisWin rate · lifetime357 / 705 vs 528 / 116350.6%45.4%357 / 705 vs 528 / 1163Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match39.137.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MolkaRadlo 1.90/Molka 1.76
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Molka · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Molka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LAug 31 · 06:00S. Radlo—1191371B. Molka—71115113
WAug 30 · 22:05S. Radlo—16119113B. Molka—1491191
WAug 28 · 06:30S. Radlo—118117123B. Molka—411811102
LAug 24 · 06:30S. Radlo—16116101B. Molka—18911123
WAug 21 · 12:00S. Radlo—1111113B. Molka—5780
LAug 20 · 09:00S. Radlo—812981B. Molka—111011113
WAug 17 · 08:30S. Radlo—1111113B. Molka—7940
LAug 16 · 22:45S. Radlo—121080B. Molka—1412113
WAug 16 · 21:05S. Radlo—11411123B. Molka—8119101
S. Radlo10
WSep 7 · 05:00S. Radlo1.441111113M. Burkacki2.507970WSep 5 · 14:45B. Molka1.82911991S. Radlo1.8211911113WSep 5 · 12:05D. Skvarskyi1.5091210111S. Radlo2.40111012133WSep 5 · 11:05S. Radlo1.601214113J. Masternak2.10101290WSep 5 · 10:05S. Radlo2.00131211113D. Stapor1.711510871WSep 5 · 06:35S. Radlo1.671411113S. Wloszek2.0012990LSep 4 · 12:30S. Radlo1.536660M. Lysakowski2.351111113LSep 4 · 11:00S. Radlo2.75671151M. Ovcharenko1.3911116113LSep 4 · 09:30S. Radlo1.489990M. Burkacki2.361111113WSep 4 · 08:00S. Radlo2.54911118113M. Lysakowski1.4611771192
B. Molka10
WSep 7 · 05:30B. Molka2.10111011113D. Skvarskyi1.65312461WSep 6 · 23:35M. Ovcharenko1.38712281B. Molka2.65111011113WSep 6 · 22:05S. Wloszek2.074101251B. Molka1.62111210113LSep 6 · 20:35B. Molka2.529540M. Ovcharenko1.401111113WSep 6 · 18:35D. Stapor1.6951050B. Molka1.971112113WSep 6 · 16:35J. Masternak1.95116451B. Molka1.7491111113WSep 6 · 15:35M. Stepien1.415121261B. Molka2.55111014113LSep 5 · 14:45B. Molka1.82911991S. Radlo1.8211911113WSep 5 · 12:35B. Molka2.0011147113D. Stapor1.729121171WSep 5 · 10:35D. Skvarskyi1.42711871B. Molka2.5011611113
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