TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13088093
Played Sep 6Finished
Jan Masternak
Home
1.95
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
119611411511––
Bartlomiej Molka
Away
1.74
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:45 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeBartlomiej Molka to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
68 points played in total.
Set by set
119611411511––
H2H Jan Masternak 93–93 Bartlomiej Molka Dead even across their 186 meetings.
Last 10 · 3–7Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:45What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.74 (53%)
Molka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
93-93 in 186
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Masternak 1510 vs Molka 1589
Molka
Correct
both rated, 80 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Masternak 20% vs Molka 60%
Molka
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Masternak 40% vs Molka 60%
Molka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Masternak -2 · Molka +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Molka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Masternak form (20%) is below what odds imply (51%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMasternak 1.95 / Molka 1.74
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Molka)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13088093
Masternak1.95
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 120 of 291
Down 0–1, comes back24% 39 of 164
Down 0–2, comes back8% 8 of 104
Molka1.74
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite49% won 58 of 119
Up 2–0, closes it96% 25 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it73% 37 of 51
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMasternak3wins
AwayMolka7wins
1 of 10 to a deciderMolka leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMasternak75%3 of 4
AwayMolka100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Masternak4Molka6n = 10Molka took 6 of 10
S2Masternak3Molka7n = 10Molka took 7 of 10
S3Masternak5Molka5n = 10split evenly
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricMasternakMolkaMasternak − MolkaBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match30.633.3−2.7per matchSweeps35−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMasternakMolkaBasisWin rate · lifetime432 / 989 vs 527 / 115943.7%45.5%432 / 989 vs 527 / 1159Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.737.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MolkaMasternak 1.95/Molka 1.74
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Molka · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Molka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 07:05J. Masternak—751571B. Molka—111113113
LSep 2 · 05:00J. Masternak—10760B. Molka—1211113
WAug 30 · 20:35J. Masternak—1111143B. Molka—56120
LAug 24 · 12:00J. Masternak—6590B. Molka—1111113
LAug 23 · 16:05J. Masternak—9980B. Molka—1111113
WAug 21 · 08:30J. Masternak—1112113B. Molka—61070
LAug 20 · 13:00J. Masternak—127111062B. Molka—1011712113
LAug 20 · 05:00J. Masternak—81090B. Molka—1112113
WAug 16 · 18:05J. Masternak—1111113B. Molka—9940
LAug 14 · 06:30J. Masternak—91080B. Molka—1112113
J. Masternak10
LSep 6 · 22:35J. Masternak—1111138102D. Stapor—741511123LSep 6 · 21:05J. Masternak3.309460M. Stepien1.301111113WSep 6 · 19:35J. Masternak2.301111113D. Stapor1.504970LSep 6 · 18:05J. Masternak1.831071551S. Wloszek1.83121113113LSep 6 · 15:05J. Masternak2.805840M. Ovcharenko1.351111113LSep 5 · 14:15D. Skvarskyi1.5711915113J. Masternak2.288111361WSep 5 · 13:05J. Masternak1.90115911163S. Wloszek1.76811118142LSep 5 · 11:05S. Radlo1.601214113J. Masternak2.10101290LSep 5 · 09:05D. Skvarskyi1.41971111133J. Masternak2.70111168112WSep 5 · 08:05J. Masternak1.751114113D. Stapor1.9531260
B. Molka10
WSep 7 · 05:30B. Molka2.10111011113D. Skvarskyi1.65312461WSep 6 · 23:35M. Ovcharenko1.38712281B. Molka2.65111011113WSep 6 · 22:05S. Wloszek2.074101251B. Molka1.62111210113LSep 6 · 20:35B. Molka2.529540M. Ovcharenko1.401111113WSep 6 · 18:35D. Stapor1.6951050B. Molka1.971112113WSep 6 · 15:35M. Stepien1.415121261B. Molka2.55111014113LSep 5 · 14:45B. Molka1.82911991S. Radlo1.8211911113WSep 5 · 12:35B. Molka2.0011147113D. Stapor1.729121171WSep 5 · 10:35D. Skvarskyi1.42711871B. Molka2.5011611113LSep 5 · 09:35B. Molka1.651211911112S. Wloszek2.10149118133
Upcoming Matches
J. Masternak
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B. Molka
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