TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13081460
Played Sep 5Finished
Jan Masternak
Home
1.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1131412116––––
Dawid Stapor
Away
1.95
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:49 and never touched — 61.6% is still 61.6%
Graded at full timeDawid Stapor to win
61.6%
61.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
57 points played in total.
Set by set
1131412116––––
H2H Jan Masternak 24–45 Dawid Stapor Jan Masternak has won 24 of their 69 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 07:49What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.75 (53%)
Masternak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
24-45 in 69
Stapor
Wrong
gap of 21 in 69, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Masternak 1513 vs Stapor 1584
Stapor
Wrong
both rated, 71 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Masternak 40% vs Stapor 60%
Stapor
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Masternak 30% vs Stapor 50%
Stapor
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Masternak -1 · Stapor -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Masternak) · live re-read · sealed at 38% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Masternak form (40%) is below what odds imply (57%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMasternak 1.75 / Stapor 1.95
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Masternak)+1.3pp
TT Cup · #13081460
Masternak1.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite44% won 48 of 110
Up 2–0, closes it96% 22 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it67% 35 of 52
Stapor1.95
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog55% won 48 of 88
Down 0–1, comes back32% 14 of 44
Down 0–2, comes back13% 3 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMasternak2wins
AwayStapor8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderStapor leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMasternakn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayStapor87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Masternak2Stapor8n = 10Stapor took 8 of 10
S2Masternak2Stapor8n = 10Stapor took 8 of 10
S3Masternak3Stapor7n = 10Stapor took 7 of 10
S4Masternak1Stapor4n = 5Stapor took 4 of 5
S5Masternak2Stapor1n = 3Masternak took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricMasternakStaporM − SBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match31.939.6−7.7per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMasternakStaporBasisWin rate · lifetime433 / 989 vs 480 / 90043.8%53.3%433 / 989 vs 480 / 900Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.737.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MasternakMasternak 1.75/Stapor 1.95
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Masternak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Masternak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 2 · 09:00J. Masternak—1215111D. Stapor—101111133
LSep 1 · 08:00J. Masternak—9480D. Stapor—1111113
LAug 27 · 05:30J. Masternak—811131192D. Stapor—118159113
WAug 23 · 18:05J. Masternak—7111110113D. Stapor—11891242
WAug 21 · 09:30J. Masternak—118138113D. Stapor—911111132
LJul 31 · 09:30J. Masternak—7690D. Stapor—1111113
LJul 30 · 07:00J. Masternak—8650D. Stapor—1111113
LJul 26 · 10:35J. Masternak—7260D. Stapor—1111113
LJul 24 · 12:40J. Masternak—981181D. Stapor—11119113
LJul 24 · 11:30J. Masternak—61080D. Stapor—1112113
J. Masternak10
LSep 6 · 22:35J. Masternak—1111138102D. Stapor—741511123LSep 6 · 21:05J. Masternak3.309460M. Stepien1.301111113WSep 6 · 19:35J. Masternak2.301111113D. Stapor1.504970LSep 6 · 18:05J. Masternak1.831071551S. Wloszek1.83121113113LSep 6 · 16:35J. Masternak1.95116451B. Molka1.7491111113LSep 6 · 15:05J. Masternak2.805840M. Ovcharenko1.351111113LSep 5 · 14:15D. Skvarskyi1.5711915113J. Masternak2.288111361WSep 5 · 13:05J. Masternak1.90115911163S. Wloszek1.76811118142LSep 5 · 11:05S. Radlo1.601214113J. Masternak2.10101290LSep 5 · 09:05D. Skvarskyi1.41971111133J. Masternak2.70111168112
D. Stapor10
WSep 6 · 22:35J. Masternak—1111138102D. Stapor—741511123LSep 6 · 21:35D. Stapor3.253960M. Ovcharenko1.271111113LSep 6 · 19:35J. Masternak2.301111113D. Stapor1.504970LSep 6 · 18:35D. Stapor1.6951050B. Molka1.971112113LSep 6 · 17:35M. Stepien1.501111113D. Stapor2.406570LSep 6 · 17:05D. Stapor1.601081171S. Wloszek2.1012115113WSep 5 · 13:45S. Wloszek1.98111161052D. Stapor1.73881112113LSep 5 · 12:35B. Molka2.0011147113D. Stapor1.729121171LSep 5 · 11:35S. Wloszek1.9511713113D. Stapor1.779111191LSep 5 · 10:05S. Radlo2.00131211113D. Stapor1.711510871
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