TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13081536
Played Sep 5Finished
Dmytro Skvarskyi
Home
1.41
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
9117111161181311
Jan Masternak
Away
2.70
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:00 and never touched — 66.4% is still 66.4%
Graded at full timeDmytro Skvarskyi to win
66.4%
66.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
98 points played in total.
Set by set
9117111161181311
H2H Dmytro Skvarskyi 11–4 Jan Masternak Jan Masternak has won 4 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:00What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.41 (66%)
Skvarskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-4 in 15
Skvarskyi
Correct
gap of 7 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skvarskyi 1647 vs Masternak 1530
Skvarskyi
Correct
both rated, 118 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skvarskyi 80% vs Masternak 60%
Skvarskyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skvarskyi 70% vs Masternak 40%
Skvarskyi
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Skvarskyi +3 · Masternak +1
Skvarskyi
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Clear lean (leans Skvarskyi) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Masternak form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (37%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkvarskyi 1.41 / Masternak 2.70
Signal prob.70% / 30%
Edge (Skvarskyi)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13081536
Skvarskyi1.41
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 53 of 84
Up 2–0, closes it91% 21 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it75% 30 of 40
Masternak2.70
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 119 of 286
Down 0–1, comes back24% 39 of 161
Down 0–2, comes back8% 8 of 102
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSkvarskyi6wins
AwayMasternak4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSkvarskyi leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkvarskyi62.5%5 of 8
AwayMasternakn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skvarskyi8Masternak2n = 10Skvarskyi took 8 of 10
S2Skvarskyi6Masternak4n = 10Skvarskyi took 6 of 10
S3Skvarskyi6Masternak4n = 10Skvarskyi took 6 of 10
S4Skvarskyi3Masternak4n = 7Masternak took 4 of 7
S5Skvarskyi1Masternak2n = 3Masternak took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSkvarskyiMasternakS − MBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match39.637.3+2.3per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkvarskyiMasternakBasisWin rate · lifetime125 / 186 vs 434 / 99067.2%43.8%125 / 186 vs 434 / 990Avg sets wonper match2.41.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.538.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkvarskyiSkvarskyi 1.41/Masternak 2.70
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.7%
Skvarskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Skvarskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 1 · 07:00D. Skvarskyi—21311123J. Masternak—11117101
WJul 17 · 12:40D. Skvarskyi—1111113J. Masternak—9680
LJul 17 · 10:00D. Skvarskyi—116971J. Masternak—81111113
LApr 14 · 06:30D. Skvarskyi—57111182J. Masternak—111183113
WApr 10 · 06:30D. Skvarskyi—1111123J. Masternak—99100
LApr 6 · 22:40D. Skvarskyi—129791J. Masternak—101111113
LApr 6 · 20:00D. Skvarskyi—11119962J. Masternak—891111113
WFeb 23 · 14:40D. Skvarskyi—1111113J. Masternak—8770
WFeb 23 · 10:00D. Skvarskyi—121297113J. Masternak—1010111182
WFeb 21 · 07:35D. Skvarskyi—11911183J. Masternak—6110161
D. Skvarskyi10
LSep 7 · 05:30B. Molka2.10111011113D. Skvarskyi1.65312461WSep 5 · 14:15D. Skvarskyi1.5711915113J. Masternak2.288111361LSep 5 · 12:05D. Skvarskyi1.5091210111S. Radlo2.40111012133LSep 5 · 10:35D. Skvarskyi1.42711871B. Molka2.5011611113WSep 5 · 07:35D. Skvarskyi1.521111143S. Wloszek2.3756120WSep 5 · 06:05D. Skvarskyi1.651211113D. Stapor2.1010780WSep 3 · 13:40S. Radlo2.001111971D. Skvarskyi1.7113911113LSep 3 · 12:00D. Skvarskyi1.5451111752S. Radlo2.25118711113WSep 3 · 10:00S. Wloszek2.05129941D. Skvarskyi1.66101111113WSep 3 · 08:00M. Burkacki2.301081141D. Skvarskyi1.5512119113
J. Masternak10
LSep 6 · 22:35J. Masternak—1111138102D. Stapor—741511123LSep 6 · 21:05J. Masternak3.309460M. Stepien1.301111113WSep 6 · 19:35J. Masternak2.301111113D. Stapor1.504970LSep 6 · 18:05J. Masternak1.831071551S. Wloszek1.83121113113LSep 6 · 16:35J. Masternak1.95116451B. Molka1.7491111113LSep 6 · 15:05J. Masternak2.805840M. Ovcharenko1.351111113LSep 5 · 14:15D. Skvarskyi1.5711915113J. Masternak2.288111361WSep 5 · 13:05J. Masternak1.90115911163S. Wloszek1.76811118142LSep 5 · 11:05S. Radlo1.601214113J. Masternak2.10101290WSep 5 · 08:05J. Masternak1.751114113D. Stapor1.9531260
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