TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13070754
Played Sep 3Finished
Dmytro Skvarskyi
Home
1.54
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
511118117711511
Szymon Radlo
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:10 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeSzymon Radlo to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
87 points played in total.
Set by set
511118117711511
H2H Dmytro Skvarskyi 5–3 Szymon Radlo Szymon Radlo has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:10What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.54 (59%)
Skvarskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-3 in 8
Skvarskyi
Wrong
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skvarskyi 1621 vs Radlo 1638
Radlo
Correct
both rated, 17 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skvarskyi 80% vs Radlo 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skvarskyi 60% vs Radlo 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Skvarskyi +3 · Radlo +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Skvarskyi) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Radlo form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkvarskyi 1.54 / Radlo 2.25
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Skvarskyi)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13070754
Skvarskyi1.54
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 50 of 80
Up 2–0, closes it91% 20 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it74% 28 of 38
Radlo2.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog51% won 182 of 355
Down 0–1, comes back25% 41 of 162
Down 0–2, comes back7% 7 of 100
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeSkvarskyi5wins
AwayRadlo3wins
5 of 8 to a deciderSkvarskyi leads 5–3, and 5 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkvarskyi50%2 of 4
AwayRadlo25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skvarskyi4Radlo4n = 8split evenly
S2Skvarskyi3Radlo5n = 8Radlo took 5 of 8
S3Skvarskyi4Radlo4n = 8split evenly
S4Skvarskyi4Radlo4n = 8split evenly
S5Skvarskyi4Radlo1n = 5Skvarskyi took 4 of 5
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home113%
3–2Decider, home450%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away225%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 8 meetings
MetricSkvarskyiRadloS − RBasisWins53+2in 8 meetingsFirst set440of 8Avg pointsper match44.946.0−1.1per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkvarskyiRadloBasisWin rate · lifetime122 / 182 vs 353 / 69667%50.7%122 / 182 vs 353 / 696Avg sets wonper match2.41.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.639.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkvarskyiSkvarskyi 1.54/Radlo 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.2%
Skvarskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Radlo won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LJul 15 · 13:10D. Skvarskyi—11511101S. Radlo—13119123
WJul 15 · 08:30D. Skvarskyi—116511113S. Radlo—81111762
LApr 14 · 08:00D. Skvarskyi—119291S. Radlo—91111113
WApr 13 · 05:30D. Skvarskyi—113115113S. Radlo—91191182
WApr 9 · 07:00D. Skvarskyi—8111111113S. Radlo—11138432
WApr 7 · 13:40D. Skvarskyi—81420113S. Radlo—11121871
WApr 7 · 06:30D. Skvarskyi—1111711133S. Radlo—137119112
LApr 6 · 18:30D. Skvarskyi—13118882S. Radlo—1181111113
D. Skvarskyi10
WSep 7 · 08:30M. Lysakowski1.8613491132D. Skvarskyi1.831111116113WSep 7 · 06:30S. Radlo2.051061181D. Skvarskyi1.7012118113LSep 7 · 05:30B. Molka2.10111011113D. Skvarskyi1.65312461WSep 5 · 14:15D. Skvarskyi1.5711915113J. Masternak2.288111361LSep 5 · 12:05D. Skvarskyi1.5091210111S. Radlo2.40111012133LSep 5 · 10:35D. Skvarskyi1.42711871B. Molka2.5011611113WSep 5 · 09:05D. Skvarskyi1.41971111133J. Masternak2.70111168112WSep 5 · 07:35D. Skvarskyi1.521111143S. Wloszek2.3756120WSep 5 · 06:05D. Skvarskyi1.651211113D. Stapor2.1010780WSep 3 · 13:40S. Radlo2.001111971D. Skvarskyi1.7113911113
S. Radlo10
LSep 7 · 06:30S. Radlo2.051061181D. Skvarskyi1.7012118113WSep 7 · 05:00S. Radlo1.441111113M. Burkacki2.507970WSep 5 · 14:45B. Molka1.82911991S. Radlo1.8211911113WSep 5 · 12:05D. Skvarskyi1.5091210111S. Radlo2.40111012133WSep 5 · 11:05S. Radlo1.601214113J. Masternak2.10101290WSep 5 · 10:05S. Radlo2.00131211113D. Stapor1.711510871LSep 5 · 08:35S. Radlo1.90129681B. Molka1.76101111113WSep 5 · 06:35S. Radlo1.671411113S. Wloszek2.0012990LSep 4 · 12:30S. Radlo1.536660M. Lysakowski2.351111113LSep 3 · 13:40S. Radlo2.001111971D. Skvarskyi1.7113911113
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