TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13079890
Played Sep 5Finished
Dmytro Skvarskyi
Home
1.65
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210117118––––
Dawid Stapor
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:58 and never touched — 55.9% is still 55.9%
Graded at full timeDmytro Skvarskyi to win
55.9%
55.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
59 points played in total.
Set by set
1210117118––––
H2H Dmytro Skvarskyi 7–4 Dawid Stapor Dawid Stapor has won 4 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:58What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.65 (56%)
Skvarskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-4 in 11
Skvarskyi
Correct
gap of 3 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skvarskyi 1624 vs Stapor 1487
Skvarskyi
Correct
both rated, 137 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skvarskyi 80% vs Stapor 60%
Skvarskyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skvarskyi 50% vs Stapor 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Skvarskyi +1 · Stapor +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Skvarskyi) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stapor form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkvarskyi 1.65 / Stapor 2.10
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Skvarskyi)+3.2pp
TT Cup · #13079890
Skvarskyi1.65
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 57 of 90
Up 2–0, closes it92% 23 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it77% 33 of 43
Stapor2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog51% won 45 of 88
Down 0–1, comes back26% 12 of 46
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSkvarskyi7wins
AwayStapor3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSkvarskyi leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkvarskyi83.3%5 of 6
AwayStapor50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skvarskyi6Stapor4n = 10Skvarskyi took 6 of 10
S2Skvarskyi6Stapor4n = 10Skvarskyi took 6 of 10
S3Skvarskyi5Stapor5n = 10split evenly
S4Skvarskyi4Stapor3n = 7Skvarskyi took 4 of 7
S5Skvarskyi3Stapor1n = 4Skvarskyi took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSkvarskyiStaporSkvarskyi − StaporBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.636.9+3.7per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkvarskyiStaporBasisWin rate · lifetime127 / 191 vs 482 / 91166.5%52.9%127 / 191 vs 482 / 911Avg sets wonper match2.42.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.537.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkvarskyiSkvarskyi 1.65/Stapor 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.2%
Skvarskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Skvarskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 5 · 06:05D. Skvarskyi—1211113D. Stapor—10780
WSep 1 · 13:00D. Skvarskyi—1112118113D. Stapor—131091152
LSep 1 · 09:30D. Skvarskyi—118471D. Stapor—61111113
WJul 17 · 05:30D. Skvarskyi—91111113D. Stapor—116891
LJul 15 · 07:30D. Skvarskyi—46100D. Stapor—1111123
LApr 14 · 11:00D. Skvarskyi—58111192D. Stapor—111198113
WFeb 25 · 13:00D. Skvarskyi—1191214113D. Stapor—511141282
WFeb 24 · 12:00D. Skvarskyi—111289113D. Stapor—410111192
WFeb 19 · 09:00D. Skvarskyi—11119113D. Stapor—751141
WFeb 17 · 10:30D. Skvarskyi—1111113D. Stapor—4670
D. Skvarskyi10
LSep 7 · 05:30B. Molka2.10111011113D. Skvarskyi1.65312461WSep 5 · 14:15D. Skvarskyi1.5711915113J. Masternak2.288111361LSep 5 · 12:05D. Skvarskyi1.5091210111S. Radlo2.40111012133LSep 5 · 10:35D. Skvarskyi1.42711871B. Molka2.5011611113WSep 5 · 09:05D. Skvarskyi1.41971111133J. Masternak2.70111168112WSep 5 · 07:35D. Skvarskyi1.521111143S. Wloszek2.3756120WSep 3 · 13:40S. Radlo2.001111971D. Skvarskyi1.7113911113LSep 3 · 12:00D. Skvarskyi1.5451111752S. Radlo2.25118711113WSep 3 · 10:00S. Wloszek2.05129941D. Skvarskyi1.66101111113WSep 3 · 08:00M. Burkacki2.301081141D. Skvarskyi1.5512119113
D. Stapor10
WSep 6 · 22:35J. Masternak—1111138102D. Stapor—741511123LSep 6 · 21:35D. Stapor3.253960M. Ovcharenko1.271111113LSep 6 · 19:35J. Masternak2.301111113D. Stapor1.504970LSep 6 · 18:35D. Stapor1.6951050B. Molka1.971112113LSep 6 · 17:35M. Stepien1.501111113D. Stapor2.406570LSep 6 · 17:05D. Stapor1.601081171S. Wloszek2.1012115113WSep 5 · 13:45S. Wloszek1.98111161052D. Stapor1.73881112113LSep 5 · 12:35B. Molka2.0011147113D. Stapor1.729121171LSep 5 · 11:35S. Wloszek1.9511713113D. Stapor1.779111191LSep 5 · 10:05S. Radlo2.00131211113D. Stapor1.711510871
Upcoming Matches
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