TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13091013
Played Sep 7Finished
Michal Lysakowski
Home
1.86
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1311411911116311
Dmytro Skvarskyi
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:36 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMichal Lysakowski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
90 points played in total.
Set by set
1311411911116311
H2H Michal Lysakowski 10–7 Dmytro Skvarskyi Dmytro Skvarskyi has won 7 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 07:36What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Skvarskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-7 in 17
Lysakowski
Wrong
gap of 3 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lysakowski 1661 vs Skvarskyi 1636
Lysakowski
Wrong
both rated, 25 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lysakowski 60% vs Skvarskyi 40%
Lysakowski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lysakowski 60% vs Skvarskyi 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lysakowski +3 · Skvarskyi +1
Lysakowski
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Lysakowski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skvarskyi form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLysakowski 1.86 / Skvarskyi 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Lysakowski)+4.4pp
TT Cup · #13091013
Lysakowski1.86
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog48% won 101 of 212
Down 0–1, comes back18% 18 of 101
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 54
Skvarskyi1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 57 of 90
Up 2–0, closes it92% 23 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it77% 33 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLysakowski7wins
AwaySkvarskyi3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLysakowski leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLysakowski80%4 of 5
AwaySkvarskyi40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lysakowski5Skvarskyi5n = 10split evenly
S2Lysakowski8Skvarskyi2n = 10Lysakowski took 8 of 10
S3Lysakowski4Skvarskyi6n = 10Skvarskyi took 6 of 10
S4Lysakowski6Skvarskyi4n = 10Lysakowski took 6 of 10
S5Lysakowski2Skvarskyi1n = 3Lysakowski took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricLysakowskiSkvarskyiL − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.637.6+4.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLysakowskiSkvarskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime643 / 1318 vs 128 / 19248.8%66.7%643 / 1318 vs 128 / 192Avg sets wonper match2.02.4per matchAvg pointsper match38.139.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LysakowskiLysakowski 1.86/Skvarskyi 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Lysakowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Skvarskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 06:00M. Lysakowski—11118113D. Skvarskyi—341121
WSep 1 · 08:30M. Lysakowski—119711123D. Skvarskyi—711117102
WJul 17 · 09:00M. Lysakowski—71111113D. Skvarskyi—115931
LApr 13 · 13:40M. Lysakowski—511661D. Skvarskyi—11711113
WApr 13 · 11:00M. Lysakowski—61411143D. Skvarskyi—11129121
WApr 12 · 22:05M. Lysakowski—412118113D. Skvarskyi—111061192
WApr 10 · 08:30M. Lysakowski—11128113D. Skvarskyi—6101171
LApr 7 · 05:00M. Lysakowski—111112752D. Skvarskyi—661411113
WFeb 28 · 12:35M. Lysakowski—11811113D. Skvarskyi—811661
LFeb 27 · 11:30M. Lysakowski—1011971D. Skvarskyi—12411113
M. Lysakowski10
WSep 7 · 07:30B. Molka2.14971171M. Lysakowski1.5811118113WSep 7 · 06:00M. Lysakowski2.01124911143M. Stepien1.661011118122WSep 4 · 12:30S. Radlo1.536660M. Lysakowski2.351111113LSep 4 · 12:00M. Lysakowski2.009470P. Gola1.721111113LSep 4 · 10:00M. Ovcharenko1.57101115113M. Lysakowski2.251281341LSep 4 · 08:00S. Radlo2.54911118113M. Lysakowski1.4611771192WSep 4 · 07:00M. Lysakowski2.101113113M. Stepien1.6581180WSep 4 · 06:00M. Burkacki2.2941111872M. Lysakowski1.51115911113WSep 3 · 12:40M. Lysakowski1.7511412133M. Burkacki1.9851110111LSep 3 · 11:30M. Ovcharenko1.6011711113M. Lysakowski2.10711411
D. Skvarskyi10
WSep 7 · 06:30S. Radlo2.051061181D. Skvarskyi1.7012118113LSep 7 · 05:30B. Molka2.10111011113D. Skvarskyi1.65312461WSep 5 · 14:15D. Skvarskyi1.5711915113J. Masternak2.288111361LSep 5 · 12:05D. Skvarskyi1.5091210111S. Radlo2.40111012133LSep 5 · 10:35D. Skvarskyi1.42711871B. Molka2.5011611113WSep 5 · 09:05D. Skvarskyi1.41971111133J. Masternak2.70111168112WSep 5 · 07:35D. Skvarskyi1.521111143S. Wloszek2.3756120WSep 5 · 06:05D. Skvarskyi1.651211113D. Stapor2.1010780WSep 3 · 13:40S. Radlo2.001111971D. Skvarskyi1.7113911113LSep 3 · 12:00D. Skvarskyi1.5451111752S. Radlo2.25118711113
Upcoming Matches
M. Lysakowski
D. Skvarskyi
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.