TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13062828
Played Sep 2Finished
Bartlomiej Molka
Home
2.13
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1917119811117––
Pawel Gola
Away
1.59
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:38 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePawel Gola to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
93 points played in total.
Set by set
1917119811117––
H2H Bartlomiej Molka 70–108 Pawel Gola Bartlomiej Molka has won 70 of their 178 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 06:38What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.59 (57%)
Gola
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
70-108 in 178
Gola
Wrong
gap of 38 in 178, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Molka 1546 vs Gola 1554
Gola
Wrong
both rated, 8 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Molka 40% vs Gola 60%
Gola
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Molka 40% vs Gola 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Molka -1 · Gola +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Gola) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMolka 2.13 / Gola 1.59
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Gola)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13062828
Molka2.13
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 184 of 415
Down 0–1, comes back21% 50 of 235
Down 0–2, comes back4% 6 of 135
Gola1.59
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 157 of 260
Up 2–0, closes it99% 84 of 85
Up 1–0, closes it85% 114 of 134
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMolka5wins
AwayGola5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMolka50%2 of 4
AwayGola50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Molka4Gola6n = 10Gola took 6 of 10
S2Molka6Gola4n = 10Molka took 6 of 10
S3Molka4Gola6n = 10Gola took 6 of 10
S4Molka5Gola3n = 8Molka took 5 of 8
S5Molka1Gola2n = 3Gola took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMolkaGolaM − GBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.641.5−1.9per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMolkaGolaBasisWin rate · lifetime532 / 1171 vs 582 / 118845.4%49%532 / 1171 vs 582 / 1188Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GolaMolka 2.13/Gola 1.59
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.7%
Gola · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Molka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 31 · 12:30B. Molka—81111123P. Gola—1199101
LAug 31 · 08:00B. Molka—189117102P. Gola—1611611123
LAug 28 · 12:00B. Molka—77130P. Gola—1111153
LAug 26 · 08:30B. Molka—1139101P. Gola—91111123
WAug 24 · 10:30B. Molka—911711113P. Gola—11611992
WAug 23 · 18:35B. Molka—81411123P. Gola—11129101
LAug 21 · 12:30B. Molka—5720P. Gola—1111113
WAug 21 · 05:30B. Molka—11118113P. Gola—791161
WAug 19 · 09:30B. Molka—11147113P. Gola—9121181
LAug 17 · 12:00B. Molka—71111992P. Gola—118511113
B. Molka10
LSep 7 · 07:30B. Molka2.14971171M. Lysakowski1.5811118113WSep 7 · 05:30B. Molka2.10111011113D. Skvarskyi1.65312461WSep 6 · 23:35M. Ovcharenko1.38712281B. Molka2.65111011113WSep 6 · 22:05S. Wloszek2.074101251B. Molka1.62111210113LSep 6 · 20:35B. Molka2.529540M. Ovcharenko1.401111113WSep 6 · 18:35D. Stapor1.6951050B. Molka1.971112113WSep 6 · 16:35J. Masternak1.95116451B. Molka1.7491111113WSep 6 · 15:35M. Stepien1.415121261B. Molka2.55111014113LSep 5 · 14:45B. Molka1.82911991S. Radlo1.8211911113WSep 5 · 12:35B. Molka2.0011147113D. Stapor1.729121171
P. Gola10
WSep 4 · 13:00M. Burkacki1.984930P. Gola1.731111113WSep 4 · 12:00M. Lysakowski2.009470P. Gola1.721111113LSep 4 · 10:30P. Gola2.257640M. Stepien1.541111113LSep 4 · 08:30M. Burkacki2.051511118163P. Gola1.68178611142WSep 4 · 06:30S. Radlo1.888670P. Gola1.761111113LSep 4 · 05:30M. Ovcharenko1.31711118113P. Gola3.0011681132WSep 2 · 13:40P. Gola1.421111113S. Wloszek2.704460WSep 2 · 12:00P. Gola1.48118117113S. Wloszek2.3661171132WSep 2 · 10:00D. Stapor1.5451260P. Gola2.221114113WSep 2 · 07:00P. Gola1.591112113J. Masternak2.1251070
Upcoming Matches
B. Molka1 of 2 neutral
P. Gola
Nothing scheduled
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