TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13063203
Played Sep 2Finished
Dawid Stapor
Home
1.54
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
5111214611––––
Pawel Gola
Away
2.22
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:48 and never touched — 56.9% is still 56.9%
Graded at full timeDawid Stapor to win
56.9%
56.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
59 points played in total.
Set by set
5111214611––––
H2H Dawid Stapor 74–43 Pawel Gola Pawel Gola has won 43 of their 117 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:48What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.54 (59%)
Stapor
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
74-43 in 117
Stapor
Wrong
gap of 31 in 117, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stapor 1588 vs Gola 1542
Stapor
Wrong
both rated, 46 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stapor 40% vs Gola 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stapor 50% vs Gola 30%
Stapor
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stapor +1 · Gola -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Stapor) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stapor form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStapor 1.54 / Gola 2.22
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Stapor)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13063203
Stapor1.54
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 177 of 289
Up 2–0, closes it99% 89 of 90
Up 1–0, closes it86% 132 of 153
Gola2.22
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog38% won 85 of 225
Down 0–1, comes back15% 19 of 125
Down 0–2, comes back8% 7 of 85
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStapor4wins
AwayGola6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderGola leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStapor75%3 of 4
AwayGola83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stapor4Gola6n = 10Gola took 6 of 10
S2Stapor3Gola7n = 10Gola took 7 of 10
S3Stapor5Gola5n = 10split evenly
S4Stapor1Gola5n = 6Gola took 5 of 6
S5Stapor3Gola1n = 4Stapor took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricStaporGolaS − GBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.140.4−3.3per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStaporGolaBasisWin rate · lifetime478 / 896 vs 582 / 118853.4%49%478 / 896 vs 582 / 1188Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StaporStapor 1.54/Gola 2.22
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.8%
Stapor · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Gola won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 1 · 11:00D. Stapor—1291110113P. Gola—101141282
LAug 28 · 13:40D. Stapor—9560P. Gola—1111113
LAug 28 · 07:00D. Stapor—4840P. Gola—1111113
WAug 23 · 17:05D. Stapor—1111113P. Gola—4880
LAug 21 · 11:00D. Stapor—141111782P. Gola—1213811113
LAug 19 · 13:00D. Stapor—811991P. Gola—11911113
WAug 19 · 06:30D. Stapor—1261110113P. Gola—101171262
LJul 31 · 06:00D. Stapor—8570P. Gola—1111113
LJul 30 · 11:30D. Stapor—791281P. Gola—111110113
WJul 24 · 10:30D. Stapor—911611183P. Gola—119117162
D. Stapor10
WSep 6 · 22:35J. Masternak—1111138102D. Stapor—741511123LSep 6 · 21:35D. Stapor3.253960M. Ovcharenko1.271111113LSep 6 · 19:35J. Masternak2.301111113D. Stapor1.504970LSep 6 · 18:35D. Stapor1.6951050B. Molka1.971112113LSep 6 · 17:35M. Stepien1.501111113D. Stapor2.406570LSep 6 · 17:05D. Stapor1.601081171S. Wloszek2.1012115113WSep 5 · 13:45S. Wloszek1.98111161052D. Stapor1.73881112113LSep 5 · 12:35B. Molka2.0011147113D. Stapor1.729121171LSep 5 · 11:35S. Wloszek1.9511713113D. Stapor1.779111191LSep 5 · 10:05S. Radlo2.00131211113D. Stapor1.711510871
P. Gola10
WSep 4 · 13:00M. Burkacki1.984930P. Gola1.731111113WSep 4 · 12:00M. Lysakowski2.009470P. Gola1.721111113LSep 4 · 10:30P. Gola2.257640M. Stepien1.541111113LSep 4 · 08:30M. Burkacki2.051511118163P. Gola1.68178611142WSep 4 · 06:30S. Radlo1.888670P. Gola1.761111113LSep 4 · 05:30M. Ovcharenko1.31711118113P. Gola3.0011681132WSep 2 · 13:40P. Gola1.421111113S. Wloszek2.704460WSep 2 · 12:00P. Gola1.48118117113S. Wloszek2.3661171132LSep 2 · 08:00B. Molka2.1319118113P. Gola1.591791171WSep 2 · 07:00P. Gola1.591112113J. Masternak2.1251070
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