TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13076402
Played Sep 4Finished
Pawel Gola
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711611411––––
Marcin Stepien
Away
1.54
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:51 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePawel Gola to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
50 points played in total.
Set by set
711611411––––
H2H Pawel Gola 47–110 Marcin Stepien Pawel Gola has won 47 of their 157 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:51What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.54 (59%)
Stepien
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
47-110 in 157
Stepien
Correct
gap of 63 in 157, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gola 1578 vs Stepien 1647
Stepien
Correct
both rated, 69 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gola 60% vs Stepien 40%
Gola
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gola 60% vs Stepien 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Gola -1 · Stepien +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Stepien) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stepien form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGola 2.25 / Stepien 1.54
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Stepien)+2.4pp
TT Cup · #13076402
Gola2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog38% won 86 of 224
Down 0–1, comes back15% 19 of 123
Down 0–2, comes back8% 7 of 83
Stepien1.54
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 198 of 345
Up 2–0, closes it94% 137 of 146
Up 1–0, closes it80% 161 of 201
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGola2wins
AwayStepien8wins
1 of 10 to a deciderStepien leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGola33.3%1 of 3
AwayStepien85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gola3Stepien7n = 10Stepien took 7 of 10
S2Gola2Stepien8n = 10Stepien took 8 of 10
S3Gola2Stepien8n = 10Stepien took 8 of 10
S4Gola2Stepien4n = 6Stepien took 4 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricGolaStepienG − SBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match29.538.6−9.1per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGolaStepienBasisWin rate · lifetime581 / 1186 vs 652 / 118149%55.2%581 / 1186 vs 652 / 1181Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.738.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StepienGola 2.25/Stepien 1.54
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.8%
Stepien · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Stepien won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 1 · 09:00P. Gola—1191171M. Stepien—13114113
LAug 31 · 11:00P. Gola—7460M. Stepien—1111113
LAug 24 · 11:30P. Gola—41150M. Stepien—1113113
WAug 23 · 23:05P. Gola—111110113M. Stepien—981281
LAug 23 · 21:35P. Gola—117651M. Stepien—81111113
LAug 21 · 09:00P. Gola—7590M. Stepien—1111113
LAug 17 · 10:00P. Gola—9660M. Stepien—1111113
WAug 16 · 18:35P. Gola—791111133M. Stepien—111198112
LAug 14 · 07:30P. Gola—119661M. Stepien—81111113
LAug 12 · 06:30P. Gola—213351M. Stepien—111111113
P. Gola10
WSep 4 · 13:00M. Burkacki1.984930P. Gola1.731111113WSep 4 · 12:00M. Lysakowski2.009470P. Gola1.721111113LSep 4 · 08:30M. Burkacki2.051511118163P. Gola1.68178611142WSep 4 · 06:30S. Radlo1.888670P. Gola1.761111113LSep 4 · 05:30M. Ovcharenko1.31711118113P. Gola3.0011681132WSep 2 · 13:40P. Gola1.421111113S. Wloszek2.704460WSep 2 · 12:00P. Gola1.48118117113S. Wloszek2.3661171132WSep 2 · 10:00D. Stapor1.5451260P. Gola2.221114113LSep 2 · 08:00B. Molka2.1319118113P. Gola1.591791171WSep 2 · 07:00P. Gola1.591112113J. Masternak2.1251070
M. Stepien10
LSep 7 · 06:00M. Lysakowski2.01124911143M. Stepien1.661011118122WSep 6 · 23:05M. Stepien1.351111113S. Wloszek3.008330WSep 6 · 21:05J. Masternak3.309460M. Stepien1.301111113WSep 6 · 20:05M. Stepien1.30911911123S. Wloszek2.93118116102LSep 6 · 19:05M. Stepien2.278850M. Ovcharenko1.521111113WSep 6 · 17:35M. Stepien1.501111113D. Stapor2.406570LSep 6 · 15:35M. Stepien1.415121261B. Molka2.55111014113LSep 4 · 13:30M. Ovcharenko1.5511116113M. Stepien2.20341181WSep 4 · 11:30M. Burkacki2.307440M. Stepien1.551111113WSep 4 · 09:00M. Ovcharenko1.46114761M. Stepien2.5081111113
Upcoming Matches
P. Gola
Nothing scheduled
M. Stepien
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.