TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13099059
Played Sep 8Finished
Dawid Stapor
Home
1.60
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
116116511711118
Mateusz Burkacki
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
87 points played in total.
Set by set
116116511711118
H2H Dawid Stapor 9–5 Mateusz Burkacki Mateusz Burkacki has won 5 of their 14 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Stapor beat Burkacki 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Stapor)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStapor 1.60 / Burkacki 2.20
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Stapor)+3.2pp
TT Cup · #13099059
Stapor1.60
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite60% won 174 of 289
Up 2–0, closes it99% 88 of 89
Up 1–0, closes it86% 131 of 152
Burkacki2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog38% won 48 of 125
Down 0–1, comes back22% 17 of 79
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStapor6wins
AwayBurkacki4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderStapor leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStapor71.4%5 of 7
AwayBurkacki66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stapor7Burkacki3n = 10Stapor took 7 of 10
S2Stapor7Burkacki3n = 10Stapor took 7 of 10
S3Stapor5Burkacki5n = 10split evenly
S4Stapor4Burkacki4n = 8split evenly
S5Stapor1Burkacki2n = 3Burkacki took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricStaporBurkackiS − BBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.337.7+3.6per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStaporBurkackiBasisWin rate · lifetime485 / 916 vs 84 / 21253%39.6%485 / 916 vs 84 / 212Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.536.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StaporStapor 1.60/Burkacki 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.1%
Stapor · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Stapor won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 13:10D. Stapor—111157113M. Burkacki—66111182
WSep 8 · 09:30D. Stapor—1111113M. Burkacki—8660
LSep 2 · 07:30D. Stapor—1161081M. Burkacki—51112113
WJul 8 · 12:30D. Stapor—101111113M. Burkacki—125861
LJul 8 · 09:00D. Stapor—6141110112M. Burkacki—1112912133
WJun 29 · 09:00D. Stapor—111110133M. Burkacki—5712111
LJun 26 · 11:00D. Stapor—611691M. Burkacki—11711113
LJun 19 · 08:00D. Stapor—1191111102M. Burkacki—911139123
WJun 15 · 05:30D. Stapor—1111123M. Burkacki—78100
WJun 13 · 09:05D. Stapor—11911113M. Burkacki—911861
D. Stapor10
LSep 8 · 11:00D. Stapor2.75116891M. Ovcharenko1.4191111113WSep 8 · 09:30D. Stapor1.601111113M. Burkacki2.108660LSep 8 · 08:00D. Stapor1.83531191B. Molka1.8611112113WSep 8 · 06:30D. Stapor1.8512111113113S. Radlo1.8514651552WSep 8 · 05:00D. Stapor1.701113113S. Wloszek1.9651160WSep 6 · 22:35J. Masternak—1111138102D. Stapor—741511123LSep 6 · 21:35D. Stapor3.253960M. Ovcharenko1.271111113LSep 6 · 19:35J. Masternak2.301111113D. Stapor1.504970LSep 6 · 18:35D. Stapor1.6951050B. Molka1.971112113LSep 6 · 17:35M. Stepien1.501111113D. Stapor2.406570
M. Burkacki10
WSep 8 · 11:30M. Burkacki2.101011118113S. Wloszek1.6012281162LSep 8 · 09:30D. Stapor1.601111113M. Burkacki2.108660LSep 8 · 08:30M. Burkacki2.2597120S. Radlo1.541111143LSep 8 · 07:30M. Ovcharenko1.491111113M. Burkacki2.459350WSep 8 · 06:00M. Burkacki2.5011119113B. Molka1.47851181WSep 7 · 12:40S. Radlo1.7115490M. Burkacki2.001711113LSep 7 · 11:30M. Lysakowski1.361111411123M. Burkacki2.75851113102LSep 7 · 10:30D. Skvarskyi1.4131111143M. Burkacki2.601184121LSep 7 · 09:00B. Molka1.4511812133M. Burkacki2.4291110111LSep 7 · 07:00M. Stepien1.361113113M. Burkacki2.8071160
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