TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13095417
Played Sep 8Finished
Dawid Stapor
Home
1.70
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1151311116––––
Sylwester Wloszek
Away
1.96
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:49 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeSylwester Wloszek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
57 points played in total.
Set by set
1151311116––––
H2H Dawid Stapor 47–27 Sylwester Wloszek Sylwester Wloszek has won 27 of their 74 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:49What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.70 (54%)
Stapor
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
47-27 in 74
Stapor
Correct
gap of 20 in 74, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stapor 1487 vs Wloszek 1571
Wloszek
Wrong
both rated, 84 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stapor 20% vs Wloszek 40%
Wloszek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stapor 20% vs Wloszek 50%
Wloszek
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stapor +1 · Wloszek -3
Wloszek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Stapor) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wloszek form (40%) is below what odds imply (51%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStapor 1.70 / Wloszek 1.96
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Wloszek)-0.4pp
TT Cup · #13095417
Stapor1.70
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite60% won 174 of 289
Up 2–0, closes it99% 88 of 89
Up 1–0, closes it86% 131 of 152
Wloszek1.96
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog39% won 132 of 337
Down 0–1, comes back18% 36 of 199
Down 0–2, comes back3% 4 of 125
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStapor7wins
AwayWloszek3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderStapor leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStapor83.3%5 of 6
AwayWloszek50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stapor6Wloszek4n = 10Stapor took 6 of 10
S2Stapor6Wloszek4n = 10Stapor took 6 of 10
S3Stapor6Wloszek4n = 10Stapor took 6 of 10
S4Stapor2Wloszek5n = 7Wloszek took 5 of 7
S5Stapor3Wloszek0n = 3Stapor took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricStaporWloszekS − WBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.636.6+3.0per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStaporWloszekBasisWin rate · lifetime482 / 911 vs 450 / 102352.9%44%482 / 911 vs 450 / 1023Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StaporStapor 1.70/Wloszek 1.96
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Stapor · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Stapor won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 11:35D. Stapor—9111191S. Wloszek—11713113
LSep 2 · 05:30D. Stapor—91090S. Wloszek—1112113
WAug 28 · 09:00D. Stapor—312117133S. Wloszek—1110711112
WAug 27 · 13:10D. Stapor—13139123S. Wloszek—111111101
LAug 27 · 10:00D. Stapor—1171191S. Wloszek—91113113
WAug 19 · 12:00D. Stapor—1111113S. Wloszek—4570
WAug 18 · 06:30D. Stapor—1181110113S. Wloszek—81171282
WJul 29 · 08:30D. Stapor—51111113S. Wloszek—117651
WJul 28 · 05:00D. Stapor—116113113S. Wloszek—71131192
WJul 23 · 10:00D. Stapor—1111113S. Wloszek—5970
D. Stapor10
WSep 6 · 22:35J. Masternak—1111138102D. Stapor—741511123LSep 6 · 21:35D. Stapor3.253960M. Ovcharenko1.271111113LSep 6 · 19:35J. Masternak2.301111113D. Stapor1.504970LSep 6 · 18:35D. Stapor1.6951050B. Molka1.971112113LSep 6 · 17:35M. Stepien1.501111113D. Stapor2.406570LSep 6 · 17:05D. Stapor1.601081171S. Wloszek2.1012115113WSep 5 · 13:45S. Wloszek1.98111161052D. Stapor1.73881112113LSep 5 · 12:35B. Molka2.0011147113D. Stapor1.729121171LSep 5 · 11:35S. Wloszek1.9511713113D. Stapor1.779111191LSep 5 · 10:05S. Radlo2.00131211113D. Stapor1.711510871
S. Wloszek10
LSep 6 · 23:05M. Stepien1.351111113S. Wloszek3.008330LSep 6 · 22:05S. Wloszek2.074101251B. Molka1.62111210113LSep 6 · 20:05M. Stepien1.30911911123S. Wloszek2.93118116102WSep 6 · 18:05J. Masternak1.831071551S. Wloszek1.83121113113WSep 6 · 17:05D. Stapor1.601081171S. Wloszek2.1012115113WSep 6 · 16:05S. Wloszek3.151111101113M. Ovcharenko1.2863121182LSep 5 · 13:45S. Wloszek1.98111161052D. Stapor1.73881112113LSep 5 · 13:05J. Masternak1.90115911163S. Wloszek1.76811118142WSep 5 · 11:35S. Wloszek1.9511713113D. Stapor1.779111191WSep 5 · 09:35B. Molka1.651211911112S. Wloszek2.10149118133
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