TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13091254
Played Sep 7Finished
Dmytro Skvarskyi
Home
1.41
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
3111181141412––
Mateusz Burkacki
Away
2.60
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:17 and never touched — 59.7% is still 59.7%
Graded at full timeDmytro Skvarskyi to win
59.7%
59.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
74 points played in total.
Set by set
3111181141412––
H2H Dmytro Skvarskyi 1–0 Mateusz Burkacki Mateusz Burkacki has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:17What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.41 (65%)
Skvarskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Skvarskyi 1648 vs Burkacki 1453
Skvarskyi
Correct
both rated, 195 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skvarskyi 60% vs Burkacki 0%
Skvarskyi
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skvarskyi 70% vs Burkacki 20%
Skvarskyi
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Skvarskyi +2 · Burkacki -5
Burkacki
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Skvarskyi) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Burkacki form (0%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkvarskyi 1.41 / Burkacki 2.60
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Skvarskyi)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13091254
Skvarskyi1.41
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 57 of 90
Up 2–0, closes it92% 23 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it77% 33 of 43
Burkacki2.60
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog40% won 47 of 119
Down 0–1, comes back23% 17 of 75
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeSkvarskyi1wins
AwayBurkacki0wins
Skvarskyi leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricSkvarskyiBurkackiS − BBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match43.033.0+10.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkvarskyiBurkackiBasisWin rate · lifetime129 / 193 vs 81 / 20466.8%39.7%129 / 193 vs 81 / 204Avg sets wonper match2.41.8per matchAvg pointsper match39.637.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkvarskyiSkvarskyi 1.41/Burkacki 2.60
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.6%
Skvarskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Skvarskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 3 · 08:00D. Skvarskyi—12119113M. Burkacki—1081141
D. Skvarskyi10
WSep 7 · 08:30M. Lysakowski1.8613491132D. Skvarskyi1.831111116113WSep 7 · 06:30S. Radlo2.051061181D. Skvarskyi1.7012118113LSep 7 · 05:30B. Molka2.10111011113D. Skvarskyi1.65312461WSep 5 · 14:15D. Skvarskyi1.5711915113J. Masternak2.288111361LSep 5 · 12:05D. Skvarskyi1.5091210111S. Radlo2.40111012133LSep 5 · 10:35D. Skvarskyi1.42711871B. Molka2.5011611113WSep 5 · 09:05D. Skvarskyi1.41971111133J. Masternak2.70111168112WSep 5 · 07:35D. Skvarskyi1.521111143S. Wloszek2.3756120WSep 5 · 06:05D. Skvarskyi1.651211113D. Stapor2.1010780WSep 3 · 13:40S. Radlo2.001111971D. Skvarskyi1.7113911113
M. Burkacki10
LSep 7 · 09:00B. Molka1.4511812133M. Burkacki2.4291110111LSep 7 · 07:00M. Stepien1.361113113M. Burkacki2.8071160LSep 7 · 05:00S. Radlo1.441111113M. Burkacki2.507970LSep 4 · 13:00M. Burkacki1.984930P. Gola1.731111113LSep 4 · 11:30M. Burkacki2.307440M. Stepien1.551111113WSep 4 · 09:30S. Radlo1.489990M. Burkacki2.361111113WSep 4 · 08:30M. Burkacki2.051511118163P. Gola1.68178611142LSep 4 · 07:30M. Ovcharenko1.381113811113M. Burkacki2.6541511492LSep 4 · 06:00M. Burkacki2.2941111872M. Lysakowski1.51115911113LSep 3 · 12:40M. Lysakowski1.7511412133M. Burkacki1.9851110111
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