TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13097823
Played Sep 8Finished
Dawid Stapor
Home
1.60
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118116116––––
Mateusz Burkacki
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:51 and never touched — 60.0% is still 60.0%
Graded at full timeDawid Stapor to win
60.0%
60.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
53 points played in total.
Set by set
118116116––––
H2H Dawid Stapor 7–5 Mateusz Burkacki Mateusz Burkacki has won 5 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:51What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (57%)
Stapor
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-5 in 12
Stapor
Correct
gap of 2 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stapor 1523 vs Burkacki 1474
Stapor
Correct
both rated, 48 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stapor 60% vs Burkacki 40%
Stapor
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stapor 40% vs Burkacki 20%
Stapor
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stapor -1 · Burkacki -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Stapor)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStapor 1.60 / Burkacki 2.10
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Stapor)+3.2pp
TT Cup · #13097823
Stapor1.60
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite60% won 174 of 289
Up 2–0, closes it99% 88 of 89
Up 1–0, closes it86% 131 of 152
Burkacki2.10
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog38% won 48 of 125
Down 0–1, comes back22% 17 of 79
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStapor6wins
AwayBurkacki4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderStapor leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStapor71.4%5 of 7
AwayBurkacki66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stapor7Burkacki3n = 10Stapor took 7 of 10
S2Stapor7Burkacki3n = 10Stapor took 7 of 10
S3Stapor4Burkacki6n = 10Burkacki took 6 of 10
S4Stapor6Burkacki3n = 9Stapor took 6 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricStaporBurkackiS − BBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match42.238.3+3.9per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStaporBurkackiBasisWin rate · lifetime484 / 914 vs 83 / 20953%39.7%484 / 914 vs 83 / 209Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StaporStapor 1.60/Burkacki 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60%
Stapor · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Stapor won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 2 · 07:30D. Stapor—1161081M. Burkacki—51112113
WJul 8 · 12:30D. Stapor—101111113M. Burkacki—125861
LJul 8 · 09:00D. Stapor—6141110112M. Burkacki—1112912133
WJun 29 · 09:00D. Stapor—111110133M. Burkacki—5712111
LJun 26 · 11:00D. Stapor—611691M. Burkacki—11711113
LJun 19 · 08:00D. Stapor—1191111102M. Burkacki—911139123
WJun 15 · 05:30D. Stapor—1111123M. Burkacki—78100
WJun 13 · 09:05D. Stapor—11911113M. Burkacki—911861
WJun 5 · 10:00D. Stapor—111111113M. Burkacki—891391
WJun 1 · 05:30D. Stapor—12119113M. Burkacki—1041141
D. Stapor10
LSep 8 · 08:00D. Stapor1.83531191B. Molka1.8611112113WSep 8 · 06:30D. Stapor1.8512111113113S. Radlo1.8514651552WSep 8 · 05:00D. Stapor1.701113113S. Wloszek1.9651160WSep 6 · 22:35J. Masternak—1111138102D. Stapor—741511123LSep 6 · 21:35D. Stapor3.253960M. Ovcharenko1.271111113LSep 6 · 19:35J. Masternak2.301111113D. Stapor1.504970LSep 6 · 18:35D. Stapor1.6951050B. Molka1.971112113LSep 6 · 17:35M. Stepien1.501111113D. Stapor2.406570LSep 6 · 17:05D. Stapor1.601081171S. Wloszek2.1012115113WSep 5 · 13:45S. Wloszek1.98111161052D. Stapor1.73881112113
M. Burkacki10
LSep 8 · 08:30M. Burkacki2.2597120S. Radlo1.541111143LSep 8 · 07:30M. Ovcharenko1.491111113M. Burkacki2.459350WSep 8 · 06:00M. Burkacki2.5011119113B. Molka1.47851181WSep 7 · 12:40S. Radlo1.7115490M. Burkacki2.001711113LSep 7 · 11:30M. Lysakowski1.361111411123M. Burkacki2.75851113102LSep 7 · 10:30D. Skvarskyi1.4131111143M. Burkacki2.601184121LSep 7 · 09:00B. Molka1.4511812133M. Burkacki2.4291110111LSep 7 · 07:00M. Stepien1.361113113M. Burkacki2.8071160LSep 7 · 05:00S. Radlo1.441111113M. Burkacki2.507970LSep 4 · 13:00M. Burkacki1.984930P. Gola1.731111113
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