TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13097265
Played Sep 8Finished
Maksim Ovcharenko
Home
1.49
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119113115––––
Mateusz Burkacki
Away
2.45
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:43 and never touched — 64.7% is still 64.7%
Graded at full timeMaksim Ovcharenko to win
64.7%
64.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
50 points played in total.
Set by set
119113115––––
H2H Maksim Ovcharenko 3–0 Mateusz Burkacki Mateusz Burkacki has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 05:43What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.49 (62%)
Ovcharenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-0 in 3
Ovcharenko
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ovcharenko 1717 vs Burkacki 1474
Ovcharenko
Correct
both rated, 243 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ovcharenko 60% vs Burkacki 40%
Ovcharenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ovcharenko 70% vs Burkacki 30%
Ovcharenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ovcharenko -2 · Burkacki +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Ovcharenko)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOvcharenko 1.49 / Burkacki 2.45
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Ovcharenko)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13097265
Ovcharenko1.49
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite73% won 29 of 40
Up 2–0, closes it100% 20 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it89% 23 of 26
Burkacki2.45
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog38% won 48 of 125
Down 0–1, comes back22% 17 of 79
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeOvcharenko3wins
AwayBurkacki0wins
1 of 3 to a deciderOvcharenko leads 3–0, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOvcharenko100%3 of 3
AwayBurkackin = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ovcharenko3Burkacki0n = 3Ovcharenko took 3 of 3
S2Ovcharenko2Burkacki1n = 3Ovcharenko took 2 of 3
S3Ovcharenko1Burkacki2n = 3Burkacki took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricOvcharenkoBurkackiO − BBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set30+3of 3Avg pointsper match40.330.7+9.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOvcharenkoBurkackiBasisWin rate · lifetime105 / 169 vs 83 / 20962.1%39.7%105 / 169 vs 83 / 209Avg sets wonper match2.21.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OvcharenkoOvcharenko 1.49/Burkacki 2.45
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65%
Ovcharenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Ovcharenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 8 · 07:30M. Ovcharenko—1111113M. Burkacki—9350
WSep 4 · 07:30M. Ovcharenko—1113811113M. Burkacki—41511492
WSep 3 · 09:30M. Ovcharenko—11111113M. Burkacki—761181
M. Ovcharenko10
LSep 8 · 05:30M. Ovcharenko1.3311880S. Radlo2.851311113LSep 6 · 23:35M. Ovcharenko1.38712281B. Molka2.65111011113WSep 6 · 21:35D. Stapor3.253960M. Ovcharenko1.271111113WSep 6 · 20:35B. Molka2.529540M. Ovcharenko1.401111113WSep 6 · 19:05M. Stepien2.278850M. Ovcharenko1.521111113LSep 6 · 16:05S. Wloszek3.151111101113M. Ovcharenko1.2863121182WSep 6 · 15:05J. Masternak2.805840M. Ovcharenko1.351111113WSep 4 · 13:30M. Ovcharenko1.5511116113M. Stepien2.20341181WSep 4 · 11:00S. Radlo2.75671151M. Ovcharenko1.3911116113WSep 4 · 10:00M. Ovcharenko1.57101115113M. Lysakowski2.251281341
M. Burkacki10
WSep 8 · 06:00M. Burkacki2.5011119113B. Molka1.47851181WSep 7 · 12:40S. Radlo1.7115490M. Burkacki2.001711113LSep 7 · 11:30M. Lysakowski1.361111411123M. Burkacki2.75851113102LSep 7 · 10:30D. Skvarskyi1.4131111143M. Burkacki2.601184121LSep 7 · 09:00B. Molka1.4511812133M. Burkacki2.4291110111LSep 7 · 07:00M. Stepien1.361113113M. Burkacki2.8071160LSep 7 · 05:00S. Radlo1.441111113M. Burkacki2.507970LSep 4 · 13:00M. Burkacki1.984930P. Gola1.731111113LSep 4 · 11:30M. Burkacki2.307440M. Stepien1.551111113WSep 4 · 09:30S. Radlo1.489990M. Burkacki2.361111113
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